

261 

FNUS54 KMRX 200704

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

304 AM EDT SAT SEP 20 2014



.DISCUSSION...

A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN ACROSS THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN 

THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...BRINGING DRY CONDITIONS AND NEAR NORMAL 

TEMPERATURES. A COLD FRONT WILL THEN MOVE INTO THE REGION ON 

SUNDAY...BRINGING SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...AND COOLER 

TEMPERATURES FOR NEXT WEEK.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-210815-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

304 AM EDT SAT SEP 20 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      78-83 (+3)   54-59 (0)    74-79        

RH % (24H TREND)      36-41 (-12)  89-94 (-3)   54-59        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SW  6        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  7         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            40           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    8 AM         

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.13         

LAL                   1            1            3            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5700                      4800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S  8                      W 16         

DISPERSION            25 FAIR                   38 FAIR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SW  8 G18    

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  9 G18     



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AND SLIGHT

CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 30S TO UPPER

40S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. EAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID

60S TO UPPER 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-210815-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

304 AM EDT SAT SEP 20 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      76-81 (+3)   51-56 (-2)   71-76        

RH % (24H TREND)      36-41 (-14)  86-91 (-6)   53-58        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   W  6         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  7 G15     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            40           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    2 PM         

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.05         

LAL                   1            1            3            

LASI                  5                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5800                      4900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE  8                     W 15         

DISPERSION            22 FAIR                   28 FAIR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   W  7 G18     

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  9 G18     



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S.

NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 30S TO UPPER

40S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

60S TO 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-210815-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

304 AM EDT SAT SEP 20 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      76-81 (+4)   51-56 (-3)   70-75        

RH % (24H TREND)      35-40 (-18)  87-92 (-5)   52-57        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  5         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            40           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    2 PM         

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.09         

LAL                   1            1            3            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5800                      5100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE  3                     W 14         

DISPERSION            7 POOR                    22 FAIR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   W  5         

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  6         



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTH WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO

LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 70S. EAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

60S TO 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

60S TO 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S

TO 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-210815-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

304 AM EDT SAT SEP 20 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      79-84 (+4)   53-58 (-3)   75-80        

RH % (24H TREND)      37-42 (-13)  83-88 (-6)   49-54        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  5         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            40           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    2 PM         

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.07         

LAL                   1            1            3            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5800                      4800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE  6                     W 12         

DISPERSION            19 GEN POOR               25 FAIR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  6         



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTH WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 40S TO LOWER

50S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. EAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID

60S TO UPPER 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-210815-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

304 AM EDT SAT SEP 20 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      78-83 (+4)   50-55 (-3)   75-80        

RH % (24H TREND)      37-42 (-13)  89-94 (-7)   47-52        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  5         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            40           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    2 PM         

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.05         

LAL                   1            1            3            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5900                      5100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE  8                     W 12         

DISPERSION            24 FAIR                   27 FAIR      

MAX LVORI             4                         4            

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  6         



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTH WINDS

5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 40S TO LOWER

50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. EAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

60S TO UPPER 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S

TO LOWER 80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO

UPPER 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-210815-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

304 AM EDT SAT SEP 20 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      80-85 (+4)   53-58 (-2)   75-80        

RH % (24H TREND)      32-37 (-15)  90-95 (-3)   51-56        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SW  5        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  6         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            40           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    2 PM         

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.12         

LAL                   1            1            3            

LASI                  5                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5400                      4300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S  7                      W 15         

DISPERSION            21 FAIR                   37 FAIR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SW  7 G15    

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  8 G15     



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 40S TO LOWER

50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. EAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

60S TO UPPER 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

60S TO UPPER 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO

UPPER 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-210815-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

304 AM EDT SAT SEP 20 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      82-87 (+5)   57-62 (0)    77-82        

RH % (24H TREND)      35-40 (-13)  88-93 (-1)   52-57        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SW  5        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  6         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            40           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    8 AM         

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.14         

LAL                   1            1            3            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5200                      4400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S  6                      W 15         

DISPERSION            20 GEN POOR               40 FAIR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SW  6        

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  7 G15     



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S

TO LOWER 80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S

TO LOWER 80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S.

EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-210815-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

304 AM EDT SAT SEP 20 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      82-87 (+4)   58-63 (-1)   78-83        

RH % (24H TREND)      37-42 (-12)  87-92 (+2)   51-56        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  5         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            40           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    8 AM         

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.11         

LAL                   1            1            3            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5200                      4300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S  9                      W 13         

DISPERSION            30 FAIR                   33 FAIR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SW  5        

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  6         



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS NEAR 50. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. EAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID

70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S

TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S.

EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



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