

383 

FNUS54 KMRX 200053 AAA

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...UPDATED

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

853 PM EDT FRI SEP 19 2014



.DISCUSSION...

                                                     

HIGH PRESSURE WILL DOMINATE THE WEATHER OVER THE SOUTHERN 

APPALACHIAN REGION THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...BRINGING DRY CONDITIONS 

AND NEAR NORMAL TEMPERATURES. A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL THEN MOVE INTO 

THE REGION ON SUNDAY...BRINGING SCATTERED SHOWERS AND 

THUNDERSTORMS...AND SLIGHTLY COOLER TEMPERATURES FOR NEXT WEEK.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-210200-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

853 PM EDT FRI SEP 19 2014



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      54-59 (+3)   75-80 (0)    56-61        76-81        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (0)   46-51 (-5)   91-96        48-53        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  5                      SW  5        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  8         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            30           

PRECIP DURATION                                              1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 8 AM         

PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.08         

LAL                   1            1            1            3            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5300                      4600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 10                      W 15         

DISPERSION                         28 FAIR                   33 FAIR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  6                      SW  6 G16    

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  5        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W 10 G18     



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. NORTH WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 40S TO LOWER

50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING

LIGHT. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. EAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

60S TO UPPER 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S

TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-210200-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

853 PM EDT FRI SEP 19 2014



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      53-58 (+2)   73-78 (0)    53-58        74-79        

RH % (24H TREND)      94-99 (-1)   47-52 (-6)   88-93        48-53        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE  6                     W  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  5        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  8         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            30           

PRECIP DURATION                                              1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 5 PM         

PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.04         

LAL                   1            1            1            3            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5400                      4700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 12                      W 14         

DISPERSION                         27 FAIR                   23 FAIR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE  8 G17                 W  7 G16     

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  6        S  5         LGT/VAR      W 10 G18     



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 40S TO LOWER

50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING

LIGHT. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. NORTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S

TO UPPER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S

TO UPPER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-210200-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

853 PM EDT FRI SEP 19 2014



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      54-59 (+2)   72-77 (0)    53-58        74-79        

RH % (24H TREND)      94-99 (-1)   49-54 (-7)   92-97        45-50        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE  5                     W  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  7         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            30           

PRECIP DURATION                                              1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 5 PM         

PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.07         

LAL                   1            1            1            3            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5400                      4900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE  7                     W 13         

DISPERSION                         13 GEN POOR               19 GEN POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE  6 G16                 W  7 G15     

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  5        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  9 G17     



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 40S TO LOWER

50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING

LIGHT. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO

70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S

TO UPPER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO

UPPER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-210200-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

853 PM EDT FRI SEP 19 2014



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      56-61 (+2)   75-80 (0)    54-59        77-82        

RH % (24H TREND)      91-96 (-1)   47-52 (-6)   87-92        43-48        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  5         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            30           

PRECIP DURATION                                              1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 5 PM         

PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.07         

LAL                   1            1            1            3            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5400                      4600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE  8                     W 12         

DISPERSION                         25 FAIR                   26 FAIR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE  5                     SW  5        

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  5        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  7         



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

60S TO MID 70S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO

LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING

LIGHT. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S.

NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-210200-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

853 PM EDT FRI SEP 19 2014



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      53-58 (+2)   74-79 (0)    52-57        76-81        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+1)  47-52 (-6)   95-100       42-47        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE  6                     LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  6         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            30           

PRECIP DURATION                                              1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 5 PM         

PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.03         

LAL                   1            1            1            3            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5500                      4900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE 12                     W 12         

DISPERSION                         31 FAIR                   26 FAIR      

MAX LVORI                          4                         4            

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE  7                     NW  5        

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SE  5        LGT/VAR      W  7         



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.

NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT.

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-210200-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

853 PM EDT FRI SEP 19 2014



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      55-60 (+3)   76-81 (0)    56-61        77-82        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (-1)  46-51 (-5)   89-94        48-53        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SW  5        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  8 G16     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            30           

PRECIP DURATION                                              1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 2 PM         

PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.07         

LAL                   1            1            1            3            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5000                      4100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S  9                      W 14         

DISPERSION                         28 FAIR                   32 FAIR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE  6                     SW  7 G16    

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W 10 G20     



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 40S TO LOWER

50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING

LIGHT. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S

TO UPPER 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO

UPPER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-210200-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

853 PM EDT FRI SEP 19 2014



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      57-62 (+4)   77-82 (0)    57-62        78-83        

RH % (24H TREND)      91-96 (-2)   47-52 (-4)   93-98        49-54        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SW  5        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  7         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            30           

PRECIP DURATION                                              1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 8 AM         

PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.08         

LAL                   1            1            1            3            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4800                      4200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S  7                      W 14         

DISPERSION                         21 FAIR                   35 FAIR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SW  6 G15    

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  9 G16     



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING

LIGHT. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID

70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID

70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID

70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-210200-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

853 PM EDT FRI SEP 19 2014



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      59-64 (+2)   78-83 (0)    58-63        79-84        

RH % (24H TREND)      87-92 (-2)   46-51 (-5)   89-94        47-52        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  5         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            30           

PRECIP DURATION                                              1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 8 AM         

PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.08         

LAL                   1            1            1            3            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4800                      4100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE  8                     W 12         

DISPERSION                         27 FAIR                   30 FAIR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SW  5        

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  7         



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.

NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID

70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID

70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



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