

413 

FNUS54 KMRX 190654

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

254 AM EDT FRI SEP 19 2014



.DISCUSSION...

 

A LARGE DOME OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL DOMINATE THE WEATHER OVER THE 

SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION THROUGH SATURDAY...WITH TEMPERATURES 

REMAINING NEAR NORMAL FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR. A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL 

THEN MOVE INTO THE REGION ON SUNDAY...BRINGING SCATTERED SHOWERS AND 

THUNDERSTORMS.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-200800-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

254 AM EDT FRI SEP 19 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      74-79 (+5)   54-59 (+5)   73-78        

RH % (24H TREND)      45-50 (-7)   93-98 (-1)   47-52        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  5         SE  5        LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          9 AM                                   

PRECIP END            8 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5600                      4400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S  9                      S 10         

DISPERSION            27 FAIR                   22 FAIR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  6 G15     SE  6 G15    S  5         



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. WEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. NORTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID

60S TO LOWER 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-200800-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

254 AM EDT FRI SEP 19 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      72-77 (+5)   53-58 (+5)   72-77        

RH % (24H TREND)      47-52 (-7)   91-96 (-4)   46-51        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  6        SE  6        LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           20           0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          9 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   12 AM                     

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.01         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5700                      4500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE 13                     SE 12        

DISPERSION            31 FAIR                   17 GEN POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  5                     SE  5        

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  7        SE  7        LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO

LOWER 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S

TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

60S TO MID 70S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-200800-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

254 AM EDT FRI SEP 19 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      73-78 (+5)   54-59 (+5)   71-76        

RH % (24H TREND)      42-47 (-11)  90-95 (-4)   47-52        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SE  5        LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           20           0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          9 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   12 AM                     

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.01         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5500                      4800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S  7                      SE  5        

DISPERSION            13 GEN POOR               6 VERY POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SE  6        LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. WEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S

TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S

TO UPPER 70S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-200800-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

254 AM EDT FRI SEP 19 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      77-82 (+4)   56-61 (+3)   75-80        

RH % (24H TREND)      40-45 (-8)   88-93 (-5)   47-52        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SE  6        LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          9 AM                                   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING                             

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5600                      4600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S  6                      SE  8        

DISPERSION            17 GEN POOR               17 GEN POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  5         SE  8 G15    LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. WEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

60S TO MID 70S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO

UPPER 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

70S TO LOWER 80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-200800-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

254 AM EDT FRI SEP 19 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      76-81 (+5)   53-58 (+1)   73-78        

RH % (24H TREND)      40-45 (-10)  95-100 (-2)  49-54        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  5        SE  6        LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          9 AM                                   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING                             

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5700                      4600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE  8                     SE 10        

DISPERSION            23 FAIR                   20 GEN POOR  

MAX LVORI             4                         5            

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  6        SE  7 G15    LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 50S. LIGHT WINDS

BECOMING WEST LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S

TO UPPER 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

70S TO LOWER 80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-200800-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

254 AM EDT FRI SEP 19 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      77-82 (+5)   55-60 (+4)   75-80        

RH % (24H TREND)      41-46 (-9)   90-95 (-3)   45-50        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          9 AM                                   

PRECIP END            8 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5300                      4300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE  9                     S  9         

DISPERSION            30 FAIR                   22 FAIR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  5         SE  6        LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. WEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S

TO MID 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

70S TO LOWER 80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S

TO UPPER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-200800-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

254 AM EDT FRI SEP 19 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      78-83 (+5)   56-61 (+4)   76-81        

RH % (24H TREND)      39-44 (-10)  90-95 (-2)   45-50        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5100                      4000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE  5                     S  7         

DISPERSION            15 GEN POOR               16 GEN POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. WEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 70S. NORTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS NEAR 80.

EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID

70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-200800-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

254 AM EDT FRI SEP 19 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      80-85 (+4)   58-63 (+3)   78-83        

RH % (24H TREND)      40-45 (-5)   86-91 (-3)   46-51        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SE  5        LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5300                      4400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE  3                     S 10         

DISPERSION            14 GEN POOR               29 FAIR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  5         

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  5         SE  6        LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 60. SOUTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS AROUND 80. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS NEAR 60. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO

LOWER 80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



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