

793 

FNUS54 KMRX 181900

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

300 PM EDT THU SEP 18 2014



.DISCUSSION...

A LARGE DOME OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL DOMINATE THE WEATHER OVER THE 

SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION THROUGH SATURDAY...WITH TEMPERATURES 

REMAINING NEAR NORMAL FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR. A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL 

THEN MOVE INTO THE REGION ON SUNDAY...BRINGING SCATTERED SHOWERS AND 

THUNDERSTORMS.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-192000-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

300 PM EDT THU SEP 18 2014



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      49-54 (-1)   73-78 (+4)   54-59        73-78        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+4)  46-51 (-7)   91-96        48-53        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SE  5        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SE  7 G15    S  6         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                    1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN                       8 AM                                   

PRECIP END                         8 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.02         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5400                      4900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE  8                     S 13         

DISPERSION                         23 FAIR                   31 FAIR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SE  7        

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SE  5 G15    SE  9 G19    S  7         



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS 

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS 

IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 

IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S

TO MID 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. 

SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. 

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-192000-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

300 PM EDT THU SEP 18 2014



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      48-53 (-2)   71-76 (+4)   53-58        72-77        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+2)  46-51 (-8)   90-95        48-53        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE  5                     SE  7        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SE  7        SE 10 G21    SE  7        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           20           0            

PRECIP DURATION                    1            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN                       8 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   12 AM                     

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.02         0.01         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5500                      4900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE 13                     SE 14        

DISPERSION                         29 FAIR                   26 FAIR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE  6                     SE  9 G16    

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SE  9 G18    SE 12 G26    SE  9 G16    



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 

HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 

IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO 

MID 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTHEAST 

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. 

SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-192000-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

300 PM EDT THU SEP 18 2014



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      50-55 (-2)   71-76 (+3)   54-59        71-76        

RH % (24H TREND)      93-98 (-1)   46-51 (-8)   89-94        49-54        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SE  7 G20    LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           20           0            

PRECIP DURATION                    1            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN                       8 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   12 AM                     

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.02         0.01         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5300                      5100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S  7                      SE  9        

DISPERSION                         12 POOR                   13 GEN POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SE  6 G17    

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SE  9 G25    LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S TO LOWER 60S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 

HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 

LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. EAST WINDS 

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 

70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO 

UPPER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 

70S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-192000-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

300 PM EDT THU SEP 18 2014



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      53-58 (+2)   75-80 (+2)   56-61        75-80        

RH % (24H TREND)      88-93 (-5)   45-50 (-5)   93-98        47-52        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SE  5        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SE  6 G17    LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            10           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                    1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN                       8 AM                                   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING                             

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5400                      5000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE  6                     SE 10        

DISPERSION                         17 GEN POOR               27 FAIR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SE  6        

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SE  8 G21    LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 

HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 

IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. EAST 

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO 

LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-192000-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

300 PM EDT THU SEP 18 2014



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      53-58 (0)    73-78 (+2)   53-58        73-78        

RH % (24H TREND)      90-95 (-5)   48-53 (-3)   95-100       48-53        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SE  5        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SE  6 G16    SE  5        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           20           0            

PRECIP DURATION                    1            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN                       8 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   12 AM                     

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.02         0.01         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5500                      5000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE  7                     SE 12        

DISPERSION                         19 GEN POOR               28 FAIR      

MAX LVORI                          5                         4            

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SE  7        

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SE  5        SE  8 G20    SE  6        



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 

HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 

IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. EAST 

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. EAST 

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-192000-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

300 PM EDT THU SEP 18 2014



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      51-56 (-1)   75-80 (+3)   56-61        75-80        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+4)  44-49 (-7)   90-95        47-52        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SE  5        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SE  6        SE  5        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                    1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN                       8 AM                                   

PRECIP END                         8 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5100                      4800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE  8                     SE 12        

DISPERSION                         24 FAIR                   33 FAIR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SE  6        

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SE  5        SE  8 G18    SE  7        



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. 

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 

HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 

LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S 

TO MID 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. 

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. EAST 

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-192000-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

300 PM EDT THU SEP 18 2014



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      52-57 (-2)   76-81 (+3)   57-62        76-81        

RH % (24H TREND)      92-97 (+1)   43-48 (-7)   88-93        48-53        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4900                      4500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                E  6                      SE  8        

DISPERSION                         19 GEN POOR               21 FAIR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. 

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 

HIGHS NEAR 80. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 

LOWS NEAR 60. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID TO UPPER 70S. NORTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S 

TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID TO 

UPPER 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-192000-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

300 PM EDT THU SEP 18 2014



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      55-60 (+1)   78-83 (+2)   58-63        78-83        

RH % (24H TREND)      89-94 (0)    43-48 (-3)   86-91        46-51        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5100                      4800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                E  6                      SE 10        

DISPERSION                         20 GEN POOR               33 FAIR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SE  6        

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 

HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 

NEAR 60. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST 

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO 

LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S 

TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. 

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



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