

758 

FNUS54 KMRX 171900

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

300 PM EDT WED SEP 17 2014



.DISCUSSION...

AN AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL LINGER OVER THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN 

REGION THROUGH THE WEEKEND...WITH TEMPERATURES REMAINING A LITTLE 

ABOVE NORMAL FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR. A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL THEN MOVE 

INTO THE REGION BY SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY...BRINGING A CHANCE FOR 

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-182000-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

300 PM EDT WED SEP 17 2014



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      49-54 (-3)   72-77 (+2)   50-55        74-79        

RH % (24H TREND)      88-93 (-6)   38-43 (-14)  84-89        39-44        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4900                      4900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N  6                      SE  8        

DISPERSION                         14 GEN POOR               20 GEN POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SE  5        

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NE  5        SE  6        



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST 

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH 

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 

MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN 

THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO 

LOWER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 

70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-182000-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

300 PM EDT WED SEP 17 2014



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      49-54 (-4)   70-75 (+2)   50-55        72-77        

RH % (24H TREND)      87-92 (-6)   39-44 (-15)  83-88        41-46        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SE  5        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SE  6        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            20           

PRECIP DURATION                                              1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 2 PM         

PRECIP END                                                   8 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            1            2            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4800                      4900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N  6                      SE 10        

DISPERSION                         10 POOR                   19 GEN POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SE  6        

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SE  7 G16    



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 

MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. EAST WINDS LESS 

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN 

THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 

50. HIGHS IN THE 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S 

TO MID 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S 

TO MID 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-182000-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

300 PM EDT WED SEP 17 2014



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      49-54 (-5)   70-75 (+2)   51-56        72-77        

RH % (24H TREND)      88-93 (-5)   39-44 (-17)  83-88        42-47        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            20           

PRECIP DURATION                                              1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 2 PM         

PRECIP END                                                   8 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            1            2            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4900                      4800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N  7                      SE  6        

DISPERSION                         10 POOR                   9 POOR       

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      N  5         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S TO LOWER 60S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS 

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S TO LOWER 60S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN 

THE LOWER 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 

50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 

70S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO 

MID 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-182000-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

300 PM EDT WED SEP 17 2014



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      53-58 (-5)   75-80 (+2)   54-59        77-82        

RH % (24H TREND)      84-89 (-6)   37-42 (-16)  81-86        40-45        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4900                      4900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N  7                      SE  6        

DISPERSION                         17 GEN POOR               14 GEN POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      N  5         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 

LESS THAN 10 MPH...SHIFTING TO THE WEST EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN 

THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN 

THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S 

TO MID 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S 

TO MID 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-182000-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

300 PM EDT WED SEP 17 2014



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      51-56 (-8)   74-79 (+2)   52-57        76-81        

RH % (24H TREND)      87-92 (-2)   38-43 (-16)  86-91        41-46        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        NONE         TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           0            20           

PRECIP DURATION                    1                         1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       2 PM                      2 PM         

PRECIP END                         8 PM                      8 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.00         0.01         

LAL                   1            2            1            2            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5000                      5000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N  6                      SE  6        

DISPERSION                         14 GEN POOR               15 GEN POOR  

MAX LVORI                          5                         4            

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. EAST WINDS LESS 

THAN 10 MPH...SHIFTING TO THE WEST EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN 

THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN 

THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S 

TO MID 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S 

TO MID 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-182000-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

300 PM EDT WED SEP 17 2014



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      51-56 (-3)   75-80 (+2)   52-57        77-82        

RH % (24H TREND)      88-93 (-4)   37-42 (-12)  83-88        38-43        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4500                      4700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N  6                      SE  7        

DISPERSION                         15 GEN POOR               18 GEN POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. EAST 

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS 

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH 

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN 

THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS 

IN THE 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 

70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S 

TO MID 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-182000-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

300 PM EDT WED SEP 17 2014



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      51-56 (-3)   75-80 (+2)   53-58        77-82        

RH % (24H TREND)      90-95 (-4)   37-42 (-13)  85-90        39-44        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4500                      4500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NE  6                     E  6         

DISPERSION                         16 GEN POOR               16 GEN POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. EAST 

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS NEAR 60. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN 

THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS 

IN THE 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S 

TO MID 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. 

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-182000-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

300 PM EDT WED SEP 17 2014



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      54-59 (-1)   78-83 (+2)   56-61        80-85        

RH % (24H TREND)      87-92 (-2)   36-41 (-12)  84-89        38-43        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4700                      4400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N  6                      SE  6        

DISPERSION                         19 GEN POOR               17 GEN POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS NEAR 60. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS 

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS 

NEAR 80. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN 

THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. 

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. 

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



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