

949 

FNUS54 KMRX 160737

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

337 AM EDT TUE SEP 16 2014



.DISCUSSION...

A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL PUSH THROUGH THE AREA TODAY WITH 

A FEW SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE AHEAD OF THE 

FRONT. SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE AND DRIER WEATHER WILL BUILD IN BEHIND 

THE FRONT AND REMAIN OVER THE REGION INTO THE WEEKEND.  



VAZ001-002-005-006-008-170845-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

337 AM EDT TUE SEP 16 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      71-76 (-2)   49-54 (-8)   68-73        

RH % (24H TREND)      56-61 (+2)   95-100 (+13) 50-55        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  6        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM                                   

PRECIP END            8 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   2            1            1            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5000                      5200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 10                      NE  5        

DISPERSION            27 FAIR                   12 POOR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  7        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S.

NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S.

NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S.

EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID

60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER

70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-170845-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

337 AM EDT TUE SEP 16 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      71-76 (+1)   50-55 (-7)   65-70        

RH % (24H TREND)      54-59 (-4)   95-100 (+12) 56-61        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  5                      LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  6        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           20           0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   2 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.06         0.02         0.00         

LAL                   2            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6600                      5100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 18                      N  3         

DISPERSION            61 GOOD                   7 POOR       

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  7 G16                  LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  8 G17    LGT/VAR      NW  5        



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID

50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO 70S. NORTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO

UPPER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-170845-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

337 AM EDT TUE SEP 16 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      71-76 (+1)   52-57 (-6)   67-72        

RH % (24H TREND)      52-57 (-11)  95-100 (+8)  52-57        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  5                      LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  5         NW  5        LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           20           0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   2 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.06         0.02         0.00         

LAL                   2            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6800                      4900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 16                      N  6         

DISPERSION            51 GEN GOOD               9 POOR       

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  6 G16                  LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  7 G17     NW  6        N  5         



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID

50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO 70S. NORTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 80S. NORTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S

TO LOWER 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO

UPPER 70S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-170845-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

337 AM EDT TUE SEP 16 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      76-81 (+1)   55-60 (-6)   72-77        

RH % (24H TREND)      48-53 (-9)   90-95 (+7)   44-49        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  5        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           10           0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   2 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.06         0.01         0.00         

LAL                   2            1            1            

LASI                  3                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6100                      4700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 14                      N  8         

DISPERSION            47 GEN GOOD               19 GEN POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  6        LGT/VAR      NW  6        



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S.

NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 60S TO MID 80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER

70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-170845-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

337 AM EDT TUE SEP 16 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      77-82 (+1)   54-59 (-7)   72-77        

RH % (24H TREND)      47-52 (-10)  90-95 (+5)   47-52        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  6        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           20           0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   2 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.07         0.01         0.00         

LAL                   2            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7300                      5000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 16                     NW  8        

DISPERSION            69 GOOD                   20 GEN POOR  

MAX LVORI             4                         4            

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  7        LGT/VAR      NW  6        



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. EAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 60S TO MID 80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER

70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-170845-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

337 AM EDT TUE SEP 16 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      74-79 (0)    51-56 (-9)   71-76        

RH % (24H TREND)      51-56 (-2)   95-100 (+12) 47-52        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  6         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM                                   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING                             

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   2            1            1            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4800                      4900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 13                      N  3         

DISPERSION            38 FAIR                   11 POOR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  5                      LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  7 G16     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID

50S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID

50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 80S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER

70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-170845-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

337 AM EDT TUE SEP 16 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      75-80 (+1)   54-59 (-7)   72-77        

RH % (24H TREND)      52-57 (-3)   95-100 (+14) 45-50        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM                                   

PRECIP END            8 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   2            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4700                      4700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 13                      N  5         

DISPERSION            37 FAIR                   15 GEN POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  5        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S.

LIGHT WINDS. 

.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. NORTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS

IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER

80S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-170845-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

337 AM EDT TUE SEP 16 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      79-84 (+4)   56-61 (-7)   74-79        

RH % (24H TREND)      48-53 (-10)  87-92 (+4)   40-45        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM                                   

PRECIP END            8 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   2            1            1            

LASI                  3                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5000                      4400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 13                      N  7         

DISPERSION            42 GEN GOOD               18 GEN POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  6        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 50S. LIGHT WINDS

BECOMING NORTH LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. NORTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. EAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO

MID 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO

LOWER 80S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



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