

068 

FNUS54 KMRX 150826

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

426 AM EDT MON SEP 15 2014



.DISCUSSION...

SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER THE NORTHEASTERN 

STATES TO THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS THROUGH TUESDAY. A COOLER AND 

DRIER AIRMASS WILL RESULT...LIMITING RAIN CHANCES TO JUST ISOLATED 

SHOWERS ACROSS THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS. 



VAZ001-002-005-006-008-160930-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

426 AM EDT MON SEP 15 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      73-78 (+5)   55-60 (+2)   71-76        

RH % (24H TREND)      48-53 (-14)  94-99 (-2)   48-53        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  5        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           20           20           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          12 PM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   2 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.04         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5000                      6300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  9                     NW 10        

DISPERSION            24 FAIR                   39 FAIR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  7        LGT/VAR      NW  6        



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID

50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S.

EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID

60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID

60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-160930-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

426 AM EDT MON SEP 15 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      70-75 (+4)   54-59 (0)    70-75        

RH % (24H TREND)      54-59 (-13)  93-98 (-3)   48-53        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   NW  5        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  6         LGT/VAR      NW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           30           20           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.05         0.03         

LAL                   2            2            2            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5100                      6800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 10                      NW 15        

DISPERSION            20 GEN POOR               52 GEN GOOD  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   NW  6        

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  7         LGT/VAR      NW  7 G15    



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING

LIGHT. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO 70S. NORTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID

50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

60S TO 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO

LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

60S TO 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-160930-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

426 AM EDT MON SEP 15 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      69-74 (+1)   55-60 (0)    72-77        

RH % (24H TREND)      60-65 (-11)  95-100 (-1)  42-47        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  6         LGT/VAR      NW  5        

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           30           20           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.06         0.05         0.04         

LAL                   2            2            2            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5100                      6500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 10                      NW 14        

DISPERSION            17 GEN POOR               39 FAIR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   NW  5        

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  7         W  5         NW  7        



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER

60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 70S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S. NORTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

50S TO UPPER 70S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S

TO 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 50S

TO UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-160930-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

426 AM EDT MON SEP 15 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      74-79 (+3)   58-63 (-2)   77-82        

RH % (24H TREND)      58-63 (-11)  87-92 (-7)   40-45        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  5        LGT/VAR      NW  5        

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           40           20           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.09         0.05         0.05         

LAL                   2            2            2            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4600                      5800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  9                     NW 12        

DISPERSION            18 GEN POOR               36 FAIR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  6        LGT/VAR      NW  6        



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S.

NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S. NORTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

MID 60S TO LOWER 80S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID

60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

60S TO 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-160930-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

426 AM EDT MON SEP 15 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      74-79 (+4)   57-62 (-2)   77-82        

RH % (24H TREND)      60-65 (-11)  90-95 (0)    39-44        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  5        LGT/VAR      NW  5        

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           50           30           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.09         0.05         0.05         

LAL                   2            2            2            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5000                      6700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  9                     NW 13        

DISPERSION            23 FAIR                   49 GEN GOOD  

MAX LVORI             5                         3            

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   NW  5        

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  6        LGT/VAR      NW  7        



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING

LIGHT. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. NORTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

60S TO UPPER 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID

60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S

TO 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-160930-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

426 AM EDT MON SEP 15 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      74-79 (+3)   56-61 (0)    75-80        

RH % (24H TREND)      48-53 (-12)  92-97 (-4)   43-48        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  5         LGT/VAR      W  5         

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           20           20           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          12 PM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.04         0.02         

LAL                   2            2            2            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4200                      5800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  9                      W 10         

DISPERSION            21 FAIR                   40 FAIR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  7         LGT/VAR      W  7         



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S.

LIGHT WINDS. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID

50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO 70S. EAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-160930-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

426 AM EDT MON SEP 15 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      75-80 (+2)   58-63 (0)    77-82        

RH % (24H TREND)      51-56 (-7)   86-91 (-9)   41-46        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  5         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           20           20           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          12 PM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.04         0.02         

LAL                   2            2            2            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3900                      5300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  7                     NW 10        

DISPERSION            17 GEN POOR               35 FAIR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  6         LGT/VAR      NW  5        



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S.

EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S

TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S

TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS

IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-160930-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

426 AM EDT MON SEP 15 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      76-81 (+2)   60-65 (0)    79-84        

RH % (24H TREND)      55-60 (-5)   86-91 (-7)   40-45        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  5        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           30           20           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.07         0.05         0.03         

LAL                   2            2            2            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3400                      5100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  6                     NW 10        

DISPERSION            12 POOR                   35 FAIR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  6        LGT/VAR      NW  5        



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. NORTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S. NORTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. EAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID

80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S

TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TG/TD



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