

000 

FNUS54 KMRX 141827

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

227 PM EDT SUN SEP 14 2014



.DISCUSSION...

SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER THE NORTHEASTERN 

STATES TO THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS THROUGH MONDAY. A COOLER AND 

DRIER AIRMASS WILL RESULT...LIMITING RAIN CHANCES TO JUST ISOLATED 

SHOWERS ACROSS THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS. 





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-151930-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

227 PM EDT SUN SEP 14 2014



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      52-57 (+1)   73-78 (+5)   54-59        72-77        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+1)  54-59 (-13)  95-100       47-52        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  6        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           20           0            

PRECIP DURATION                    1            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN                       12 PM        CONTINUING                

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   12 AM                     

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.02         0.04         0.00         

LAL                   1            3            3            1            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5000                      6300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW  9                     NW 16        

DISPERSION                         24 FAIR                   58 GEN GOOD  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  7        LGT/VAR      N  6         



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S.

NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID

60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID

60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S

TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-151930-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

227 PM EDT SUN SEP 14 2014



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      53-58 (+1)   70-75 (+4)   54-59        71-76        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+1)  54-59 (-16)  95-100       45-50        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   W  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  6         LGT/VAR      NW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           30           30           20           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.05         0.09         0.04         

LAL                   1            3            3            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5100                      6800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 10                      NW 20        

DISPERSION                         20 GEN POOR               67 GOOD      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   W  6         

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  7         LGT/VAR      NW  8 G16    



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 50S TO MID 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE

NORTHWEST EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE 50S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S

TO 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO

LOWER 80S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-151930-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

227 PM EDT SUN SEP 14 2014



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      55-60 (+2)   70-75 (+2)   56-61        72-77        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+1)  60-65 (-13)  95-100       40-45        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  6         LGT/VAR      NW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           40           30           20           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.08         0.05         0.04         

LAL                   1            3            3            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5100                      6500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 10                      NW 17        

DISPERSION                         17 GEN POOR               51 GEN GOOD  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  5                      W  5         

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  7         SW  6 G16    NW  8        



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER

60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

50S TO UPPER 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING

BECOMING LIGHT. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 50S TO MID 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

50S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

60S TO LOWER 80S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-151930-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

227 PM EDT SUN SEP 14 2014



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      59-64 (+2)   75-80 (+4)   59-64        78-83        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (0)   60-65 (-11)  89-94        38-43        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  5         LGT/VAR      NW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           40           40           20           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.10         0.04         0.04         

LAL                   1            3            3            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4600                      5800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW  9                     NW 15        

DISPERSION                         18 GEN POOR               47 GEN GOOD  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  6         LGT/VAR      NW  7        



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S.

NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE MID TO UPPER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY

IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S.

EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S

TO 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-151930-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

227 PM EDT SUN SEP 14 2014



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      58-63 (+1)   75-80 (+5)   58-63        78-83        

RH % (24H TREND)      93-98 (-2)   62-67 (-10)  95-100       38-43        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  5        LGT/VAR      NW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           50           50           20           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.12         0.07         0.08         

LAL                   1            3            3            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5000                      6700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW  9                     NW 16        

DISPERSION                         23 FAIR                   62 GOOD      

MAX LVORI                          5                         4            

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  7        LGT/VAR      NW  8        



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S.

LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE

AFTERNOON. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE UPPER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE

EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S.

EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S

TO 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO

LOWER 80S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-151930-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

227 PM EDT SUN SEP 14 2014



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      55-60 (+1)   75-80 (+4)   56-61        76-81        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+3)  54-59 (-8)   95-100       42-47        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  5         LGT/VAR      NW  5        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           20           10           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       12 PM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   2 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.04         0.07         0.01         

LAL                   1            3            3            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4200                      5800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W  9                      NW 16        

DISPERSION                         21 FAIR                   58 GEN GOOD  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  7         LGT/VAR      NW  6        



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING

BECOMING LIGHT. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID

70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-151930-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

227 PM EDT SUN SEP 14 2014



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      57-62 (+2)   76-81 (+3)   58-63        78-83        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+2)  55-60 (-5)   90-95        39-44        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NW  5        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           20           0            

PRECIP DURATION                    1            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN                       12 PM        CONTINUING                

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.04         0.01         0.00         

LAL                   1            3            3            1            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3900                      5300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW  7                     NW 10        

DISPERSION                         17 GEN POOR               38 FAIR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  5         LGT/VAR      NW  6        



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S. NORTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-151930-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

227 PM EDT SUN SEP 14 2014



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      59-64 (+3)   77-82 (+3)   60-65        80-85        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+3)  63-68 (+2)   90-95        37-42        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NW  5        

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            30           30           20           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.09         0.02         0.01         

LAL                   1            3            3            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3400                      5100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW  6                     NW  9        

DISPERSION                         12 POOR                   32 FAIR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  5        LGT/VAR      NW  6        



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. NORTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S

TO MID 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS NEAR 80. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



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