

654 

FNUS54 KMRX 100927

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

527 AM EDT WED SEP 10 2014



.DISCUSSION...

 WARM AND HUMID CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE OVER THE 

SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION TODAY.  ON THURSDAY...A LINE OF SHOWERS 

AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING COLD 

FRONT...AND MOVE INTO THE AREA LATE IN THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING. 

ADDITIONAL SCATTERED CONVECTION WILL LINGER INTO FRIDAY AND 

SATURDAY. 





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-111030-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

527 AM EDT WED SEP 10 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      81-86 (+2)   63-68 (+3)   79-84        

RH % (24H TREND)      53-58 (0)    91-96 (-3)   54-59        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SW  6        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  6         LGT/VAR      W  6         

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           20           70           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            2            

PRECIP BEGIN          4 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.01         0.29         

LAL                   2            2            4            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5500                      5100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 14                     SW 21        

DISPERSION            42 GEN GOOD               54 GEN GOOD  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  5                      SW  8 G17    

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  8 G15     S  5         W  8 G16     



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 80S. NORTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID

50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO

70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID

60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID

60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-111030-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

527 AM EDT WED SEP 10 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      78-83 (+2)   61-66 (+3)   77-82        

RH % (24H TREND)      53-58 (-3)   95-100 (+4)  56-61        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   W  6         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  6         LGT/VAR      W  6         

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           20           60           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            2            

PRECIP BEGIN          4 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.02         0.16         

LAL                   2            2            4            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5600                      5200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 12                      W 18         

DISPERSION            27 FAIR                   39 FAIR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  5                      W  8 G17     

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  7         S  5         W  8 G17     



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE

50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 80S. NORTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 50S

TO MID 60S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH

AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO

70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO

70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 80S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S

TO LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-111030-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

527 AM EDT WED SEP 10 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      77-82 (+1)   63-68 (+4)   77-82        

RH % (24H TREND)      54-59 (-5)   95-100 (0)   56-61        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  5                      SW  6        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  6        S  6         W  6         

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           20           60           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            2            

PRECIP BEGIN          4 PM         CONTINUING   8 AM         

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   11 PM        CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.01         0.17         

LAL                   2            2            4            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5500                      5300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 13                     SW 17        

DISPERSION            26 FAIR                   35 FAIR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  6                      SW  8 G15    

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  8        S  8 G18     W  7         



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE

MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 80S. NORTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 50S

TO MID 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST

AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

UPPER 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 50S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 80S. WEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

50S TO LOWER 80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-111030-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

527 AM EDT WED SEP 10 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      81-86 (0)    66-71 (+6)   82-87        

RH % (24H TREND)      51-56 (-5)   93-98 (0)    53-58        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  6                      LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  6         S  5         SW  5        

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            60           

PRECIP DURATION       1                         2            

PRECIP BEGIN          4 PM                      8 AM         

PRECIP END            CONTINUING                CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.15         

LAL                   2            1            4            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5500                      5000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 16                      SW 16        

DISPERSION            48 GEN GOOD               42 GEN GOOD  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  7                      SW  5        

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  8 G16     S  6         SW  6        



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE

60S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. NORTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID

60S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID

60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 80S. WEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID

60S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-111030-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

527 AM EDT WED SEP 10 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      81-86 (0)    65-70 (+7)   82-87        

RH % (24H TREND)      52-57 (-5)   90-95 (-6)   54-59        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  5                      LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  6         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            60           

PRECIP DURATION       1                         2            

PRECIP BEGIN          4 PM                      8 AM         

PRECIP END            CONTINUING                CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.11         

LAL                   2            2            4            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5800                      5200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 14                      W 15         

DISPERSION            44 GEN GOOD               38 FAIR      

MAX LVORI             4                         3            

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  6                      LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  8         S  5         W  5         



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE

60S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

60S TO LOWER 80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

60S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-111030-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

527 AM EDT WED SEP 10 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      82-87 (0)    64-69 (+2)   82-87        

RH % (24H TREND)      53-58 (+3)   90-95 (0)    51-56        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SW  5        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  6        LGT/VAR      W  7         

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            60           

PRECIP DURATION       1                         2            

PRECIP BEGIN          4 PM                      8 AM         

PRECIP END            8 PM                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.21         

LAL                   2            1            4            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5200                      5000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 13                     SW 20        

DISPERSION            39 FAIR                   59 GEN GOOD  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SW  7 G17    

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  7        LGT/VAR      W  9 G17     



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE

60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING

LIGHT. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. NORTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO

THE WEST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID

60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID

60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 80S. WEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID

60S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-111030-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

527 AM EDT WED SEP 10 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      83-88 (+1)   67-72 (+4)   83-88        

RH % (24H TREND)      52-57 (0)    88-93 (-4)   54-59        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  5                      SW  5        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  7         LGT/VAR      W  5         

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            70           

PRECIP DURATION       1                         2            

PRECIP BEGIN          4 PM                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            8 PM                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.29         

LAL                   2            1            4            

LASI                  5                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5100                      5000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 17                     SW 18        

DISPERSION            56 GEN GOOD               59 GEN GOOD  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  6 G15                  SW  6 G15    

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  9 G16     LGT/VAR      W  7 G16     



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE

60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. NORTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

60S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND

60. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S

TO LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-111030-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

527 AM EDT WED SEP 10 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      85-90 (+2)   68-73 (+3)   84-89        

RH % (24H TREND)      51-56 (-3)   87-92 (-2)   53-58        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  5                      LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  7         LGT/VAR      SW  5        

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            70           

PRECIP DURATION       1                         2            

PRECIP BEGIN          4 PM                      8 AM         

PRECIP END            8 PM                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.22         

LAL                   2            1            4            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5200                      5000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 18                      SW 17        

DISPERSION            65 GOOD                   56 GEN GOOD  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  7 G16                  SW  6 G15    

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  9 G17     S  5         SW  7 G17    



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE

60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO

LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S

TO LOWER 80S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S

TO LOWER 80S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



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