

569 

FNUS54 KMRX 151425 AAA

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...UPDATED

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

1025 AM EDT FRI AUG 15 2014



.DISCUSSION...

A GRADUAL WARMING TREND WILL DEVELOP OVER THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN 

REGION TODAY...WITH THE CHANCES OF THUNDERSTORMS INCREASING BY EARLY 

NEXT WEEK. TEMPERATURES WILL BECOME A LITTLE ABOVE NORMAL BY EARLY 

NEXT WEEK.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-161530-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

1025 AM EDT FRI AUG 15 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      78-83 (+2)   55-60 (-1)   81-86        

RH % (24H TREND)      41-46 (-4)   89-94 (-6)   34-39        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  6         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           20           0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          2 PM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   12 AM                     

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.01         0.00         

LAL                   2            2            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6300                      6300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 10                      W  8         

DISPERSION            39 FAIR                   31 FAIR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  7         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH 

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 

MID 80S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 

IN THE 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 80S. WEST WINDS 

5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 

MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN 

THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN 

THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS 

THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-161530-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

1025 AM EDT FRI AUG 15 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      76-81 (+2)   54-59 (-1)   78-83        

RH % (24H TREND)      43-48 (-3)   89-94 (-5)   35-40        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  6        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           20           0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          2 PM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   12 AM                     

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.01         0.00         

LAL                   2            2            1            

LASI                  4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6600                      6300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 12                     NW  9        

DISPERSION            37 FAIR                   27 FAIR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  5                      LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  7        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS NEAR 60. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS 

IN THE 80S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 

IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 

80S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 

LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN 

THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 

LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-161530-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

1025 AM EDT FRI AUG 15 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      77-82 (+2)   55-60 (-1)   78-83        

RH % (24H TREND)      40-45 (-3)   88-93 (-7)   35-40        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  5        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           20           0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          2 PM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   12 AM                     

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.01         0.00         

LAL                   2            2            1            

LASI                  5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6500                      6600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW  9                     NW  5        

DISPERSION            28 FAIR                   14 GEN POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  6        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO UPPER 60S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS 

IN THE UPPER 70S TO LOWER 90S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 

IN THE UPPER 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 

MID 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 

60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN 

THE 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO LOWER 90S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 

60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO LOWER 90S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-161530-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

1025 AM EDT FRI AUG 15 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      81-86 (+2)   57-62 (0)    84-89        

RH % (24H TREND)      38-43 (-3)   88-93 (-7)   31-36        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  5        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6100                      6400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW  9                     NW  3        

DISPERSION            31 FAIR                   14 GEN POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  6        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS 

IN THE MID 80S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 

IN THE 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 

MID 80S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 

UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN 

THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 

UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S TO LOWER 90S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-161530-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

1025 AM EDT FRI AUG 15 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      81-86 (+2)   54-59 (-1)   84-89        

RH % (24H TREND)      39-44 (-3)   94-99 (-2)   30-35        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6300                      6300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW  8                     W  3         

DISPERSION            30 FAIR                   13 GEN POOR  

MAX LVORI             4                         5            

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  5        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. 

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS 

IN THE 80S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 

IN THE 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 

MID 80S TO LOWER 90S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 

MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S TO LOWER 90S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 

UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S TO LOWER 90S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 

MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S TO LOWER 90S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-161530-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

1025 AM EDT FRI AUG 15 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      81-86 (+3)   56-61 (0)    83-88        

RH % (24H TREND)      39-44 (-5)   88-93 (-7)   31-36        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  5         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           20           0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          2 PM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   12 AM                     

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.01         0.00         

LAL                   2            2            1            

LASI                  4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6200                      6300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  9                      W  7         

DISPERSION            39 FAIR                   28 FAIR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  6         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH 

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS 

IN THE MID 80S TO LOWER 90S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 

IN THE 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 

80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 

MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN 

THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 

MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 

UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 

MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-161530-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

1025 AM EDT FRI AUG 15 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      81-86 (+2)   59-64 (+1)   83-88        

RH % (24H TREND)      40-45 (-2)   84-89 (-11)  33-38        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           20           0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          2 PM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   12 AM                     

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.01         0.00         

LAL                   2            2            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6000                      6200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW  8                     W  5         

DISPERSION            32 FAIR                   18 GEN POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS 

IN THE MID 80S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 

IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 

MID 80S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 

UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 

MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 

AROUND 70. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 

UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 

MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-161530-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

1025 AM EDT FRI AUG 15 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      84-89 (+2)   60-65 (+2)   85-90        

RH % (24H TREND)      37-42 (-2)   83-88 (-12)  31-36        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5800                      6000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW  6                     W  2         

DISPERSION            25 FAIR                   12 POOR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS 

IN THE MID 80S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 

NEAR 70. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 

MID 80S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 

70. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 

AROUND 70. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 

LOWS AROUND 70. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S TO LOWER 90S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS 

THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



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