

596 

FNUS54 KMRX 140912

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

512 AM EDT THU AUG 14 2014



.DISCUSSION...

 

DRY AND PLEASANT CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE OVER THE SOUTHERN 

APPALACHIAN REGION THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE WORK WEEK. EXPECT 

MOSTLY SUNNY DAYS AND CLEAR NIGHTS...WITH TEMPERATURES A FEW DEGREES 

BELOW NORMAL. A GRADUAL WARMING TREND BEGINS BY THE WEEKEND...WITH 

THE CHANCES FOR THUNDERSTORMS INCREASING BY EARLY NEXT WEEK. 





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-151015-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

512 AM EDT THU AUG 14 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      76-81 (+2)   54-59 (+2)   79-84        

RH % (24H TREND)      41-46 (-4)   89-94 (-4)   36-41        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  5         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6200                      6700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  8                      W 10         

DISPERSION            30 FAIR                   42 GEN GOOD  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   W  5         

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  6         LGT/VAR      NW  6        



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S.

NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT.

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO 80S. WEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING

LIGHT. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-151015-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

512 AM EDT THU AUG 14 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      74-79 (+1)   54-59 (+3)   78-83        

RH % (24H TREND)      41-46 (-5)   88-93 (-4)   37-42        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  5        LGT/VAR      NW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6700                      6700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW  8                     NW 13        

DISPERSION            25 FAIR                   43 GEN GOOD  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   W  6         

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  6        LGT/VAR      NW  7        



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 80S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S.

WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO 80S. WEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. WEST

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. WEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-151015-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

512 AM EDT THU AUG 14 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      77-82 (+3)   54-59 (+1)   79-84        

RH % (24H TREND)      36-41 (-7)   87-92 (-3)   36-41        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NW  5        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6700                      6800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW  3                     NW  8        

DISPERSION            12 POOR                   23 FAIR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  5        LGT/VAR      NW  6        



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING

LIGHT. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 80S.

NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID

60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING

LIGHT. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 80S. WEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-151015-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

512 AM EDT THU AUG 14 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      81-86 (+4)   56-61 (+1)   82-87        

RH % (24H TREND)      35-40 (-6)   86-91 (-3)   33-38        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NW  5        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6300                      6600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  2                      N  6         

DISPERSION            10 POOR                   23 FAIR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  5        LGT/VAR      NW  6        



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S.

EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 90S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST EARLY IN

THE AFTERNOON. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID

60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING

BECOMING LIGHT. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO 80S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-151015-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

512 AM EDT THU AUG 14 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      81-86 (+4)   53-58 (+1)   82-87        

RH % (24H TREND)      37-42 (-4)   88-93 (-6)   32-37        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6800                      6700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  3                      NW  6        

DISPERSION            14 GEN POOR               23 FAIR      

MAX LVORI             5                         4            

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  5         LGT/VAR      NW  6        



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER 80S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST EARLY IN

THE AFTERNOON. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER

60S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO 80S.

NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-151015-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

512 AM EDT THU AUG 14 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      79-84 (+3)   55-60 (+2)   81-86        

RH % (24H TREND)      39-44 (-5)   89-94 (-3)   34-39        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5200                      6200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  5                      W 10         

DISPERSION            16 GEN POOR               40 FAIR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  5         LGT/VAR      NW  5        



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S.

LIGHT WINDS. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER 80S. WEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING

LIGHT. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S. WEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER

80S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-151015-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

512 AM EDT THU AUG 14 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      81-86 (+4)   55-60 (0)    82-87        

RH % (24H TREND)      36-41 (-5)   90-95 (+1)   33-38        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5500                      6100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW  3                     NW  7        

DISPERSION            10 POOR                   30 FAIR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS NEAR 60. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO LOWER 90S.

LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE

AFTERNOON. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S.

LIGHT WINDS. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO LOWER 90S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO LOWER 90S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO

LOWER 90S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-151015-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

512 AM EDT THU AUG 14 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      83-88 (+4)   57-62 (0)    84-89        

RH % (24H TREND)      35-40 (-5)   87-92 (+1)   32-37        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5700                      6200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NE  3                     N  6         

DISPERSION            14 GEN POOR               25 FAIR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 60S. LIGHT

WINDS. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S TO LOWER 90S.

LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE

AFTERNOON. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 60S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTH WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO LOWER

90S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



