

360 

FNUS54 KMRX 110814

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

414 AM EDT MON AUG 11 2014



.DISCUSSION...

COVERAGE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL INCREASE... 

AS A WARM FRONT MOVES NORTHEAST INTO THE REGION TODAY THEN A COLD 

FRONT APPROACHES LATE TONIGHT. DRIER AIR MAY MOVE INTO THE SOUTHERN 

APPALACHIANS BY LATE TUESDAY NIGHT OR EARLY WEDNESDAY. 



VAZ001-002-005-006-008-120900-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

414 AM EDT MON AUG 11 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      75-80 (+1)   63-68 (-1)   77-82        

RH % (24H TREND)      66-71 (-7)   95-100 (0)   59-64        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  6         S  5         SW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           70           60           

PRECIP DURATION       2            3            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.22         0.36         0.23         

LAL                   4            4            3            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5600                      5700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 13                      W 13         

DISPERSION            38 FAIR                   39 FAIR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  5 G15                  SW  6        

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  8 G16     S  7         SW  8 G16    



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S.

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COOLER. LOWS IN THE 40S TO UPPER

50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S.

NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 60S TO MID 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO

MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-120900-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

414 AM EDT MON AUG 11 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      73-78 (+2)   61-66 (-1)   75-80        

RH % (24H TREND)      63-68 (-10)  95-100 (+1)  57-62        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   W  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  5         S  5         W  7         

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           60           60           

PRECIP DURATION       2            2            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.17         0.24         0.26         

LAL                   4            4            3            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6100                      5900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S  8                      W 13         

DISPERSION            23 FAIR                   34 FAIR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   W  6         

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  6         S  7         W  9 G17     



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 80S.

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 80S.

NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

60S TO MID 80S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND

60. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO

MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-120900-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

414 AM EDT MON AUG 11 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      72-77 (-1)   62-67 (-1)   76-81        

RH % (24H TREND)      64-69 (-7)   95-100 (+2)  53-58        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   W  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  5        SW  5        W  7         

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           50           50           

PRECIP DURATION       2            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.18         0.22         0.20         

LAL                   4            3            3            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6300                      6100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  9                     W 13         

DISPERSION            26 FAIR                   34 FAIR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   W  6         

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  6        SW  6        W  9 G17     



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 80S.

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COOLER. LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER

60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 80S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 60S TO MID 80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND

60. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID

80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-120900-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

414 AM EDT MON AUG 11 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      78-83 (+1)   66-71 (0)    80-85        

RH % (24H TREND)      61-66 (-7)   90-95 (-1)   52-57        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  5        LGT/VAR      W  6         

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           50           50           

PRECIP DURATION       2            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.18         0.22         0.18         

LAL                   4            3            3            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6200                      5700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 12                     W 10         

DISPERSION            42 GEN GOOD               34 FAIR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  5                      SW  5        

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  6        SW  5        W  8         



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 80S.

NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COOLER. LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER

60S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO 80S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO 80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO 80S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-120900-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

414 AM EDT MON AUG 11 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      77-82 (+2)   64-69 (-1)   80-85        

RH % (24H TREND)      61-66 (-8)   91-96 (-1)   52-57        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  6         

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           50           50           

PRECIP DURATION       2            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.17         0.20         0.20         

LAL                   4            3            3            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6900                      6500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 10                     W 12         

DISPERSION            41 GEN GOOD               43 GEN GOOD  

MAX LVORI             4                         4            

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  5        LGT/VAR      W  9 G16     



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AND

SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. NORTH

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COOLER. LOWS IN THE 50S.

NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND

60. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-120900-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

414 AM EDT MON AUG 11 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      79-84 (+1)   64-69 (-1)   80-85        

RH % (24H TREND)      60-65 (-5)   95-100 (+1)  53-58        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  5         LGT/VAR      W  6 G15     

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           60           50           

PRECIP DURATION       2            2            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.20         0.29         0.20         

LAL                   4            4            3            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5400                      5800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 10                     W 13         

DISPERSION            36 FAIR                   47 GEN GOOD  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SW  6        

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  6         S  5         W  8 G18     



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING

LIGHT. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 80S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE

MID 70S TO UPPER 80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER

80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-120900-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

414 AM EDT MON AUG 11 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      80-85 (+1)   67-72 (0)    81-86        

RH % (24H TREND)      60-65 (-5)   92-97 (-3)   49-54        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  7        SW  5        W  6         

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           60           50           

PRECIP DURATION       2            2            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.31         0.31         0.15         

LAL                   4            4            3            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5400                      5500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 14                     W 12         

DISPERSION            51 GEN GOOD               40 FAIR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  6                      SW  5        

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  9 G18    SW  6        W  8 G15     



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S.

NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COOLER. LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER

60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. NORTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID

70S TO UPPER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S

TO UPPER 80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER

80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-120900-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

414 AM EDT MON AUG 11 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      83-88 (+1)   66-71 (-3)   83-88        

RH % (24H TREND)      57-62 (-3)   95-100 (+2)  48-53        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  5                      LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  7        LGT/VAR      W  7         

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           60           40           

PRECIP DURATION       2            2            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.29         0.21         0.13         

LAL                   4            4            3            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5600                      5100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 15                     W 10         

DISPERSION            57 GEN GOOD               35 FAIR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  6                      SW  5        

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  9 G17    SW  5        W  9 G17     



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S. NORTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S.

NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S. NORTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S

TO UPPER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO LOWER 90S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO LOWER

90S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TG/TD



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