

586 

FNUS54 KMRX 100822

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

422 AM EDT SUN AUG 10 2014



.DISCUSSION...

.THE ATMOSPHERE WILL CONTINUE TO BE QUITE MOIST AND 

UNSTABLE...AS A WEAK LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM AND FRONTAL BOUNDARY REMAIN 

IN THE REGION. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL STAY IN THE 

FORECAST INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN WILL BE POSSIBLE 

THROUGH THE PERIOD...ALTHOUGH NOT ALL AREAS WILL GET RAINFALL. 



VAZ001-002-005-006-008-110930-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

422 AM EDT SUN AUG 10 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      75-80 (0)    62-67 (0)    76-81        

RH % (24H TREND)      69-74 (-5)   95-100 (+3)  63-68        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  5                     SE  5        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  7        SE  5        S  7 G15     

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           50           60           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            2            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.22         0.15         0.18         

LAL                   4            4            4            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5400                      5500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S  8                      S 13         

DISPERSION            23 FAIR                   36 FAIR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  6                     SE  6 G16    

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  8 G17    SE  7 G17    S  9 G19     



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN

THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S

TO LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID

80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-110930-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

422 AM EDT SUN AUG 10 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      72-77 (+1)   61-66 (-1)   73-78        

RH % (24H TREND)      66-71 (-10)  95-100 (+3)  63-68        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  6                     LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  7        SE  5        SE  6        

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           60           60           

PRECIP DURATION       2            2            2            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.20         0.22         0.18         

LAL                   4            4            4            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5800                      6000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S  8                      S 10         

DISPERSION            19 GEN POOR               27 FAIR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  8 G17                 SE  5        

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  9 G17    SE  7 G15    SE  8 G17    



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 80S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN

THE MID 60S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S

TO MID 80S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 60S TO MID 80S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO

MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-110930-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

422 AM EDT SUN AUG 10 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      74-79 (0)    63-68 (0)    73-78        

RH % (24H TREND)      63-68 (-7)   95-100 (+4)  64-69        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           60           60           

PRECIP DURATION       1            2            2            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.38         0.13         0.19         

LAL                   4            4            4            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6500                      5700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  7                     SW  9        

DISPERSION            22 FAIR                   18 GEN POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  5        



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 80S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 80S.

NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 60S TO MID 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 60S

TO 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 80S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-110930-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

422 AM EDT SUN AUG 10 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      78-83 (0)    65-70 (0)    78-83        

RH % (24H TREND)      65-70 (-3)   93-98 (+4)   59-64        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           60           50           

PRECIP DURATION       2            2            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.32         0.11         0.20         

LAL                   4            4            4            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6000                      6000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  9                     SW 10        

DISPERSION            33 FAIR                   32 FAIR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  7        



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE 70S TO 80S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO 80S. NORTH WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S

TO MID 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S

TO 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO 80S.

SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-110930-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

422 AM EDT SUN AUG 10 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      76-81 (-2)   65-70 (+1)   77-82        

RH % (24H TREND)      67-72 (0)    95-100 (+4)  59-64        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           60           60           

PRECIP DURATION       2            2            2            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.33         0.12         0.17         

LAL                   4            4            4            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6700                      6800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  8                     SW  8        

DISPERSION            33 FAIR                   31 FAIR      

MAX LVORI             4                         4            

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  5         LGT/VAR      SW  6        



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE 70S TO 80S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S.

NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO

MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-110930-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

422 AM EDT SUN AUG 10 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      79-84 (+2)   64-69 (-1)   80-85        

RH % (24H TREND)      61-66 (-8)   95-100 (+5)  58-63        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  6        LGT/VAR      S  5         

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           50           60           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            2            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.30         0.13         0.16         

LAL                   4            4            4            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5100                      5400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S  7                      S  9         

DISPERSION            20 GEN POOR               29 FAIR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  6                     LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  7        SE  5        S  6         



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE 70S TO 80S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN

THE UPPER 60S TO MID 80S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S

TO 80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-110930-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

422 AM EDT SUN AUG 10 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      80-85 (+1)   66-71 (-1)   81-86        

RH % (24H TREND)      62-67 (-5)   95-100 (+3)  56-61        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           40           60           

PRECIP DURATION       2            1            2            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.38         0.09         0.18         

LAL                   4            4            4            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5100                      5400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 10                     SW 12        

DISPERSION            33 FAIR                   40 FAIR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  7        



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S.

NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID

70S TO UPPER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID

70S TO UPPER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER

80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-110930-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

422 AM EDT SUN AUG 10 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      83-88 (+3)   67-72 (0)    83-88        

RH % (24H TREND)      56-61 (-7)   93-98 (+3)   53-58        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  5        

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           40           50           

PRECIP DURATION       2            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.26         0.08         0.19         

LAL                   4            4            3            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5200                      5600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 12                      SW 12        

DISPERSION            39 FAIR                   43 GEN GOOD  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SW  5        

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  7        



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. COOLER. LOWS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTH WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER 80S.

NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S

TO UPPER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

70S TO LOWER 90S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TG/TD



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