

573 

FNUS54 KMRX 090805

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

405 AM EDT SAT AUG 9 2014



.DISCUSSION...

. A SLOW MOVING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM ALONG WITH ABUNDANT LOW LEVEL

MOISTURE WILL BRING NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS

TO THE REGION THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT. LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN WILL BE

POSSIBLE ALONG WITH RISING CREEKS AND STREAMS. THE WET PATTERN

IS EXPECTED TO LAST INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. 



VAZ001-002-005-006-008-100900-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

405 AM EDT SAT AUG 9 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      75-80 (0)    63-68 (0)    75-80        

RH % (24H TREND)      69-74 (+4)   95-100 (+2)  69-74        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SE  6        

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           60           70           

PRECIP DURATION       6            2            3            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.44         0.25         0.38         

LAL                   3            4            5            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6100                      5200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  8                     S  7         

DISPERSION            28 FAIR                   20 GEN POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SE  7 G15    



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO

LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND

60. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S

TO MID 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-100900-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

405 AM EDT SAT AUG 9 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      71-76 (-1)   61-66 (-1)   72-77        

RH % (24H TREND)      70-75 (+3)   95-100 (+2)  70-75        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SE  6        

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           60           80           

PRECIP DURATION       6            2            6            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.46         0.27         0.39         

LAL                   3            4            5            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6400                      5500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  6                     SE  6        

DISPERSION            19 GEN POOR               14 GEN POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SE  5        SE  8 G16    



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

60S TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 80S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 60S TO MID 80S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S

TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-100900-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

405 AM EDT SAT AUG 9 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      74-79 (0)    62-67 (0)    74-79        

RH % (24H TREND)      64-69 (0)    95-100 (+2)  64-69        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           60           60           

PRECIP DURATION       6            2            3            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.38         0.26         0.42         

LAL                   3            4            4            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6500                      6100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  9                     SW  7        

DISPERSION            29 FAIR                   16 GEN POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO

MID 80S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 80S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND

60. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO 80S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S

TO MID 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 60S TO MID 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-100900-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

405 AM EDT SAT AUG 9 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      78-83 (0)    65-70 (+1)   78-83        

RH % (24H TREND)      64-69 (+2)   95-100 (+2)  63-68        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  6        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           60           60           

PRECIP DURATION       2            2            2            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.34         0.27         0.43         

LAL                   3            4            4            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5700                      5900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 10                     SW  9        

DISPERSION            32 FAIR                   30 FAIR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  5         

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  7        SW  5        SW  6        



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE 70S TO 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE 70S TO 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE

60S TO UPPER 80S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE

70S TO 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO

80S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-100900-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

405 AM EDT SAT AUG 9 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      78-83 (0)    64-69 (+1)   76-81        

RH % (24H TREND)      63-68 (+2)   95-100 (+1)  64-69        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  5        LGT/VAR      S  5         

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           60           60           

PRECIP DURATION       2            2            3            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.38         0.26         0.46         

LAL                   3            4            4            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5900                      6600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  9                     SW  8        

DISPERSION            27 FAIR                   29 FAIR      

MAX LVORI             4                         4            

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  5         

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  6        LGT/VAR      S  6         



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE 70S TO 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND

60. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S

TO MID 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-100900-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

405 AM EDT SAT AUG 9 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      77-82 (-1)   65-70 (+1)   79-84        

RH % (24H TREND)      65-70 (+5)   95-100 (+2)  63-68        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           60           70           

PRECIP DURATION       6            2            3            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.41         0.24         0.41         

LAL                   3            4            5            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6500                      5000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  9                     S  6         

DISPERSION            41 GEN GOOD               17 GEN POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SE  5        



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

.MONDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER

70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE 70S TO 80S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO 80S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S

TO MID 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-100900-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

405 AM EDT SAT AUG 9 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      79-84 (-1)   66-71 (+1)   80-85        

RH % (24H TREND)      64-69 (+4)   95-100 (+3)  60-65        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           60           60           

PRECIP DURATION       2            2            2            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.36         0.32         0.39         

LAL                   3            4            4            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5800                      5000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 10                     SW 10        

DISPERSION            42 GEN GOOD               33 FAIR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  5        LGT/VAR      S  5         



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE

MID 70S TO UPPER 80S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE

MID 70S TO UPPER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID

70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-100900-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

405 AM EDT SAT AUG 9 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      80-85 (-2)   67-72 (+1)   82-87        

RH % (24H TREND)      62-67 (+5)   95-100 (+2)  57-62        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SW  5        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  6        LGT/VAR      SW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           60           60           

PRECIP DURATION       2            2            2            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.30         0.28         0.24         

LAL                   3            4            4            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5500                      5100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 10                     SW 12        

DISPERSION            40 FAIR                   38 FAIR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SW  6        

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  7        LGT/VAR      SW  7        



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE 80S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S

TO UPPER 80S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S

TO UPPER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO

UPPER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TG/TD



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