

192 

FNUS54 KMRX 271520 AAA

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...UPDATED

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

1120 AM EDT SUN JUL 27 2014



.DISCUSSION...

 

A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION 

TODAY...TRIGGERING A GOOD COVERAGE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS INTO 

TONIGHT. COOLER AND DRIER AIR WILL THEN MOVE INTO THE REGION ON 

MONDAY...WITH TEMPERATURES EXPECTED TO BE BELOW NORMAL FOR MOST OF 

THE UPCOMING WEEK.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-281630-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

1120 AM EDT SUN JUL 27 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      81-86 (+2)   63-68 (-1)   73-78        

RH % (24H TREND)      52-57 (+7)   90-95 (+2)   49-54        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  8 G19                 W  9 G18     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 12 G20    W 10 G20     NW 10 G18    

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           60           20           

PRECIP DURATION       2            2            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   5 PM         

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.38         0.57         0.05         

LAL                   4            4            2            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5000                      6200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 21                     NW 22        

DISPERSION            51 GEN GOOD               77 GOOD      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW 10 G23                 W 12 G22     

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 14 G26    W 13 G25     NW 12 G22    



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S.

NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT.

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. WEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. EAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-281630-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

1120 AM EDT SUN JUL 27 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      81-86 (+1)   63-68 (0)    72-77        

RH % (24H TREND)      49-54 (+5)   88-93 (+1)   46-51        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  9 G17                  W 11 G21     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 12 G22     W 12 G25     W 12 G22     

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           60           20           

PRECIP DURATION       1            2            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.15         0.37         0.06         

LAL                   4            4            2            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5000                      6400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 21                      W 25         

DISPERSION            38 FAIR                   79 GOOD      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W 11 G21                  W 15 G27     

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 14 G28     W 15 G32     W 14 G27     



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST AFTER

MIDNIGHT. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 80S.

WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO

MID 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-281630-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

1120 AM EDT SUN JUL 27 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      82-87 (+1)   64-69 (0)    73-78        

RH % (24H TREND)      50-55 (+4)   87-92 (+3)   44-49        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  7 G15                  NW  8 G17    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 12 G21     W 14 G33     W 10 G18     

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           60           20           

PRECIP DURATION       1            2            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.07         0.34         0.08         

LAL                   3            4            2            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5000                      6500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 20                      NW 21        

DISPERSION            30 FAIR                   58 GEN GOOD  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  9 G19                  NW 10 G21    

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 15 G27     W 18 G41     W 13 G23     



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.

NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO 70S. NORTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID

80S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-281630-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

1120 AM EDT SUN JUL 27 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      84-89 (-1)   66-71 (0)    78-83        

RH % (24H TREND)      49-54 (+3)   88-93 (+4)   41-46        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  5                      NW  7        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 11 G20    SW 11 G23    NW  9        

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           50           20           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.06         0.20         0.05         

LAL                   3            4            2            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4500                      6300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 18                      NW 18        

DISPERSION            38 FAIR                   66 GOOD      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  6 G17                  NW  9 G18    

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 14 G25    SW 14 G28    NW 11 G19    



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO 80S.

NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 80S. NORTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 80S. NORTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-281630-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

1120 AM EDT SUN JUL 27 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      84-89 (0)    63-68 (0)    78-83        

RH % (24H TREND)      49-54 (+4)   95-100 (+3)  41-46        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  6                     NW  9 G16    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 10 G19     W 11 G22     NW  9 G16    

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           50           20           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.17         0.07         

LAL                   2            3            2            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4900                      6400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 17                      NW 20        

DISPERSION            40 FAIR                   72 GOOD      

MAX LVORI             4                         4            

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  7 G16                 NW 11 G21    

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 13 G24     W 14 G27     NW 12 G21    



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO 80S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 80S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 80S. NORTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-281630-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

1120 AM EDT SUN JUL 27 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      84-89 (+2)   65-70 (0)    76-81        

RH % (24H TREND)      49-54 (+5)   89-94 (+3)   46-51        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  8 G18                 W  8 G16     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 12 G21    W  9 G19     W 10 G18     

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           60           20           

PRECIP DURATION       1            2            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.17         0.51         0.02         

LAL                   4            4            2            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4900                      5900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 20                      W 20         

DISPERSION            57 GEN GOOD               78 GOOD      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  9 G22                 W 10 G21     

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 15 G26    W 12 G24     W 12 G22     



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. WEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST AFTER MIDNIGHT.

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

MID 70S TO UPPER 80S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-281630-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

1120 AM EDT SUN JUL 27 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      85-90 (+1)   66-71 (-1)   77-82        

RH % (24H TREND)      50-55 (+5)   86-91 (+2)   43-48        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  7 G17                 W  6         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 11 G19    W  9 G19     NW  8 G15    

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           60           0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            2                         

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.14         0.24         0.00         

LAL                   3            4            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4600                      5800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 18                     NW 18        

DISPERSION            53 GEN GOOD               72 GOOD      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  9 G22                 W  8 G18     

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 14 G24    W 12 G23     NW 10 G19    



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE

70S TO UPPER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-281630-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

1120 AM EDT SUN JUL 27 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      88-93 (+3)   68-73 (0)    79-84        

RH % (24H TREND)      45-50 (+3)   84-89 (+2)   38-43        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  6 G16                 NW  5        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 11 G20    W  9 G18     NW  8 G15    

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           50           20           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   11 AM        

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.15         0.02         

LAL                   3            4            2            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4200                      5800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 18                      NW 18        

DISPERSION            48 GEN GOOD               72 GOOD      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  8 G20                 NW  7 G15    

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 14 G25    W 12 G23     NW 10 G19    



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTH WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S.

NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO

LOWER 90S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. NORTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



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