

387 

FNUS54 KMRX 231900

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

300 PM EDT WED JUL 23 2014



.DISCUSSION...

A SLOW MOVING COLD FRONT WILL KEEP THE POSSIBILITY OF 

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE FORECAST THROUGH THURSDAY. THE COLD 

FRONT MOVES SOUTHEAST OF THE APPALACHIANS BY THURSDAY EVENING... 

FOLLOWED BY DRIER AND SLIGHTLY COOLER AIR INTO THE FIRST PART OF THE 

WEEKEND.

 



VAZ001-002-005-006-008-242000-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

300 PM EDT WED JUL 23 2014



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      63-68 (-1)   75-80 (-5)   56-61        78-83        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+3)  63-68 (+3)   95-100       40-45        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           60           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       5            2                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING                             

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING                             

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.26         0.21         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   5            4            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5800                      7000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 12                      SW  7        

DISPERSION                         36 FAIR                   32 FAIR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  5         LGT/VAR      N  5         LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER 80S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE

70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. WEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S

TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-242000-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

300 PM EDT WED JUL 23 2014



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      62-67 (+1)   74-79 (-2)   54-59        76-81        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+1)  60-65 (-6)   95-100       41-46        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW  5        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           60           20           0            

PRECIP DURATION       3            2            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   2 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.16         0.23         0.01         0.00         

LAL                   4            4            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6400                      8100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 13                      SW  7        

DISPERSION                         39 FAIR                   30 FAIR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  6         NW  7        N  5         LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO 80S. WEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE

70S TO MID 80S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHWEST

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S

TO UPPER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-242000-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

300 PM EDT WED JUL 23 2014



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      62-67 (+1)   74-79 (-2)   56-61        74-79        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+4)  56-61 (-8)   95-100       45-50        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  6                     LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  6         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           60           20           0            

PRECIP DURATION       3            2            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   2 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.29         0.36         0.01         0.00         

LAL                   4            4            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6000                      7500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 12                      W  6         

DISPERSION                         28 FAIR                   22 FAIR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  8 G17                 LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  8 G16     NW  5        LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 60S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 80S. WEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO 80S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. WEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID

60S TO LOWER 80S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-242000-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

300 PM EDT WED JUL 23 2014



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      65-70 (+2)   79-84 (-4)   60-65        81-86        

RH % (24H TREND)      90-95 (-1)   57-62 (+3)   95-100       44-49        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  6                     LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  6        LGT/VAR      SW  5        

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           60           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       2            2                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING                             

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.29         0.31         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   4            4            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5700                      7300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 10                      SW  7        

DISPERSION                         32 FAIR                   32 FAIR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  8 G15                 LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  8        LGT/VAR      SW  6        



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 90S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO

UPPER 80S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S

TO LOWER 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-242000-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

300 PM EDT WED JUL 23 2014



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      65-70 (+3)   78-83 (-4)   60-65        81-86        

RH % (24H TREND)      87-92 (-5)   56-61 (+2)   95-100       43-48        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  5                     LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  6         LGT/VAR      SW  5        

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           60           20           0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            3            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   2 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.20         0.30         0.01         0.00         

LAL                   3            4            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6500                      8200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 12                      SW  8        

DISPERSION                         43 GEN GOOD               44 GEN GOOD  

MAX LVORI                          4                         4            

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  6 G15                 LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  8 G15     LGT/VAR      SW  6        



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER 80S. WEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO

UPPER 80S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S

TO LOWER 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-242000-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

300 PM EDT WED JUL 23 2014



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      64-69 (0)    78-83 (-4)   57-62        80-85        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+2)  58-63 (-1)   95-100       38-43        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           60           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       3            2                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING                             

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING                             

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.29         0.28         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   5            4            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5500                      6900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 13                      SW  7        

DISPERSION                         43 GEN GOOD               31 FAIR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO LOWER 90S.

WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

.SUNDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE

70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. WEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S

TO LOWER 80S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO

MID 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-242000-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

300 PM EDT WED JUL 23 2014



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      65-70 (-1)   79-84 (-3)   59-64        81-86        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+3)  55-60 (-4)   95-100       38-43        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  5                      LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  5         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           50           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       3            1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING                             

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.48         0.19         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   5            4            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5300                      6400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 10                     SW  5        

DISPERSION                         36 FAIR                   20 GEN POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  6                      LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  6         N  5         LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO LOWER 90S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 80S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. WEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO

LOWER 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO

MID 80S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-242000-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

300 PM EDT WED JUL 23 2014



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      66-71 (0)    82-87 (-4)   60-65        82-87        

RH % (24H TREND)      93-98 (-1)   53-58 (+2)   95-100       38-43        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  6                      LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  6         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           50           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       3            1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING                             

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.38         0.12         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   4            4            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5500                      6000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 10                     SW  5        

DISPERSION                         40 FAIR                   20 GEN POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  8 G16                  LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  7         NW  5        LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 60S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO LOWER 90S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S

TO LOWER 90S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 80S. NORTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S

TO MID 80S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



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