

638 

FNUS54 KMRX 150751

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

351 AM EDT TUE JUL 15 2014



.DISCUSSION...

SHOWERS WILL END TODAY AS A COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH THE 

AREA. UNSEASONABLY COOL TEMPERATURES WILL MOVE IN BEHIND THE FRONT 

TONIGHT...AND LINGER THROUGH WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-160900-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

351 AM EDT TUE JUL 15 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      73-78 (-9)   52-57 (-12)  71-76        

RH % (24H TREND)      60-65 (+2)   93-98 (+3)   41-46        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  6         NW  5        N  5         

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       2                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM                                   

PRECIP END            8 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.30         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   3            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5200                      5800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 13                      NW  8        

DISPERSION            33 FAIR                   25 FAIR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  5                      N  5         

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  8         NW  6        N  6         



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID

50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING

LIGHT. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.FRIDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 70S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER

60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-160900-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

351 AM EDT TUE JUL 15 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      72-77 (-8)   53-58 (-10)  69-74        

RH % (24H TREND)      62-67 (+6)   90-95 (-1)   41-46        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  6                      N  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  7         NW  6        NW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       3                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM                                   

PRECIP END            8 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.34         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   3            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5200                      5800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 16                      NW  9        

DISPERSION            33 FAIR                   25 FAIR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  8 G17                  N  7         

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  9 G17     NW  7 G15    NW  8        



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID

50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING

LIGHT. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 80S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST EARLY IN

THE AFTERNOON. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. EAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO

UPPER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER

60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-160900-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

351 AM EDT TUE JUL 15 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      71-76 (-10)  53-58 (-10)  70-75        

RH % (24H TREND)      65-70 (+10)  86-91 (-4)   38-43        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  7 G15                  LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  6         NW  5        N  6         

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       2                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM                                   

PRECIP END            8 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.36         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   3            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5300                      5900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 13                      N  8         

DISPERSION            24 FAIR                   20 GEN POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  9 G19                  N  6         

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  7         NW  6        N  8         



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S.

NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT.

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 80S. EAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH EARLY IN THE

AFTERNOON. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S

TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER

60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 80S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-160900-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

351 AM EDT TUE JUL 15 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      75-80 (-9)   55-60 (-11)  75-80        

RH % (24H TREND)      63-68 (+9)   89-94 (0)    36-41        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  5                      N  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  5        NW  5        N  6         

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       2                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM                                   

PRECIP END            8 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.36         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   3            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5100                      5700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  9                      N 10         

DISPERSION            24 FAIR                   32 FAIR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  6                      N  6         

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  6        NW  6        N  8         



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 50S. NORTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S.

LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE

AFTERNOON. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. EAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID

60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-160900-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

351 AM EDT TUE JUL 15 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      74-79 (-10)  54-59 (-11)  75-80        

RH % (24H TREND)      66-71 (+11)  95-100 (+1)  35-40        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  5                      LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  5         LGT/VAR      NW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       2                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM                                   

PRECIP END            8 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.39         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   3            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5200                      5800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 10                      NW  9        

DISPERSION            25 FAIR                   28 FAIR      

MAX LVORI             4                         4            

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  6                      N  5         

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  6         NW  6        NW  8        



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 50S. NORTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST EARLY

IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.FRIDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO

LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER

60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-160900-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

351 AM EDT TUE JUL 15 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      76-81 (-8)   53-58 (-12)  74-79        

RH % (24H TREND)      58-63 (+4)   92-97 (+2)   37-42        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  5                      LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  6         NW  5        LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       2                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM                                   

PRECIP END            8 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.31         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   3            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5100                      5700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 14                      NW  7        

DISPERSION            41 GEN GOOD               25 FAIR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  6                      LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  8 G15     NW  6        NW  6        



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 50S. NORTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. EAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST EARLY IN THE

AFTERNOON. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.FRIDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO

LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER

60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-160900-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

351 AM EDT TUE JUL 15 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      77-82 (-8)   54-59 (-13)  75-80        

RH % (24H TREND)      53-58 (0)    86-91 (-2)   36-41        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  5        NW  5        LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM                                   

PRECIP END            8 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.22         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   3            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4900                      5500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 10                     N  8         

DISPERSION            32 FAIR                   29 FAIR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  6                      N  5         

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  6        NW  6        N  6         



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 50S. NORTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS NEAR 60. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY

IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.FRIDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO

LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-160900-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

351 AM EDT TUE JUL 15 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      77-82 (-10)  55-60 (-13)  76-81        

RH % (24H TREND)      55-60 (+4)   81-86 (-5)   35-40        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   N  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  5        NW  5        N  5         

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM                                   

PRECIP END            8 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.24         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   3            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4800                      5400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW  9                     N  9         

DISPERSION            31 FAIR                   33 FAIR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  5                      N  6         

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  7        NW  7        N  6         



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S.

NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. NORTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS NEAR 60. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY

IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.FRIDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S

TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



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