

926 

FNUS54 KMRX 140722

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

322 AM EDT MON JUL 14 2014



.DISCUSSION...

A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN 

REGION TODAY...WITH NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING 

AHEAD OF IT DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS. STRONG TO SEVERE 

STORMS...PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS AND LOCALIZED FLOODING...WILL BE 

POSSIBLE. THIS COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE REGION TUESDAY 

MORNING...WITH UNSEASONABLY COOL TEMPERATURES MOVING INTO THE AREA 

FOR TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-150830-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

322 AM EDT MON JUL 14 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      82-87 (-4)   63-68 (-1)   74-79        

RH % (24H TREND)      53-58 (+5)   95-100 (+4)  61-66        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  6                     LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  7         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           80           80           

PRECIP DURATION       2            5            5            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.44         0.79         0.19         

LAL                   4            5            5            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5200                      4100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 16                     W 13         

DISPERSION            44 GEN GOOD               22 FAIR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  7 G16                 LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  9 G17     SW  5        LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S.

EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-150830-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

322 AM EDT MON JUL 14 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      80-85 (-5)   63-68 (+1)   72-77        

RH % (24H TREND)      50-55 (+3)   95-100 (+3)  60-65        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  6                      LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  7         W  6         LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           80           90           

PRECIP DURATION       2            5            6            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.23         0.52         0.27         

LAL                   4            5            5            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5500                      4100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 15                      W 14         

DISPERSION            34 FAIR                   16 GEN POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  7 G15                  LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 10 G17     W  8 G16     LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 80S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S. NORTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 80S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 80S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER 80S. WEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-150830-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

322 AM EDT MON JUL 14 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      81-86 (-3)   65-70 (+2)   72-77        

RH % (24H TREND)      47-52 (0)    91-96 (+1)   56-61        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  6                      LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  8        W  7         LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           80           80           

PRECIP DURATION       1            5            6            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.21         0.90         0.39         

LAL                   4            5            5            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5500                      4700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 18                     W 12         

DISPERSION            36 FAIR                   16 GEN POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  7                      W  5         

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 10 G19    W  9 G18     W  5         



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 80S. NORTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 80S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 80S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-150830-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

322 AM EDT MON JUL 14 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      84-89 (-3)   67-72 (+3)   76-81        

RH % (24H TREND)      48-53 (+1)   91-96 (-2)   57-62        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  7 G15    SW  5        LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           80           80           

PRECIP DURATION       1            5            5            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.15         0.69         0.39         

LAL                   3            5            5            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4900                      4400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 15                     W 10         

DISPERSION            36 FAIR                   20 GEN POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  5                     LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 10 G18    SW  7 G15    NW  5        



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 80S.

NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S. NORTHEAST

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

70S TO 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-150830-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

322 AM EDT MON JUL 14 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      84-89 (-2)   66-71 (+6)   76-81        

RH % (24H TREND)      47-52 (+1)   89-94 (-8)   56-61        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  7        W  6         W  5         

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           80           90           

PRECIP DURATION       1            5            5            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.11         0.59         0.45         

LAL                   3            5            5            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5200                      4600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 13                     W  9         

DISPERSION            33 FAIR                   20 GEN POOR  

MAX LVORI             4                         4            

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   W  5         

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  9        W  7         W  6         



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE MID TO UPPER 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S.

NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S. NORTHEAST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER 80S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S. WEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-150830-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

322 AM EDT MON JUL 14 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      84-89 (-4)   66-71 (+2)   76-81        

RH % (24H TREND)      49-54 (+3)   95-100 (+2)  57-62        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  5                     LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  8        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           80           80           

PRECIP DURATION       2            5            5            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.30         0.89         0.30         

LAL                   4            5            5            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5000                      3700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 16                     W 13         

DISPERSION            51 GEN GOOD               24 FAIR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  7 G17                 LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 10 G18    SW  6 G16    LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-150830-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

322 AM EDT MON JUL 14 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      85-90 (-3)   66-71 (0)    77-82        

RH % (24H TREND)      48-53 (+1)   95-100 (+4)  53-58        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  6                     LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  8        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           80           80           

PRECIP DURATION       2            5            5            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.36         1.49         0.21         

LAL                   4            5            5            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4900                      3800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 17                     W 10         

DISPERSION            52 GEN GOOD               22 FAIR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  8 G17                 LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 10 G19    SW  6        LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. NORTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-150830-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

322 AM EDT MON JUL 14 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      87-92 (-2)   68-73 (0)    78-83        

RH % (24H TREND)      46-51 (-1)   92-97 (+3)   56-61        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  5                     LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  7        LGT/VAR      NW  5        

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           80           80           

PRECIP DURATION       1            5            5            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.18         0.92         0.26         

LAL                   4            5            5            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4700                      4200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 16                     W  9         

DISPERSION            48 GEN GOOD               24 FAIR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  7 G15                 LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 10 G18    W  5         NW  6        



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS

NEAR 60. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. NORTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER

60S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



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