

820 

FNUS54 KMRX 130656

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

256 AM EDT SUN JUL 13 2014



.DISCUSSION...

 

WARM TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TODAY...WITH ISOLATED 

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING IN THE AFTERNOON AND 

EVENING...ESPECIALLY AROUND THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS. A COLD FRONT WILL 

MOVE INTO THE REGION MONDAY NIGHT...WITH NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND 

THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED ON MONDAY AND TUESDAY. COOLER TEMPERATURES 

WILL THEN MOVE INTO THE AREA TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY BEHIND THE 

FRONT.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-140800-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

256 AM EDT SUN JUL 13 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      84-89 (-1)   64-69 (+2)   83-88        

RH % (24H TREND)      44-49 (+3)   92-97 (+3)   47-52        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  5                     SW  7 G17    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  5        LGT/VAR      SW  8 G17    

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           40           70           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            2            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.12         0.59         

LAL                   3            3            5            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4600                      5800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 16                     SW 23        

DISPERSION            36 FAIR                   75 GOOD      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  7                     SW  9 G21    

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  7        SW  5        SW 10 G21    



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE

60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

60S TO LOWER 80S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 60.

HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AND SLIGHT

CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID

80S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-140800-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

256 AM EDT SUN JUL 13 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      82-87 (-2)   63-68 (+2)   82-87        

RH % (24H TREND)      45-50 (+2)   91-96 (+1)   44-49        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  5                      W  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  5        LGT/VAR      W  7         

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           30           60           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            2            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.04         0.41         

LAL                   3            3            4            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4900                      5900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 13                     W 21         

DISPERSION            23 FAIR                   55 GEN GOOD  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  6                      W  7 G17     

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  6        LGT/VAR      W  8 G17     



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE

60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

60S TO LOWER 80S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS

IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. LIGHT

WINDS. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-140800-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

256 AM EDT SUN JUL 13 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      82-87 (-1)   63-68 (+2)   82-87        

RH % (24H TREND)      43-48 (-4)   92-97 (+1)   42-47        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  5                     SW  6        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  6        LGT/VAR      W  6         

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           20           60           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            2            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.02         0.55         

LAL                   3            2            4            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5200                      6200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 14                     W 21         

DISPERSION            26 FAIR                   56 GEN GOOD  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  6                     SW  7 G16    

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  7        SW  5        W  8 G16     



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 50S

TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

60S TO LOWER 80S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS

IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 80S. LIGHT

WINDS. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 80S. WEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-140800-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

256 AM EDT SUN JUL 13 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      84-89 (-1)   64-69 (+1)   85-90        

RH % (24H TREND)      46-51 (-1)   91-96 (+2)   43-48        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SW  5        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  6        LGT/VAR      W  7         

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           20           60           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            2            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   8 AM         

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   2 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.01         0.57         

LAL                   3            2            4            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5200                      6100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 14                     SW 18        

DISPERSION            37 FAIR                   66 GOOD      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  6                      SW  7 G16    

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  8        SW  5        W  9 G16     



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE

60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE

MORNING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. LIGHT

WINDS. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-140800-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

256 AM EDT SUN JUL 13 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      84-89 (-1)   63-68 (+2)   85-90        

RH % (24H TREND)      44-49 (-3)   92-97 (0)    41-46        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SW  5        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  6        LGT/VAR      W  7         

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           20           60           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            2            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   8 AM         

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   2 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.01         0.48         

LAL                   3            2            4            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5200                      6200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 13                     SW 17        

DISPERSION            33 FAIR                   57 GEN GOOD  

MAX LVORI             4                         4            

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  5                      SW  7 G16    

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  7        LGT/VAR      W  9 G17     



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE

60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO

LOWER 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

50S TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. LIGHT

WINDS. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. LIGHT WINDS. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-140800-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

256 AM EDT SUN JUL 13 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      86-91 (-1)   65-70 (+2)   85-90        

RH % (24H TREND)      43-48 (+2)   93-98 (+5)   44-49        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  5                     SW  5        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  6        LGT/VAR      W  7         

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           30           60           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            2            

PRECIP BEGIN          1 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.05         0.56         

LAL                   3            3            4            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4900                      5700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 14                     W 22         

DISPERSION            41 GEN GOOD               81 GOOD      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  6 G15                 SW  7 G18    

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  7        LGT/VAR      W  8 G18     



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 60S

TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO

LOWER 80S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS

IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 60.

HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AND SLIGHT

CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO

LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID

80S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-140800-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

256 AM EDT SUN JUL 13 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      87-92 (0)    66-71 (+1)   85-90        

RH % (24H TREND)      43-48 (0)    90-95 (+3)   43-48        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  5                     SW  5        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  6        LGT/VAR      SW  7        

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           30           60           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            2            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.04         0.73         

LAL                   3            3            5            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5100                      5900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 15                     SW 23        

DISPERSION            51 GEN GOOD               89 GOOD      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  6 G15                 SW  7 G18    

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  8 G16    SW  5        SW  9 G18    



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID

60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S

TO LOWER 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER.

LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AND SLIGHT

CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID

80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID

80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-140800-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

256 AM EDT SUN JUL 13 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      88-93 (0)    67-72 (0)    87-92        

RH % (24H TREND)      43-48 (-2)   89-94 (+1)   44-49        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  5                     SW  5        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  6        LGT/VAR      W  6         

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           20           60           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            2            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.01         0.61         

LAL                   3            2            4            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5200                      5600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 15                     SW 20        

DISPERSION            52 GEN GOOD               75 GOOD      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  6 G15                 SW  7 G15    

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  8        LGT/VAR      W  8 G16     



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S

TO LOWER 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. NORTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



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