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FNUS54 KMRX 121443 AAA

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FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...UPDATED

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

1043 AM EDT SAT JUL 12 2014



.DISCUSSION...

A TYPICAL SUMMER TIME WEATHER PATTERN WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE 

WEEKEND...WITH WARM TEMPERATURES AND A FEW SHOWERS POSSIBLE IN THE 

MOUNTAINS. A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH THE REGION EARLY NEXT WEEK... 

BRINGING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ON MONDAY AND TUESDAY...ALONG WITH 

COOLER TEMPERATURES FOR THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-131545-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

1043 AM EDT SAT JUL 12 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      84-89 (+1)   62-67 (+2)   84-89        

RH % (24H TREND)      41-46 (+1)   90-95 (0)    42-47        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SW  5        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           20           30           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          12 PM        CONTINUING   8 AM         

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   12 AM        CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.01         0.03         

LAL                   2            2            3            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6200                      5900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  6                     SW 16        

DISPERSION            23 FAIR                   53 GEN GOOD  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SW  7        

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  5        SW  8        



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 

LOWS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 80S. WEST 

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. 

NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN 

THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S 

TO LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S 

TO LOWER 80S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 

LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. LIGHT WINDS. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-131545-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

1043 AM EDT SAT JUL 12 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      82-87 (0)    62-67 (+2)   82-87        

RH % (24H TREND)      43-48 (-1)   91-96 (0)    43-48        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           20           30           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          12 PM        CONTINUING   8 AM         

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   12 AM        CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.01         0.04         

LAL                   2            2            3            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6700                      6300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  5                     W 12         

DISPERSION            16 GEN POOR               34 FAIR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  5         



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 

LOWS IN THE 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 80S. WEST 

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 60S. 

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN 

THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 

50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 

60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 

MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN 

THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. LIGHT WINDS. 



$$



TNZ072-074-131545-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

1043 AM EDT SAT JUL 12 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      81-86 (0)    63-68 (+1)   81-86        

RH % (24H TREND)      44-49 (-3)   91-96 (+5)   41-46        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           20           30           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          12 PM        CONTINUING   8 AM         

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   12 AM        CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.01         0.04         

LAL                   2            2            3            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6500                      6300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  3                      SW 13        

DISPERSION            11 POOR                   33 FAIR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SW  5        

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  5         



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 

LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO

LOWER 90S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 60S. WEST 

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN 

THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 50S. 

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 60S. 

HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN 

THE 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER 80S. LIGHT WINDS. 



$$



TNZ087-102-131545-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

1043 AM EDT SAT JUL 12 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      85-90 (+2)   65-70 (+3)   85-90        

RH % (24H TREND)      44-49 (-5)   92-97 (+4)   45-50        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           20           20           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          12 PM        CONTINUING   8 AM         

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   12 AM        CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.01         0.03         

LAL                   2            2            3            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5800                      6200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  6                     SW 12        

DISPERSION            18 GEN POOR               43 GEN GOOD  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  5         

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  5        



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN 

THE MID 80S TO LOWER 90S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 60S. 

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN 

THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 60. 

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 

60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN 

THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S. LIGHT WINDS. 



$$



NCZ060-061-131545-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

1043 AM EDT SAT JUL 12 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      85-90 (+2)   64-69 (+2)   85-90        

RH % (24H TREND)      45-50 (-2)   95-100 (+3)  42-47        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           30           20           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          12 PM        CONTINUING   8 AM         

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   12 AM        CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.02         0.03         

LAL                   3            3            3            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6100                      6300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S  6                      SW 10        

DISPERSION            20 GEN POOR               36 FAIR      

MAX LVORI             4                         3            

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  5         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN 

THE MID 80S TO LOWER 90S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID TO 

UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN 

THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 

50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 

MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 

60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN 

THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S. LIGHT WINDS. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-131545-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

1043 AM EDT SAT JUL 12 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      86-91 (+1)   63-68 (+1)   87-92        

RH % (24H TREND)      40-45 (-2)   90-95 (+2)   40-45        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    1 PM         

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            3            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6000                      6000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  5                     SW 14        

DISPERSION            18 GEN POOR               54 GEN GOOD  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SW  5        

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  6        



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 

LOWS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 80S. WEST 

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 60S. WEST 

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN 

THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S 

TO LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S 

TO MID 80S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 

LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. LIGHT WINDS. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-131545-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

1043 AM EDT SAT JUL 12 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      87-92 (+2)   65-70 (+2)   87-92        

RH % (24H TREND)      41-46 (-3)   89-94 (+1)   41-46        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     10           0            20           

PRECIP DURATION       1                         1            

PRECIP BEGIN          12 PM                     8 AM         

PRECIP END            CONTINUING                CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            3            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5700                      6000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  6                     SW 15        

DISPERSION            20 GEN POOR               63 GOOD      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SW  5        

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  6        



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 

LOWS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S TO

LOWER 90S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 60S. 

NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN 

THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 

70S TO MID 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S 

TO MID 80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 

LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S. LIGHT WINDS. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-131545-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

1043 AM EDT SAT JUL 12 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      87-92 (+1)   66-71 (+3)   88-93        

RH % (24H TREND)      45-50 (-2)   91-96 (+2)   43-48        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     10           0            20           

PRECIP DURATION       1                         1            

PRECIP BEGIN          12 PM                     8 AM         

PRECIP END            CONTINUING                CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            3            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5300                      5400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S  6                      SW 13        

DISPERSION            21 FAIR                   47 GEN GOOD  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  5         

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  6        



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S TO 

LOWER 90S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S 

TO LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN 

THE 80S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 

70S TO MID 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S. EAST 

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 

LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S. LIGHT WINDS. 



$$



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