

872 

FNUS54 KMRX 110704

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

304 AM EDT FRI JUL 11 2014



.DISCUSSION...

 

A GRADUAL WARMING TREND WILL DEVELOP OVER THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN 

REGION THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS...WITH TEMPERATURES BECOMING SLIGHTLY  

ABOVE NORMAL THROUGH THE WEEKEND. A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL THEN 

APPROACH THE REGION ON SUNDAY AND MONDAY...WITH THUNDERSTORM CHANCES 

INCREASING EACH DAY INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-120815-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

304 AM EDT FRI JUL 11 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      83-88 (+2)   60-65 (0)    84-89        

RH % (24H TREND)      35-40 (-9)   87-92 (-3)   37-42        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6400                      6200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   E  6                      SW  6        

DISPERSION            22 FAIR                   21 FAIR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 60S. SOUTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO

LOWER 90S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. NORTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-120815-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

304 AM EDT FRI JUL 11 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      79-84 (0)    60-65 (+1)   81-86        

RH % (24H TREND)      40-45 (-7)   87-92 (-5)   41-46        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            20           

PRECIP DURATION       1                         1            

PRECIP BEGIN          12 PM                     1 PM         

PRECIP END            8 PM                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.00         0.02         

LAL                   2            1            3            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6800                      6700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   E  6                      S  7         

DISPERSION            21 FAIR                   23 FAIR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

.MONDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S

TO LOWER 90S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 80S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-120815-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

304 AM EDT FRI JUL 11 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      78-83 (-1)   61-66 (+1)   80-85        

RH % (24H TREND)      39-44 (-10)  83-88 (-7)   38-43        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            20           

PRECIP DURATION       1                         1            

PRECIP BEGIN          12 PM                     1 PM         

PRECIP END            8 PM                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.00         0.02         

LAL                   2            1            3            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6800                      6500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NE  8                     SW  3        

DISPERSION            25 FAIR                   12 POOR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 90S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S

TO LOWER 90S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. NORTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-120815-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

304 AM EDT FRI JUL 11 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      83-88 (+1)   62-67 (+1)   85-90        

RH % (24H TREND)      39-44 (-9)   87-92 (-7)   39-44        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            20           

PRECIP DURATION       1                         1            

PRECIP BEGIN          12 PM                     1 PM         

PRECIP END            8 PM                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.00         0.02         

LAL                   2            1            3            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6200                      6400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NE  6                     S  5         

DISPERSION            21 FAIR                   16 GEN POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

70S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. NORTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. NORTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND

60. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-120815-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

304 AM EDT FRI JUL 11 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      82-87 (0)    61-66 (+1)   85-90        

RH % (24H TREND)      40-45 (-9)   86-91 (-10)  38-43        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            20           

PRECIP DURATION       1                         1            

PRECIP BEGIN          12 PM                     1 PM         

PRECIP END            8 PM                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.00         0.03         

LAL                   2            1            3            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6600                      6400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE  5                     S  6         

DISPERSION            19 GEN POOR               20 GEN POOR  

MAX LVORI             5                         4            

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE 80S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND

60. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-120815-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

304 AM EDT FRI JUL 11 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      83-88 (+1)   61-66 (+1)   86-91        

RH % (24H TREND)      35-40 (-10)  87-92 (-7)   36-41        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6200                      5900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   E  6                      S  5         

DISPERSION            24 FAIR                   19 GEN POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 60S. SOUTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO

LOWER 90S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S

TO MID 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-120815-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

304 AM EDT FRI JUL 11 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      84-89 (+1)   62-67 (0)    87-92        

RH % (24H TREND)      36-41 (-9)   86-91 (-4)   35-40        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6000                      5900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NE  6                     S  3         

DISPERSION            26 FAIR                   12 POOR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 60S. SOUTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO

LOWER 90S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. NORTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE LOWER

70S TO MID 80S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE

70S TO MID 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-120815-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

304 AM EDT FRI JUL 11 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      85-90 (+1)   64-69 (+1)   88-93        

RH % (24H TREND)      36-41 (-9)   85-90 (-5)   37-42        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5800                      6100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   E  8                      SE  5        

DISPERSION            33 FAIR                   22 FAIR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     E  5         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER

70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 70. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S

TO LOWER 90S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. NORTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE

70S TO MID 80S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE

70S TO MID 80S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



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