

539 

FNUS54 KMRX 021911

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

311 PM EDT WED JUL 2 2014



.DISCUSSION...

 A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE SOUTHERN 

APPALACHIAN REGION OVERNIGHT. BEHIND THE FRONT...TEMPERATURES WILL 

COOL TO NEAR NORMAL LEVELS FOR THE END OF THE WEEK.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-032015-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

311 PM EDT WED JUL 2 2014



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      61-66 (-2)   77-82 (-8)   55-60        74-79        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (0)   47-52 (-3)   90-95        36-41        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   N  6         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW  6        N  5         N  6         

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           20           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING                             

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.09         0.03         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   3            3            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6300                      5500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W  8                      N 15         

DISPERSION                         31 FAIR                   44 GEN GOOD  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  5 G15                 N  7         

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW  8        N  6         N  8 G15     



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHEAST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER 80S. NORTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS NEAR 60. EAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER 80S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER

90S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER

80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-032015-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

311 PM EDT WED JUL 2 2014



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      59-64 (-3)   75-80 (-9)   54-59        72-77        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (0)   47-52 (-4)   87-92        38-43        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   N  6         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW  7        N  6         N  6         

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           20           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING                             

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.11         0.08         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   3            3            1            1            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6100                      5400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW  8                     N 16         

DISPERSION                         23 FAIR                   36 FAIR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  5                      N  8 G16     

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW  9        N  7         N  9 G16     



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 50S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO 80S. LIGHT WINDS BECOMING

NORTHWEST LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S.

NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT.

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER

90S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO 80S. WEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-032015-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

311 PM EDT WED JUL 2 2014



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      60-65 (-1)   76-81 (-8)   54-59        73-78        

RH % (24H TREND)      87-92 (-7)   43-48 (-8)   87-92        38-43        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   N  6         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW  6        N  6         N  6         

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           10           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING                             

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.01         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   2            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6000                      5400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW  8                     N 15         

DISPERSION                         21 FAIR                   28 FAIR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  5                     N  7 G15     

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  5         NW  8        N  7 G15     N  8         



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 50S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 80S. NORTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. LIGHT

WINDS. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 80S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO

LOWER 90S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER

80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-032015-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

311 PM EDT WED JUL 2 2014



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      62-67 (0)    80-85 (-6)   55-60        79-84        

RH % (24H TREND)      86-91 (-8)   40-45 (-10)  88-93        37-42        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  5                     N  7         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW  7        N  6         N  6         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5700                      5100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 10                     N 18         

DISPERSION                         35 FAIR                   47 GEN GOOD  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  7 G16                 N  9 G17     

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW  9 G17    N  8 G16     N  9 G16     



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. EAST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 90S. LIGHT WINDS

BECOMING NORTHWEST LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING

LIGHT. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER

90S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO

UPPER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER 80S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-032015-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

311 PM EDT WED JUL 2 2014



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      62-67 (+2)   80-85 (-6)   55-60        79-84        

RH % (24H TREND)      92-97 (-3)   44-49 (-7)   88-93        38-43        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   N  6         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW  6        N  7         N  6         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5800                      5500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 10                     N 14         

DISPERSION                         31 FAIR                   39 FAIR      

MAX LVORI                          4                         4            

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  6                     N  8 G16     

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  5        NW  8        N  9 G17     N  7         



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 50S. EAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST EARLY IN THE

AFTERNOON. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS NEAR 60. LIGHT WINDS. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER

90S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO

UPPER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER 80S. WEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-032015-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

311 PM EDT WED JUL 2 2014



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      62-67 (-2)   80-85 (-6)   56-61        77-82        

RH % (24H TREND)      91-96 (-4)   42-47 (-8)   88-93        34-39        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   N  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  6         N  5         N  5         

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           20           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING                             

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.07         0.02         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   3            2            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6000                      5300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W  9                      N 13         

DISPERSION                         36 FAIR                   41 GEN GOOD  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  6 G15                  N  6         

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  9 G16     N  6         N  6         



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER 80S. NORTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S.

LIGHT WINDS. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 90S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO

LOWER 90S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER

80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER 80S. WEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-032015-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

311 PM EDT WED JUL 2 2014



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      62-67 (-5)   80-85 (-7)   56-61        78-83        

RH % (24H TREND)      83-88 (-9)   39-44 (-11)  86-91        33-38        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   N  6         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW  6        N  5         N  6         

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                                   

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM                                                

PRECIP END            2 AM                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   2            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5900                      5300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW  9                     N 15         

DISPERSION                         39 FAIR                   52 GEN GOOD  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  5                     N  7         

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW  8 G15    N  7 G15     N  8         



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO LOWER 90S. EAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO LOWER

90S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO LOWER

90S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-032015-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

311 PM EDT WED JUL 2 2014



                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      63-68 (-3)   80-85 (-8)   57-62        80-85        

RH % (24H TREND)      81-86 (-12)  37-42 (-12)  84-89        33-38        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  6 G15                 N  7         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW  9 G16    N  6         N  6         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5900                      5200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 13                     N 18         

DISPERSION                         52 GEN GOOD               64 GOOD      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  8 G19                 N  9 G17     

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  5        NW 11 G20    N  7         N  8         



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S.

NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. EAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO LOWER 90S. WEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S TO

LOWER 90S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO LOWER

90S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



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