

983 

FNUS54 KMRX 020857

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

457 AM EDT WED JUL 2 2014



.DISCUSSION...

 

A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL SLOWLY APPROACH THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN 

REGION LATE TODAY INTO TONIGHT...WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND 

THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING AHEAD OF IT. A FEW STORMS MAY BECOME STRONG 

TO SEVERE LATE THIS AFTERNOON INTO TONIGHT...WITH DAMAGING WINDS AND 

LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL POSSIBLE. BEHIND THE FRONT...TEMPERATURES 

WILL COOL TO NEAR NORMAL LEVELS FOR THE END OF THE WEEK.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-031000-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

457 AM EDT WED JUL 2 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      85-90 (+1)   62-67 (-1)   78-83        

RH % (24H TREND)      49-54 (0)    95-100 (0)   46-51        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  6        LGT/VAR      NW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           40           30           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.15         0.13         0.02         

LAL                   3            3            3            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6900                      6800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 12                      NW  9        

DISPERSION            51 GEN GOOD               39 FAIR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  6                      LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  8        LGT/VAR      NW  7        



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER

60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. NORTH WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO 80S. SOUTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID

70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO

LOWER 90S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO

LOWER 90S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-031000-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

457 AM EDT WED JUL 2 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      84-89 (+4)   61-66 (-1)   76-81        

RH % (24H TREND)      49-54 (-4)   95-100 (+2)  46-51        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  5                      LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  6         LGT/VAR      NW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           30           30           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.13         0.15         0.03         

LAL                   3            3            3            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7200                      6600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 12                      NW 10        

DISPERSION            44 GEN GOOD               33 FAIR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  6                      LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  7         LGT/VAR      NW  8        



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 50S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S

TO 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER

90S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER

90S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-031000-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

457 AM EDT WED JUL 2 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      84-89 (+4)   62-67 (+1)   77-82        

RH % (24H TREND)      48-53 (-5)   88-93 (-7)   40-45        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  6        LGT/VAR      NW  5        

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           30           20           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.09         0.13         0.01         

LAL                   3            3            3            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7200                      6500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  9                      N  9         

DISPERSION            33 FAIR                   29 FAIR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  5                     LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  7        LGT/VAR      NW  7        



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S.

NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 80S. NORTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 80S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID

60S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO

LOWER 90S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO

LOWER 90S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-031000-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

457 AM EDT WED JUL 2 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      86-91 (+1)   64-69 (+2)   82-87        

RH % (24H TREND)      47-52 (-3)   88-93 (-7)   38-43        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  6        LGT/VAR      NW  7        

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           30           20           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   2 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.06         0.08         0.01         

LAL                   3            3            2            

LASI                  5                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6900                      6200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW  9                     N 13         

DISPERSION            38 FAIR                   45 GEN GOOD  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   N  5         

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  7        LGT/VAR      NW  9        



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S.

NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 80S. NORTH WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. EAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO 80S. SOUTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S

TO LOWER 90S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER

90S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO

LOWER 90S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-031000-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

457 AM EDT WED JUL 2 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      86-91 (+1)   64-69 (+4)   83-88        

RH % (24H TREND)      49-54 (-2)   93-98 (-4)   39-44        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  6        LGT/VAR      NW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           30           20           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   2 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.11         0.01         

LAL                   3            3            2            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7200                      6300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW  9                     N 12         

DISPERSION            38 FAIR                   40 FAIR      

MAX LVORI             4                         4            

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  7        LGT/VAR      NW  7        



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 50S.

NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. NORTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 50S. EAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER 80S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S

TO 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO

LOWER 90S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO

LOWER 90S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-031000-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

457 AM EDT WED JUL 2 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      86-91 (0)    63-68 (-1)   81-86        

RH % (24H TREND)      50-55 (+3)   92-97 (-2)   41-46        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  6        LGT/VAR      NW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           30           30           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.13         0.12         0.02         

LAL                   3            3            3            

LASI                  5                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6600                      6500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 12                      NW  9        

DISPERSION            48 GEN GOOD               40 FAIR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  5                      LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  7        LGT/VAR      NW  7        



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. NORTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER 80S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID

70S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO

LOWER 90S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO

LOWER 90S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-031000-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

457 AM EDT WED JUL 2 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      87-92 (+1)   64-69 (-3)   81-86        

RH % (24H TREND)      50-55 (+3)   85-90 (-4)   38-43        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  6         LGT/VAR      NW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           30           20           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   2 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.12         0.08         0.01         

LAL                   3            3            3            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6700                      6400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 10                      N 12         

DISPERSION            46 GEN GOOD               50 GEN GOOD  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  7         LGT/VAR      NW  8        



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. NORTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. NORTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO

LOWER 90S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO LOWER

90S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO LOWER

90S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-031000-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

457 AM EDT WED JUL 2 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      88-93 (+1)   65-70 (-1)   81-86        

RH % (24H TREND)      48-53 (+2)   84-89 (-7)   36-41        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   N  6 G15     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  5         LGT/VAR      NW  8 G15    

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           30           0            

PRECIP DURATION       1            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.06         0.02         0.00         

LAL                   3            3            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6500                      6400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW  9                     N 14         

DISPERSION            40 FAIR                   60 GEN GOOD  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   N  7 G19     

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  6         LGT/VAR      NW 10 G19    



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS NEAR 60. NORTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. NORTH WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S.

NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO LOWER 90S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO

LOWER 90S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S TO

LOWER 90S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 70. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S TO LOWER 90S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



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