

303 

FNUS54 KMRX 011351 AAA

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...UPDATED

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

951 AM EDT TUE JUL 1 2014



...UPDATED TO INCREASE WINDS SLIGHTLY TODAY...



.DISCUSSION...

A WEAK UPPER LEVEL RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE OVER THE AREA TODAY.

A COLD FRONT WILL PUSH INTO THE REGION WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

DRIER AIR WILL MOVE IN BEHIND THE FRONT FOR THURSDAY AND INTO THE

FOURTH OF JULY WEEKEND.  



VAZ001-002-005-006-008-021500-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

951 AM EDT TUE JUL 1 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      86-91 (+6)   64-69 (+3)   86-91        

RH % (24H TREND)      44-49 (-15)  95-100 (0)   45-50        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  6                     LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  6        LGT/VAR      NW  5        

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           20           40           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          2 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.02         0.14         

LAL                   2            2            3            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6700                      7800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 13                     W 10         

DISPERSION            50 GEN GOOD               53 GEN GOOD  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  8 G17                 LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  8        LGT/VAR      NW  6        



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S. LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST

LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. NORTH WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS NEAR 60. NORTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S.

NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE 80S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-021500-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

951 AM EDT TUE JUL 1 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      82-87 (+6)   62-67 (+2)   84-89        

RH % (24H TREND)      47-52 (-18)  95-100 (-2)  45-50        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  5                      LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  5         LGT/VAR      NW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            40           

PRECIP DURATION       1                         1            

PRECIP BEGIN          2 PM                      8 AM         

PRECIP END            8 PM                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.09         

LAL                   2            1            3            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6500                      7900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 12                      W  8         

DISPERSION            36 FAIR                   36 FAIR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  6                      W  5         

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  7         LGT/VAR      NW  7        



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH

EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S.

NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO

UPPER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO

UPPER 80S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-021500-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

951 AM EDT TUE JUL 1 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      82-87 (+6)   62-67 (+3)   85-90        

RH % (24H TREND)      45-50 (-17)  93-98 (-3)   44-49        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  6                      LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  6         LGT/VAR      NW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            40           

PRECIP DURATION       1                         1            

PRECIP BEGIN          2 PM                      8 AM         

PRECIP END            8 PM                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.09         

LAL                   2            1            3            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6200                      8000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 13                      W  6         

DISPERSION            35 FAIR                   24 FAIR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  7 G16                  NW  5        

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  8         LGT/VAR      NW  7        



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. NORTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. COOLER. LOWS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. EAST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE

MID 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER

80S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER

80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-021500-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

951 AM EDT TUE JUL 1 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      87-92 (+7)   63-68 (+2)   87-92        

RH % (24H TREND)      44-49 (-17)  95-100 (-2)  43-48        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  6         LGT/VAR      NW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            40           

PRECIP DURATION       1                         1            

PRECIP BEGIN          2 PM                      8 AM         

PRECIP END            8 PM                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.08         

LAL                   2            1            3            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5600                      7100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 12                      NW  8        

DISPERSION            35 FAIR                   34 FAIR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  8         LGT/VAR      NW  7        



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER 80S. NORTH WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. NORTHEAST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID

70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO

LOWER 90S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

70S TO LOWER 90S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-021500-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

951 AM EDT TUE JUL 1 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      87-92 (+7)   62-67 (+2)   87-92        

RH % (24H TREND)      46-51 (-14)  95-100 (0)   43-48        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  6         LGT/VAR      N  5         

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            40           

PRECIP DURATION       1                         1            

PRECIP BEGIN          2 PM                      8 AM         

PRECIP END            8 PM                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.08         

LAL                   2            1            3            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5900                      7700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 12                     NW  7        

DISPERSION            37 FAIR                   31 FAIR      

MAX LVORI             4                         4            

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  8         LGT/VAR      N  7         



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. NORTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. NORTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE

MID 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER

80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER

80S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-021500-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

951 AM EDT TUE JUL 1 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      88-93 (+6)   64-69 (+2)   87-92        

RH % (24H TREND)      44-49 (-14)  95-100 (0)   45-50        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  6                     LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  5         LGT/VAR      NW  5        

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            40           

PRECIP DURATION       1                         1            

PRECIP BEGIN          2 PM                      8 AM         

PRECIP END            8 PM                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.13         

LAL                   2            1            3            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5900                      6600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 12                      W  8         

DISPERSION            44 GEN GOOD               38 FAIR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  7 G15                 LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  6         LGT/VAR      NW  7        



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S. LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST LESS

THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 80S. NORTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID

60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 80S. NORTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE

80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S. SOUTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID TO UPPER

80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-021500-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

951 AM EDT TUE JUL 1 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      88-93 (+5)   66-71 (+2)   88-93        

RH % (24H TREND)      42-47 (-16)  91-96 (-4)   45-50        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  6                     LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  6        LGT/VAR      NW  5        

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           10           40           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          2 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.01         0.17         

LAL                   2            1            3            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5900                      6700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 13                      W  8         

DISPERSION            53 GEN GOOD               39 FAIR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  8 G17                 LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  8 G16    LGT/VAR      NW  6        



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 80S. NORTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 60S.

NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID

TO UPPER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S TO LOWER

90S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID

80S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-021500-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

951 AM EDT TUE JUL 1 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      89-94 (+7)   66-71 (0)    89-94        

RH % (24H TREND)      40-45 (-18)  93-98 (-2)   45-50        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  5                     LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  6        LGT/VAR      NW  5        

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            40           

PRECIP DURATION       1                         1            

PRECIP BEGIN          2 PM                      8 AM         

PRECIP END            8 PM                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.09         

LAL                   2            1            3            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5500                      6400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 13                      NW  7        

DISPERSION            49 GEN GOOD               34 FAIR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  6                     LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  8 G16    LGT/VAR      NW  6        



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 80S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. NORTH WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 80S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TD



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