

033 

FNUS54 KMRX 120748

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

348 AM EDT THU JUN 12 2014



.DISCUSSION...

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS REMAIN IN THE FORECAST TODAY 

AND FRIDAY AS TROPICAL AIR CONTINUES TO STREAM NORTH ACROSS THE 

SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS JUST AHEAD OF A RATHER SIGNIFICANT TROUGH IN 

PLACE OVER THE EASTERN UNITED STATES. THE TROUGH WILL SHIFT JUST 

EAST OF THE MOUNTAINS BY FRIDAY BUT A COLD FRONT WILL BE ON THE 

MOVE INTO THE REGION DURING THE DAY. THIS BOUNDARY WILL GENERATE 

SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-130900-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

348 AM EDT THU JUN 12 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      75-80 (-4)   58-63 (-2)   75-80        

RH % (24H TREND)      56-61 (+4)   95-100 (+3)  52-57        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   W  6         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  5        LGT/VAR      NW  7        

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           30           40           

PRECIP DURATION       2            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.17         0.08         0.07         

LAL                   4            3            3            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4600                      5600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  9                     W 14         

DISPERSION            21 FAIR                   43 GEN GOOD  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   W  7 G17     

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  6        LGT/VAR      NW  9 G18    



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. NORTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER

60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER

80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-130900-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

348 AM EDT THU JUN 12 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      73-78 (-3)   57-62 (-2)   74-79        

RH % (24H TREND)      55-60 (+3)   93-98 (0)    48-53        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   NW  7 G18    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  5         LGT/VAR      NW  9 G18    

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           40           40           

PRECIP DURATION       2            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.21         0.09         0.04         

LAL                   4            3            3            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5200                      6600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  7                      NW 15        

DISPERSION            14 GEN POOR               51 GEN GOOD  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   NW  9 G22    

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  6         LGT/VAR      NW 10 G22    



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER

60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO

UPPER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER 80S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-130900-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

348 AM EDT THU JUN 12 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      73-78 (0)    58-63 (+2)   74-79        

RH % (24H TREND)      54-59 (-2)   90-95 (-6)   44-49        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NW  7        

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           30           40           

PRECIP DURATION       2            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.17         0.07         0.06         

LAL                   4            3            3            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5000                      6100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  6                      NW 10        

DISPERSION            11 POOR                   26 FAIR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   NW  6        

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NW  9 G17    



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S.

NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-130900-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

348 AM EDT THU JUN 12 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      76-81 (0)    59-64 (+1)   77-82        

RH % (24H TREND)      56-61 (+2)   90-95 (-5)   47-52        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   NW  5        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           30           40           

PRECIP DURATION       2            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.14         0.04         0.05         

LAL                   4            3            3            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4400                      5000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  7                      NW 10        

DISPERSION            14 GEN POOR               25 FAIR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   NW  6        

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NW  9        



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S.

NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S. NORTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST EARLY IN THE

AFTERNOON. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID

60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-130900-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

348 AM EDT THU JUN 12 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      74-79 (-3)   57-62 (-1)   78-83        

RH % (24H TREND)      58-63 (+3)   92-97 (-4)   43-48        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   NW  6        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NW  7        

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           30           40           

PRECIP DURATION       2            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.16         0.04         0.03         

LAL                   4            3            3            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4400                      5300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  6                      NW 12        

DISPERSION            11 POOR                   30 FAIR      

MAX LVORI             5                         4            

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   NW  8 G17    

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  5        LGT/VAR      NW  8 G17    



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS NEAR 60. NORTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER

60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S. EAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. WEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-130900-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

348 AM EDT THU JUN 12 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      77-82 (-2)   59-64 (-2)   77-82        

RH % (24H TREND)      54-59 (+1)   95-100 (0)   48-53        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   W  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  5         LGT/VAR      NW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           30           40           

PRECIP DURATION       2            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.16         0.07         0.06         

LAL                   4            3            3            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4000                      5000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  9                      W 10         

DISPERSION            19 GEN POOR               33 FAIR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   W  6 G17     

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  6         LGT/VAR      NW  8 G17    



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. NORTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER

60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S. SOUTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-130900-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

348 AM EDT THU JUN 12 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      78-83 (+1)   60-65 (0)    77-82        

RH % (24H TREND)      52-57 (-3)   94-99 (0)    50-55        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           20           50           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.12         0.03         0.08         

LAL                   4            3            3            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4500                      5000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  8                      W  9         

DISPERSION            23 FAIR                   30 FAIR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   W  5         

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  5         LGT/VAR      NW  7        



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S.

NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S. EAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID

60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-130900-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

348 AM EDT THU JUN 12 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      79-84 (+3)   60-65 (-1)   78-83        

RH % (24H TREND)      51-56 (-6)   95-100 (0)   50-55        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  6         

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           20           50           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.11         0.03         0.06         

LAL                   4            2            3            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4300                      5200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW  8                     NW  9        

DISPERSION            23 FAIR                   33 FAIR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  5         LGT/VAR      W  7         



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID TO UPPER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 



$$



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