

996 

FNUS54 KMRX 210639

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

239 AM EDT WED MAY 21 2014



.DISCUSSION...

A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA LATE TODAY 

WITH SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING NORTH OF INTERSTATE 40 THIS 

EVENING. THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL MOVE SLOWLY SOUTH ACROSS EAST 

TENNESSEE AND SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA FOR THURSDAY AND FRIDAY CONTINUING 

THE CHANCES OF THUNDERSTORMS. SOME OF THESE STORMS MAY BE SEVERE.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-220745-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

239 AM EDT WED MAY 21 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      79-84 (+2)   57-62 (+4)   79-84        

RH % (24H TREND)      37-42 (0)    95-100 (+11) 44-49        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW 10 G20                 W  9 G19     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 13 G23     W  7 G16     W  9 G18     

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           50           50           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          2 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.24         0.06         

LAL                   3            4            3            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5400                      4500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 25                      W 20         

DISPERSION            75 GOOD                   42 GEN GOOD  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW 13 G25                 W 11 G24     

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 16 G29     W  9 G20     W 12 G23     



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH DECREASING TO LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S.

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.

NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. EAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID

70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. WEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-220745-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

239 AM EDT WED MAY 21 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      76-81 (+1)   56-61 (+5)   78-83        

RH % (24H TREND)      34-39 (-3)   89-94 (+4)   44-49        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W 13 G25                  W 11 G22     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 14 G23     W 11 G22     W 10 G20     

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           40           40           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          2 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.12         0.06         

LAL                   3            4            3            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5900                      5200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 29                      W 24         

DISPERSION            77 GOOD                   47 GEN GOOD  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W 17 G31                  W 14 G28     

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 17 G29     W 14 G28     W 13 G26     



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS

5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS

5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.

NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. EAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO

LOWER 80S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID

80S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. NORTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-220745-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

239 AM EDT WED MAY 21 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      76-81 (+1)   53-58 (0)    78-83        

RH % (24H TREND)      33-38 (-6)   90-95 (+11)  43-48        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W 13 G23                  W  9 G18     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 14 G23     W 11 G23     W  7 G15     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           30           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       8 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.03         0.06         

LAL                   1            3            3            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5400                      5500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 29                      W 18         

DISPERSION            52 GEN GOOD               37 FAIR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W 16 G29                  W 11 G22     

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 17 G29     W 14 G28     W  9 G18     



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S.

NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S.

EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO

MID 80S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. NORTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-220745-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

239 AM EDT WED MAY 21 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      81-86 (+3)   56-61 (+2)   82-87        

RH % (24H TREND)      33-38 (-4)   91-96 (+7)   40-45        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W 10 G20                  W  9 G17     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 12 G20     W  8 G16     W  9         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.05         

LAL                   1            1            3            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4500                      5000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 22                      W 17         

DISPERSION            45 GEN GOOD               43 GEN GOOD  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W 12 G25                  W 10 G21     

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 15 G25     W  9 G21     W 11 G19     



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S.

NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. EAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S.

WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S. NORTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-220745-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

239 AM EDT WED MAY 21 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      80-85 (+2)   53-58 (+1)   82-87        

RH % (24H TREND)      29-34 (-7)   95-100 (+6)  40-45        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W 10 G20                  NW 10 G20    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 12 G21     W  8 G16     NW 10        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    8 AM         

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.04         

LAL                   1            1            2            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4600                      5200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 22                      NW 20        

DISPERSION            42 GEN GOOD               48 GEN GOOD  

MAX LVORI             3                         4            

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W 12 G25                  NW 13 G25    

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 15 G27     W 10 G21     NW 12 G21    



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S.

EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID

80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO

MID 80S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. NORTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-220745-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

239 AM EDT WED MAY 21 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      81-86 (+3)   57-62 (+5)   81-86        

RH % (24H TREND)      35-40 (-2)   95-100 (+3)  43-48        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW 10 G21                 W  8 G16     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 13 G22     W  7 G15     W  8 G15     

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            40           50           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.13         0.07         

LAL                   1            4            3            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5300                      4600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 25                      W 18         

DISPERSION            86 GOOD                   50 GEN GOOD  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW 13 G26                 W 10 G20     

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 16 G28     W  9 G19     W 10 G19     



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. EAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO

MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-220745-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

239 AM EDT WED MAY 21 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      82-87 (+3)   58-63 (+2)   82-87        

RH % (24H TREND)      34-39 (-3)   89-94 (+6)   42-47        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  9 G19                 W  6         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 12 G20     SW  7 G16    W  5         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            30           40           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       8 PM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.08         0.07         

LAL                   1            3            3            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4800                      4700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 24                      W 14         

DISPERSION            73 GOOD                   43 GEN GOOD  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW 12 G24                 W  8 G16     

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 15 G25     SW  9 G20    W  7         



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S.

EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S. WEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-220745-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

239 AM EDT WED MAY 21 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      83-88 (+3)   58-63 (+2)   84-89        

RH % (24H TREND)      32-37 (-2)   91-96 (+6)   39-44        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  9 G19                 W  8 G16     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 11 G19     SW  6 G15    W  7 G15     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.05         

LAL                   1            1            3            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4500                      4800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 22                      W 17         

DISPERSION            64 GOOD                   55 GEN GOOD  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW 11 G23                 W 10 G20     

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 14 G24     SW  8 G19    W 10 G19     



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 60. NORTHEAST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. EAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. WEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



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