

343 

FNUS54 KMRX 200721

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

600 AM EDT TUE MAY 20 2014



...BREEZY WINDS EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON AND AGAIN ON WEDNESDAY 

AFTERNOON...



.DISCUSSION...

A WARMING TREND WILL CONTINUE OVER THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION 

THIS WEEK...WITH ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES EXPECTED FOR MOST OF THE 

WEEK. A FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL SLOWLY SETTLE INTO THE REGION ON 

WEDNESDAY...TRIGGERING SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ON 

WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-210830-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

600 AM EDT TUE MAY 20 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      77-82 (+7)   55-60 (+8)   81-86        

RH % (24H TREND)      36-41 (+6)   84-89 (+4)   33-38        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  7 G15                 SW  9 G20    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 10 G19    SW  7 G16    W 10 G20     

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            20           

PRECIP DURATION       1                         1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM                      2 PM         

PRECIP END            8 PM                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.00         0.04         

LAL                   2            1            2            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5400                      5700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 17                     W 26         

DISPERSION            49 GEN GOOD               85 GOOD      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  9 G19                 SW 11 G26    

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 13 G24    SW  9 G20    W 13 G26     



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 

LOWS NEAR 60. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS 

IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 

MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTH WINDS 

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S 

TO LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO

LOWER 80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S

TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-210830-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

600 AM EDT TUE MAY 20 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      75-80 (+7)   53-58 (+6)   77-82        

RH % (24H TREND)      37-42 (+4)   83-88 (+4)   33-38        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  5                      W 10 G25     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  8 G15     W  7 G15     W 12 G25     

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM                                   

PRECIP END            8 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   2            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5500                      5800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 15                      W 31         

DISPERSION            34 FAIR                   81 GOOD      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  7 G15                  W 13 G31     

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 10 G19     W  8 G18     W 16 G31     



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 

LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS 

IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO 

LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S 

TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 

LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-210830-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

600 AM EDT TUE MAY 20 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      75-80 (+7)   53-58 (+5)   77-82        

RH % (24H TREND)      40-45 (+3)   83-88 (+6)   31-36        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  8 G16                 SW  8 G16    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 10 G19     SW  9 G18    W  9 G17     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5600                      5500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 18                     W 29         

DISPERSION            38 FAIR                   58 GEN GOOD  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW 10 G20                 SW 10 G21    

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 13 G24     SW 11 G23    W 11 G21     



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN 

THE MID 60S TO UPPER 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 

MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 

HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER 80S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO 

LOWER 80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 

LOWS IN THE 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 

LOWS IN THE 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-210830-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

600 AM EDT TUE MAY 20 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      78-83 (+8)   55-60 (+5)   81-86        

RH % (24H TREND)      38-43 (+1)   84-89 (+1)   33-38        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  8 G16                  SW  8 G16    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 10 G18    SW  8 G15    W  9 G16     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5300                      4700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 17                     W 24         

DISPERSION            48 GEN GOOD               54 GEN GOOD  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S 10 G20                  SW  9 G20    

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 13 G23    SW 10 G19    W 11 G20     



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S.

WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 

HIGHS IN THE 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 

HIGHS IN THE 80S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S 

TO MID 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 

LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS 

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 

LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS 

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-210830-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

600 AM EDT TUE MAY 20 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      78-83 (+8)   53-58 (+6)   81-86        

RH % (24H TREND)      37-42 (+1)   83-88 (-5)   30-35        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  6 G15                  W  7 G17     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 10        SW  6        W  9 G17     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5800                      5000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 15                     W 24         

DISPERSION            44 GEN GOOD               56 GEN GOOD  

MAX LVORI             4                         3            

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  8 G19                  W  9 G21     

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 12 G21    SW  8 G18    W 11 G21     



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S.

WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 

HIGHS IN THE 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 

HIGHS IN THE 80S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S 

TO MID 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 

LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHEAST 

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 

LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHEAST 

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-210830-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

600 AM EDT TUE MAY 20 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      78-83 (+7)   56-61 (+7)   83-88        

RH % (24H TREND)      36-41 (+4)   84-89 (0)    32-37        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  6 G15                 SW  8 G19    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 10 G19    SW  6        W 10 G20     

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     10           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM                                   

PRECIP END            8 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5000                      4900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 16                     W 26         

DISPERSION            50 GEN GOOD               78 GOOD      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  8 G19                 SW 11 G24    

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 12 G24    SW  8 G17    W 13 G25     



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS 

IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. NORTH WINDS 

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 

70S TO MID 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO

MID 80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 

LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-210830-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

600 AM EDT TUE MAY 20 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      79-84 (+8)   57-62 (+5)   82-87        

RH % (24H TREND)      39-44 (+4)   84-89 (+2)   34-39        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  9 G18                 SW  8 G17    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 11 G19    SW  6        W  9 G17     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5100                      4700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 21                     W 24         

DISPERSION            69 GOOD                   74 GOOD      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW 11 G23                 SW  9 G21    

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 14 G24    SW  8 G18    W 11 G21     



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN 

THE 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS 

THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 

HIGHS IN THE 80S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S

TO MID 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S

TO MID 80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 

LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS 

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-210830-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

600 AM EDT TUE MAY 20 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      80-85 (+8)   58-63 (+4)   82-87        

RH % (24H TREND)      37-42 (-2)   84-89 (+1)   32-37        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  9 G18                  SW  8 G17    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 10 G18    SW  7        W  9 G17     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4700                      4500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 21                     W 24         

DISPERSION            65 GOOD                   69 GOOD      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S 11 G23                  SW  9 G21    

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 14 G23    SW  8 G17    W 11 G21     



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS NEAR 60. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 

HIGHS IN THE 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 

MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 

HIGHS IN THE MID 80S TO LOWER 90S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 80S. 

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 

LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 

LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



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