

877 

FNUS54 KMRX 191841

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

241 PM EDT MON MAY 19 2014



.DISCUSSION... 

A WARMING TREND WILL DEVELOP OVER THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION 

THIS WEEK WITH TEMPERATURES RISING BACK TO ABOVE NORMAL LEVELS BY 

THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK. A FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL SLOWLY SETTLE AROUND 

THE REGION FOR THE LATTER HALF OF THE WEEK WITH THUNDERSTORM 

CHANCES INCREASING BY WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-201945-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

241 PM EDT MON MAY 19 2014



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      47-52 (+9)   76-81 (+6)   56-61        80-85        

RH % (24H TREND)      80-85 (+1)   32-37 (+3)   95-100       40-45        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  5                     W  9 G19     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  8 G15    SW  6        W 11 G20     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        NONE         TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           0            30           

PRECIP DURATION                    1                         1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       8 AM                      2 PM         

PRECIP END                         8 PM                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.00         0.06         

LAL                   1            3            1            3            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6200                      7000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 17                     W 29         

DISPERSION                         61 GOOD                                

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  6 G16                 W 12 G24     

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW 10 G19    SW  8 G16    W 14 G25     



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS NEAR 60. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 80S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO

LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S

TO UPPER 80S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-201945-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

241 PM EDT MON MAY 19 2014



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      46-51 (+8)   73-78 (+5)   54-59        78-83        

RH % (24H TREND)      83-88 (0)    34-39 (+2)   92-97        36-41        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  5                      W 15 G27     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  8 G16    SW  6        W 14 G25     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        NONE         TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            10           0            20           

PRECIP DURATION                    1                         1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       8 AM                      2 PM         

PRECIP END                         8 PM                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.00         0.05         

LAL                   1            1            1            2            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6200                      7000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 15                      W 35         

DISPERSION                         44 GEN GOOD                            

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  5 G17                  W 18 G33     

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW 10 G20    SW  8 G16    W 17 G32     



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTH

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

MID 60S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID

70S TO UPPER 80S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-201945-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

241 PM EDT MON MAY 19 2014



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      46-51 (+4)   73-78 (+5)   54-59        79-84        

RH % (24H TREND)      82-87 (-4)   33-38 (-4)   92-97        31-36        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   W 14 G27     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  9 G16    SW  7 G15    W 14 G25     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6300                      7000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 17                     W 33         

DISPERSION                         48 GEN GOOD                            

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  5 G16                 W 18 G34     

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW 11 G20    SW  8 G19    W 17 G31     



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 80S. NORTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

60S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S

TO UPPER 80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-201945-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

241 PM EDT MON MAY 19 2014



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      49-54 (+5)   77-82 (+7)   55-60        81-86        

RH % (24H TREND)      87-92 (-2)   36-41 (-3)   95-100       32-37        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   W 10 G21     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  8 G15    SW  5        W 11 G20     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6200                      7000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 17                     W 29         

DISPERSION                         61 GOOD                                

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   W 13 G26     

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW 10 G19    SW  6        W 14 G26     



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S.

WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER

70S TO MID 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID

70S TO LOWER 90S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-201945-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

241 PM EDT MON MAY 19 2014



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      46-51 (+4)   77-82 (+7)   54-59        80-85        

RH % (24H TREND)      91-96 (+1)   35-40 (-3)   95-100       32-37        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   W 10 G22     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  8        LGT/VAR      W 12 G22     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6200                      7000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 15                     W 30         

DISPERSION                         49 GEN GOOD                            

MAX LVORI                          4                                      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   W 14 G27     

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW 10 G18    LGT/VAR      W 15 G28     



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER

60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER

70S TO MID 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

70S TO LOWER 90S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-201945-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

241 PM EDT MON MAY 19 2014



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      47-52 (+8)   78-83 (+7)   56-61        81-86        

RH % (24H TREND)      83-88 (0)    33-38 (+2)   95-100       38-43        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   W  9 G20     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  8        SW  5        W 11 G21     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            20           

PRECIP DURATION                                              1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 2 PM         

PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.04         

LAL                   1            1            1            3            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6200                      7000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 17                     W 30         

DISPERSION                         70 GOOD                                

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   W 12 G26     

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW 11 G19    SW  7        W 14 G26     



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S.

NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S

TO LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

70S TO LOWER 90S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-201945-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

241 PM EDT MON MAY 19 2014



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      50-55 (+7)   79-84 (+8)   58-63        82-87        

RH % (24H TREND)      86-91 (0)    33-38 (-1)   92-97        34-39        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SW  9 G20    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  9        SW  6        W 11 G20     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6200                      6900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 22                     W 29         

DISPERSION                         92 GOOD                                

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  6 G17                 SW 11 G25    

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW 11 G20    SW  7 G16    W 14 G25     



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S.

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S

TO MID 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 80S

TO LOWER 90S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-201945-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

241 PM EDT MON MAY 19 2014



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      54-59 (+7)   80-85 (+8)   58-63        83-88        

RH % (24H TREND)      87-92 (-2)   34-39 (-6)   94-99        33-38        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SW  8 G19    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  9 G17    SW  5        W 10 G19     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               3                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6100                      7000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 22                     W 29         

DISPERSION                         93 GOOD                                

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  5 G16                  SW 10 G24    

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW 12 G22    SW  6 G16    W 13 G24     



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID

60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S. WEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S. NORTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S

TO MID 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S

TO UPPER 80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO

LOWER 90S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



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