

201 

FNUS54 KMRX 190655

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

600 AM EDT MON MAY 19 2014



...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON OVER SOUTHWEST 

VIRGINIA AND NORTHEAST TENNESSEE...



...BREEZY WINDS EXPECTED ON TUESDAY...



.DISCUSSION...

A WARMING TREND WILL DEVELOP OVER THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION 

THIS WEEK...WITH TEMPERATURES RISING BACK TO ABOVE NORMAL LEVELS BY 

THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK. A FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL SLOWLY SETTLE AROUND 

THE REGION FOR THE LATTER HALF OF THE WEEK...WITH THUNDERSTORM 

CHANCES INCREASING BY WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-200800-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

600 AM EDT MON MAY 19 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      70-75 (+7)   45-50 (+7)   78-83        

RH % (24H TREND)      27-32 (-3)   82-87 (+2)   31-36        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SW  8 G16    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW 11 G18    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    8 AM         

PRECIP END                                      8 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            3            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5500                      4900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  6                     SW 17        

DISPERSION            18 GEN POOR               44 GEN GOOD  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SW 10 G20    

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  5        LGT/VAR      SW 13 G23    



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 

HIGHS IN THE 80S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 

LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS 

IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE 70S. NORTH WINDS 

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. 

NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S

TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-200800-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

600 AM EDT MON MAY 19 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      68-73 (+7)   45-50 (+7)   75-80        

RH % (24H TREND)      28-33 (-7)   85-90 (0)    31-36        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SW  7        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  8 G15     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            10           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    8 AM         

PRECIP END                                      8 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5400                      4900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S  7                      W 15         

DISPERSION            16 GEN POOR               26 FAIR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  5                      SW  9 G18    

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  6         W 10 G19     



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 

MPH...INCREASING TO 10 TO 20 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 

HIGHS IN THE 80S. WEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS 

IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE 70S. NORTHWEST 

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S 

TO LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO 

LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-200800-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

600 AM EDT MON MAY 19 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      68-73 (+9)   48-53 (+6)   75-80        

RH % (24H TREND)      37-42 (-8)   87-92 (-2)   30-35        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SW  8 G15    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW 10 G19    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5400                      5000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  6                      SW 17        

DISPERSION            12 POOR                   27 FAIR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SW 10 G19    

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW 13 G24    



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. 

SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER 80S. WEST 

WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 

HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO 

LOWER 80S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO 

LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO 

LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-200800-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

600 AM EDT MON MAY 19 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      72-77 (+12)  51-56 (+7)   79-84        

RH % (24H TREND)      35-40 (-17)  88-93 (-3)   34-39        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  7         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW 10 G18    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5500                      4800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  6                     SW 17        

DISPERSION            17 GEN POOR               40 FAIR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  9 G18     

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  5         SW 13 G23    



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 80S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S.

WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 

HIGHS IN THE 80S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 

LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTH WINDS UP 

TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S 

TO LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO 

MID 80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-200800-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

600 AM EDT MON MAY 19 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      71-76 (+11)  47-52 (+5)   80-85        

RH % (24H TREND)      34-39 (-18)  91-96 (0)    33-38        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  5         LGT/VAR      SW  9 G16    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5500                      5000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S  6                      SW 14        

DISPERSION            17 GEN POOR               31 FAIR      

MAX LVORI             3                         4            

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  7 G15     

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  6         S  5         SW 11 G20    



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 

15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S TO LOWER 90S. WEST 

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. 

WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 

HIGHS IN THE 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 

LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTH WINDS 

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S 

TO LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S 

TO MID 80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-200800-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

600 AM EDT MON MAY 19 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      72-77 (+8)   47-52 (+8)   80-85        

RH % (24H TREND)      27-32 (-6)   84-89 (-1)   30-35        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SW  5 G15    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW 10 G20    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5400                      4700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S  6                      SW 17        

DISPERSION            20 GEN POOR               48 GEN GOOD  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SW  7 G19    

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW 13 G25    



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 

HIGHS IN THE 80S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS 

IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 

80S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO 

LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S 

TO MID 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-200800-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

600 AM EDT MON MAY 19 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      72-77 (+8)   51-56 (+8)   81-86        

RH % (24H TREND)      32-37 (-8)   86-91 (-2)   31-36        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  9 G19     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW 12 G20    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5100                      4500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S  6                      SW 21        

DISPERSION            19 GEN POOR               60 GEN GOOD  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S 11 G24     

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW 15 G26    



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S TO LOWER 90S. WEST 

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 

HIGHS IN THE 80S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO 

MID 80S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S 

TO MID 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO

MID 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-200800-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

600 AM EDT MON MAY 19 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      74-79 (+11)  55-60 (+8)   82-87        

RH % (24H TREND)      37-42 (-15)  87-92 (-4)   34-39        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  9 G17     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW 11 G20    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4700                      4400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S  6                      SW 21        

DISPERSION            18 GEN POOR               58 GEN GOOD  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S 12 G22     

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  6         SW 14 G25    



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST 

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S TO LOWER 90S. WEST

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. 

WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 

HIGHS IN THE MID 80S TO LOWER 90S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 

LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 80S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S

TO MID 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 80S. EAST 

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



