

982 

FNUS54 KMRX 181543 AAA

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...UPDATED

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

1143 AM EDT SUN MAY 18 2014



.DISCUSSION...

 

A WARMING TREND WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION 

THIS WEEK...WITH TEMPERATURES WARMING BACK TO ABOVE NORMAL LEVELS BY 

THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK. A FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL SLOWLY SETTLE AROUND 

THE REGION FOR THE LATTER HALF OF THE WEEK...WITH THUNDERSTORM 

CHANCES INCREASING TOWARDS THE END OF THE WEEK.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-191645-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

1143 AM EDT SUN MAY 18 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      63-68 (+6)   38-43 (0)    70-75        

RH % (24H TREND)      31-36 (-11)  87-92 (0)    23-28        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5000                      5500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NE  6                     S  6         

DISPERSION            16 GEN POOR               17 GEN POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NE  5                     LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  5         



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. NORTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER

80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-191645-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

1143 AM EDT SUN MAY 18 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      61-66 (+6)   38-43 (-1)   66-71        

RH % (24H TREND)      33-38 (-12)  90-95 (0)    26-31        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5000                      5500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  6                     S  7         

DISPERSION            11 POOR                   15 GEN POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SE  5        

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  6         



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.

SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER 80S. WEST WINDS

10 TO 20 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO 80S. WEST WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO

LOWER 80S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-191645-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

1143 AM EDT SUN MAY 18 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      59-64 (+4)   40-45 (-3)   68-73        

RH % (24H TREND)      44-49 (-6)   90-95 (+1)   24-29        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM                                   

PRECIP END            2 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.07         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5000                      5300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  6                      SW  6        

DISPERSION            10 POOR                   12 POOR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.

SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER

60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO 80S. WEST WINDS

10 TO 20 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 80S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 80S. NORTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO

LOWER 80S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-191645-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

1143 AM EDT SUN MAY 18 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      60-65 (+2)   43-48 (-3)   72-77        

RH % (24H TREND)      50-55 (-5)   90-95 (0)    28-33        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       2                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM                                   

PRECIP END            8 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.16         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4700                      5300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S  6                      S  6         

DISPERSION            13 GEN POOR               16 GEN POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER 80S.

WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO 80S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. NORTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO

LOWER 80S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-191645-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

1143 AM EDT SUN MAY 18 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      60-65 (+2)   42-47 (-3)   73-78        

RH % (24H TREND)      49-54 (-5)   90-95 (0)    24-29        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  5         

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       2                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM                                   

PRECIP END            8 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.19         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4900                      5500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE  6                     S  6         

DISPERSION            13 GEN POOR               17 GEN POOR  

MAX LVORI             4                         3            

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  6         



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST EARLY IN THE

AFTERNOON. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER 80S.

WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID

80S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. NORTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER

80S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-191645-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

1143 AM EDT SUN MAY 18 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      64-69 (+5)   40-45 (-2)   72-77        

RH % (24H TREND)      32-37 (-11)  87-92 (-1)   22-27        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4900                      5400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   E  6                      S  6         

DISPERSION            18 GEN POOR               20 GEN POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     E  5                      LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER 80S. WEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID

80S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-191645-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

1143 AM EDT SUN MAY 18 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      64-69 (+5)   42-47 (-1)   73-78        

RH % (24H TREND)      36-41 (-12)  88-93 (-2)   23-28        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     E  5                      LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM                                   

PRECIP END            2 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4500                      5000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   E  7                      S  6         

DISPERSION            20 GEN POOR               19 GEN POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     E  6                      LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S. NORTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID

80S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO

MID 80S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-191645-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

1143 AM EDT SUN MAY 18 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      63-68 (+3)   45-50 (-2)   74-79        

RH % (24H TREND)      47-52 (-7)   90-95 (-1)   27-32        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       2                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM                                   

PRECIP END            8 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.11         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3500                      4600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE  7                     S  6         

DISPERSION            13 GEN POOR               18 GEN POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     E  5                      LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  6         LGT/VAR      S  5         



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S.

SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST EARLY IN THE

AFTERNOON. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS NEAR 60. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO LOWER 90S. WEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO LOWER

90S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S.

NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID

80S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



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