

687 

FNUS54 KMRX 180720

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

320 AM EDT SUN MAY 18 2014



...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES EXPECTED ON MONDAY AFTERNOON...



.DISCUSSION...

A WARMING TREND WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION 

THIS WEEK...WITH TEMPERATURES WARMING BACK TO ABOVE NORMAL LEVELS BY 

THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK. A FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL SLOWLY SETTLE AROUND 

THE REGION FOR THE LATTER HALF OF THE WEEK...WITH THUNDERSTORM CHANCES 

INCREASING TOWARDS THE END OF THE WEEK.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-190830-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

320 AM EDT SUN MAY 18 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      63-68 (+6)   38-43 (0)    70-75        

RH % (24H TREND)      33-38 (-9)   87-92 (+2)   23-28        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5000                      5500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NE  6                     S  6         

DISPERSION            16 GEN POOR               17 GEN POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NE  5                     LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  5         



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN 

THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN 

THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 

MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 

LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS 

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-190830-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

320 AM EDT SUN MAY 18 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      61-66 (+6)   38-43 (-1)   66-71        

RH % (24H TREND)      35-40 (-11)  90-95 (+8)   26-31        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5000                      5500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  6                     S  7         

DISPERSION            11 POOR                   15 GEN POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SE  5        

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  6         



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH 

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST 

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 

HIGHS IN THE 80S. WEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN 

THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 

MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN 

THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 

LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTH WINDS UP 

TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-190830-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

320 AM EDT SUN MAY 18 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      59-64 (+4)   40-45 (-3)   68-73        

RH % (24H TREND)      44-49 (-7)   90-95 (+12)  24-29        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM                                   

PRECIP END            8 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.07         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5000                      5300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  6                      SW  6        

DISPERSION            10 POOR                   12 POOR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S TO LOWER 50S.

SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. 

SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. WEST 

WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN 

THE 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 

MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN 

THE 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 

MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 

LOWS IN THE 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. NORTH WINDS LESS 

THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-190830-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

320 AM EDT SUN MAY 18 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      60-65 (+2)   43-48 (-3)   72-77        

RH % (24H TREND)      49-54 (-5)   90-95 (+4)   28-33        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       2                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM                                   

PRECIP END            8 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.16         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4700                      5300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S  6                      S  6         

DISPERSION            13 GEN POOR               16 GEN POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 80S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 

LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. NORTHWEST 

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN 

THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 

MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 

LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTH WINDS 

UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-190830-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

320 AM EDT SUN MAY 18 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      60-65 (+2)   42-47 (-3)   73-78        

RH % (24H TREND)      49-54 (-5)   90-95 (+2)   24-29        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  5         

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       2                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM                                   

PRECIP END            8 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.19         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4900                      5500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE  6                     S  6         

DISPERSION            13 GEN POOR               17 GEN POOR  

MAX LVORI             4                         3            

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  6         



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 80S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 

LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. NORTHWEST 

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN 

THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 

MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 

LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTH WINDS 

UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-190830-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

320 AM EDT SUN MAY 18 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      64-69 (+5)   40-45 (-2)   72-77        

RH % (24H TREND)      34-39 (-10)  87-92 (+2)   22-27        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4900                      5400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   E  6                      S  6         

DISPERSION            18 GEN POOR               20 GEN POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     E  5                      LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST 

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 

HIGHS IN THE 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 

AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE 80S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN 

THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 

LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. NORTH WINDS 

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-190830-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

320 AM EDT SUN MAY 18 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      63-68 (+4)   42-47 (-1)   73-78        

RH % (24H TREND)      39-44 (-10)  88-93 (+1)   23-28        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     E  5                      LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       1                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM                                   

PRECIP END            2 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4500                      5000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   E  7                      S  6         

DISPERSION            20 GEN POOR               19 GEN POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     E  6                      LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 

MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 

IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 

LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. NORTH WINDS 

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 

LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. NORTH WINDS 

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-190830-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

320 AM EDT SUN MAY 18 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      63-68 (+3)   45-50 (-2)   74-79        

RH % (24H TREND)      46-51 (-8)   90-95 (+4)   27-32        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           0            0            

PRECIP DURATION       2                                      

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM                                   

PRECIP END            8 PM                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.11         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3500                      4600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE  7                     S  6         

DISPERSION            13 GEN POOR               18 GEN POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     E  5                      LGT/VAR      

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  6         LGT/VAR      S  5         



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S. SOUTH 

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS 

5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS NEAR 60. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 

MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S TO LOWER 90S. WEST 

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 

LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S TO LOWER 90S. NORTHWEST 

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 

LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE 80S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 

LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. NORTH WINDS 

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



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