

632 

FNUS54 KMRX 141417

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

1017 AM EDT WED MAY 14 2014



.DISCUSSION...

AN UNSEASONABLY WARM AIR MASS WILL LINGER OVER THE 

SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION TODAY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND 

THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING ALONG A COLD

FRONT THAT WILL SLOWLY MOVE INTO THE REGION TONIGHT INTO 

THURSDAY. A MUCH COLDER AIR MASS WILL SETTLE ACROSS THE REGION 

AT THE END OF THE WEEK...WITH TEMPERATURES BELOW NORMAL FOR THIS 

TIME OF YEAR. 





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-151530-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

1017 AM EDT WED MAY 14 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      80-85 (-2)   57-62 (0)    64-69        

RH % (24H TREND)      46-51 (+3)   93-98 (-1)   60-65        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  6                      S  6         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  8 G16     S  5         W  5         

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           80           100          

PRECIP DURATION       1            5            8            

PRECIP BEGIN          11 AM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.31         0.91         

LAL                   3            3            3            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6600                      3900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 20                      S 10         

DISPERSION            78 GOOD                   16 GEN POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  7 G17                  S  8 G18     

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  9 G20     S  7 G16     W  7 G18     



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

MID 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS NEAR 40. WEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID

60S TO LOWER 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-151530-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

1017 AM EDT WED MAY 14 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      77-82 (-3)   56-61 (0)    62-67        

RH % (24H TREND)      44-49 (+2)   95-100 (+8)  59-64        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  6                      S  7 G17     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  9 G17     SE  8 G18    W  7 G17     

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           80           100          

PRECIP DURATION       1            5            8            

PRECIP BEGIN          11 AM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.54         1.39         

LAL                   3            3            3            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6400                      4300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 22                      SW 10        

DISPERSION            68 GOOD                   11 POOR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  7 G18                  S  9 G21     

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 11 G21     SE 10 G23    W  9 G21     



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID

40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

MID 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS NEAR 40. WEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S

TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID

60S TO UPPER 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-151530-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

1017 AM EDT WED MAY 14 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      75-80 (-4)   55-60 (-1)   61-66        

RH % (24H TREND)      55-60 (+8)   95-100 (+13) 61-66        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  7 G17                  SW  9 G23    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  7         LGT/VAR      NW  5        

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           100          90           

PRECIP DURATION       1            5            7            

PRECIP BEGIN          11 AM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.89         0.52         

LAL                   3            3            3            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6700                      5400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 22                      SW 10        

DISPERSION            68 GOOD                   19 GEN POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  9 G21                  SW 11 G29    

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  8 G17     S  6 G15     NW  7        



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

50S TO 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

50S TO 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S

TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-151530-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

1017 AM EDT WED MAY 14 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      76-81 (-4)   56-61 (-3)   63-68        

RH % (24H TREND)      59-64 (+10)  95-100 (+14) 54-59        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  7 G15                  SW  7 G16    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  7         LGT/VAR      NW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           100          90           

PRECIP DURATION       2            5            5            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.06         1.01         0.28         

LAL                   4            3            3            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5800                      5600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 22                      W  9         

DISPERSION            69 GOOD                   29 FAIR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  9 G18                  SW  8 G21    

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  9 G18     SW  5        NW  7        



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

50S TO 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.

NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S

TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-151530-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

1017 AM EDT WED MAY 14 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      77-82 (-3)   56-61 (-1)   63-68        

RH % (24H TREND)      57-62 (+9)   95-100 (+8)  57-62        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  7                      SW  6        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  8 G15     S  5 G15     NW  5        

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           100          90           

PRECIP DURATION       1            5            7            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         1.50         0.45         

LAL                   4            3            3            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6300                      5600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 22                      W  7         

DISPERSION            77 GOOD                   21 FAIR      

MAX LVORI             3                         5            

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  9 G18                  SW  7 G17    

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 10 G19     S  7 G19     NW  7        



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS NEAR 40. NORTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S.

WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-151530-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

1017 AM EDT WED MAY 14 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      80-85 (-4)   57-62 (-1)   64-69        

RH % (24H TREND)      47-52 (+6)   95-100 (+2)  56-61        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  6         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  6         LGT/VAR      W  6         

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           90           100          

PRECIP DURATION       1            5            8            

PRECIP BEGIN          11 AM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.47         0.76         

LAL                   3            3            3            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6300                      4400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 18                      SW 10        

DISPERSION            76 GOOD                   26 FAIR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  5 G15                  S  8 G18     

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  7 G16     S  5         W  7 G18     



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.

WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID

60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-151530-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

1017 AM EDT WED MAY 14 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      78-83 (-3)   58-63 (-2)   63-68        

RH % (24H TREND)      53-58 (+7)   90-95 (-3)   50-55        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  6 G15                  SW  6        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  5        SW  5        NW  5        

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           100          80           

PRECIP DURATION       2            6            5            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.09         0.68         0.20         

LAL                   4            3            3            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5700                      5200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 21                      W 14         

DISPERSION            77 GOOD                   47 GEN GOOD  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  8 G19                  SW  7        

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  7 G17    SW  6 G16    NW  6        



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE MID 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

50S TO UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING

LIGHT. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-151530-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

1017 AM EDT WED MAY 14 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      77-82 (-4)   56-61 (-5)   63-68        

RH % (24H TREND)      58-63 (+11)  91-96 (+2)   45-50        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  7                      W  6         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  5         S  6 G15     NW  7        

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           100          80           

PRECIP DURATION       3            6            5            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.30         0.69         0.13         

LAL                   5            3            3            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5100                      5600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 23                      W 14         

DISPERSION            76 GOOD                   54 GEN GOOD  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  9 G17                  W  8 G17     

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  7 G15     S  7 G19     NW  8 G17    



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. WEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT.

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S

TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



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