

261 

FNUS54 KMRX 140817

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

417 AM EDT WED MAY 14 2014



.DISCUSSION...

AN UNSEASONABLY WARM AIR MASS WILL LINGER OVER THE SOUTHERN 

APPALACHIAN REGION THROUGH TODAY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND 

THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. A COLD FRONT WILL 

THEN SLOWLY MOVE THROUGH THE REGION BY TONIGHT INTO THURSDAY... 

WITH A BETTER COVERAGE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...AND POSSIBLY 

HEAVY RAINFALL. A MUCH COLDER AIR MASS WILL SETTLE ACROSS THE 

REGION FOR THE END OF THE WEEK...WITH TEMPERATURES BELOW NORMAL FOR 

THIS TIME OF YEAR. 



VAZ001-002-005-006-008-150930-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

417 AM EDT WED MAY 14 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      80-85 (-2)   58-63 (+1)   64-69        

RH % (24H TREND)      37-42 (-4)   90-95 (+2)   60-65        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  7                      S  7         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  8 G17     S  6         W  5         

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           80           100          

PRECIP DURATION       1            4            6            

PRECIP BEGIN          9 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.31         0.91         

LAL                   3            3            3            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    8700                      3500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 20                      S 10         

DISPERSION            113 VERY GOOD             13 GEN POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  8 G18                  S  8 G18     

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 10 G21     S  8 G18     W  7 G18     



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

MID 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS NEAR 40. WEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID

60S TO LOWER 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-150930-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

417 AM EDT WED MAY 14 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      77-82 (-3)   57-62 (+1)   62-67        

RH % (24H TREND)      39-44 (-2)   94-99 (+7)   59-64        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  7 G16                  S  7 G17     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  9 G19     SE  9 G20    W  7 G17     

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           80           100          

PRECIP DURATION       1            4            6            

PRECIP BEGIN          9 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.54         1.39         

LAL                   3            3            3            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    9200                      3800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 22                      SW 10        

DISPERSION            120 VERY GOOD             7 POOR       

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  8 G20                  S  9 G21     

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 12 G24     SE 11 G25    W  9 G21     



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID

40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

MID 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS NEAR 40. WEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S

TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID

60S TO UPPER 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-150930-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

417 AM EDT WED MAY 14 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      75-80 (-4)   56-61 (0)    61-66        

RH % (24H TREND)      44-49 (-1)   95-100 (+9)  61-66        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  8 G17                  SW  9 G23    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  7 G15     S  5         NW  5        

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           100          90           

PRECIP DURATION       1            4            5            

PRECIP BEGIN          9 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.89         0.52         

LAL                   3            3            3            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    8400                      5100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 22                      SW 10        

DISPERSION            99 GOOD                   17 GEN POOR  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S 10 G21                  SW 11 G29    

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  9 G19     S  6 G17     NW  7        



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

50S TO 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

50S TO 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S

TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-150930-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

417 AM EDT WED MAY 14 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      76-81 (-4)   57-62 (-2)   63-68        

RH % (24H TREND)      47-52 (+1)   95-100 (+10) 54-59        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  9 G17                  SW  7 G17    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  8 G16     LGT/VAR      NW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           100          90           

PRECIP DURATION       2            4            4            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.06         1.02         0.28         

LAL                   4            3            3            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7400                      5700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 22                      W  9         

DISPERSION            99 GOOD                   29 FAIR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S 11 G21                  SW  9 G21    

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 10 G20     SW  5 G16    NW  7        



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

50S TO 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.

NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S

TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-150930-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

417 AM EDT WED MAY 14 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      77-82 (-3)   57-62 (0)    63-68        

RH % (24H TREND)      44-49 (-1)   95-100 (+10) 57-62        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  8 G16                  SW  6 G15    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  8 G17     S  6 G16     NW  5        

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           100          90           

PRECIP DURATION       1            4            5            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         1.50         0.45         

LAL                   4            3            3            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    8700                      5600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 22                      W  7         

DISPERSION            122 VERY GOOD             22 FAIR      

MAX LVORI             3                         5            

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S 10 G21                  SW  8 G19    

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 11 G21     S  7 G21     NW  7        



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS NEAR 40. NORTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S.

WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-150930-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

417 AM EDT WED MAY 14 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      80-85 (-4)   58-63 (0)    64-69        

RH % (24H TREND)      39-44 (0)    93-98 (+5)   56-61        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  5                      S  7         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  6         LGT/VAR      W  6         

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           90           100          

PRECIP DURATION       1            4            6            

PRECIP BEGIN          9 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.47         0.76         

LAL                   3            3            3            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    8700                      4000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 18                      SW 10        

DISPERSION            113 VERY GOOD             23 FAIR      

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  6 G16                  S  8 G18     

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  8 G18     S  5         W  7 G18     



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

LOWER TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO

UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.

WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID

60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-150930-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

417 AM EDT WED MAY 14 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       

TEMP (24H TREND)      78-83 (-3)   59-64 (-1)   63-68        

RH % (24H TREND)      44-49 (0)    87-92 (0)    50-55        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  7 G17                  SW  6        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  6 G15    SW  5        NW  5        

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           100          80           

PRECIP DURATION       2            5            4            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.09         0.68         0.20         

LAL                   4            3            3            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7200                      5100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 21                      W 14         

DISPERSION            104 VERY GOOD             46 GEN GOOD  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  9 G21                  SW  7        

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  8 G19    SW  7 G18    NW  6        



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE MID 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

50S TO UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING

LIGHT. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-150930-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

417 AM EDT WED MAY 14 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      77-82 (-4)   57-62 (-4)   63-68        

RH % (24H TREND)      48-53 (+3)   87-92 (0)    45-50        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  8 G16                  W  7         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  6         S  6 G17     NW  7        

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           100          80           

PRECIP DURATION       3            5            4            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.30         0.69         0.13         

LAL                   5            3            3            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6400                      5900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 23                      W 14         

DISPERSION            101 VERY GOOD             57 GEN GOOD  

33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S 10 G20                  W  8 G17     

33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  8 G16     S  8 G21     NW  8 G17    



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. WEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT.

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S

TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TD/SON



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