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FNUS54 KMRX 121413 AAA

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...UPDATED

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

1013 AM EDT MON MAY 12 2014



.DISCUSSION...

WEAK HIGH PRESSURE WILL EXTEND INTO THE AREA THROUGH 

TUESDAY.  A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH BY MID WEEK. 

 





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-131515-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

1013 AM EDT MON MAY 12 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      81-86 (+3)   58-63 (+2)   80-85        

RH % (24H TREND)      36-41 (-5)   91-96 (+5)   40-45        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  5         

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            30           

PRECIP DURATION       1                         1            

PRECIP BEGIN          11 AM                     8 AM         

PRECIP END            8 PM                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.00         0.09         

LAL                   3            1            3            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    9700                      7500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  9                     SW 10        

DISPERSION            59 GEN GOOD               48 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS NEAR 60. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY

IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID

TO UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.

COOLER. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S.

WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID

40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-131515-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

1013 AM EDT MON MAY 12 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      78-83 (+3)   56-61 (+3)   78-83        

RH % (24H TREND)      37-42 (-5)   91-96 (-2)   40-45        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  5         

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           20           30           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          11 AM        CONTINUING   2 PM         

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   11 PM        CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.06         0.02         0.09         

LAL                   3            2            3            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    10000                     7700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  5                     SW  7        

DISPERSION            32 FAIR                   31 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER

70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.

COOLER. HIGHS IN THE 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID

40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-131515-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

1013 AM EDT MON MAY 12 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      78-83 (+5)   57-62 (+3)   77-82        

RH % (24H TREND)      39-44 (-9)   90-95 (-2)   42-47        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  6         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  5         

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           20           30           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          11 AM        CONTINUING   2 PM         

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   11 PM        CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.01         0.07         

LAL                   3            2            3            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    10000                     7400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 10                     S 10         

DISPERSION            59 GEN GOOD               41 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 70S

TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.

COOLER. HIGHS IN THE 60S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S.

NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID

40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO

LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-131515-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

1013 AM EDT MON MAY 12 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      81-86 (+4)   59-64 (+2)   80-85        

RH % (24H TREND)      38-43 (-8)   90-95 (+1)   43-48        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  6         

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           0            30           

PRECIP DURATION       1                         1            

PRECIP BEGIN          11 AM                     2 PM         

PRECIP END            CONTINUING                CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.00         0.06         

LAL                   3            3            3            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    9600                      7200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 14                      S 14         

DISPERSION            88 GOOD                   62 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS NEAR 60. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 70S

TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

THUNDERSTORMS. COOLER. HIGHS IN THE 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S

TO LOWER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S

TO LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-131515-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

1013 AM EDT MON MAY 12 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      79-84 (+2)   58-63 (+2)   78-83        

RH % (24H TREND)      40-45 (-5)   91-96 (-2)   44-49        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  6         

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           20           30           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          11 AM        CONTINUING   2 PM         

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   11 PM        CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.07         0.01         0.08         

LAL                   3            2            3            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    9800                      7400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 12                      S 13         

DISPERSION            77 GOOD                   56 GEN GOOD  

MAX LVORI             4                         4            



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS NEAR 60. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 70S

TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

THUNDERSTORMS. COOLER. HIGHS IN THE 60S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO

LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S

TO LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-131515-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

1013 AM EDT MON MAY 12 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      82-87 (+3)   58-63 (+2)   81-86        

RH % (24H TREND)      36-41 (-4)   93-98 (+1)   40-45        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            30           

PRECIP DURATION       1                         1            

PRECIP BEGIN          2 PM                      8 AM         

PRECIP END            8 PM                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.08         

LAL                   3            1            3            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    9100                      7200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  7                     SW  9        

DISPERSION            45 GEN GOOD               45 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS NEAR 60. LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST LESS

THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID

70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.

COOLER. HIGHS IN THE 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID

60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-131515-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

1013 AM EDT MON MAY 12 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      83-88 (+5)   60-65 (+1)   81-86        

RH % (24H TREND)      36-41 (-7)   91-96 (+3)   42-47        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  5         

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            30           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    8 AM         

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.05         

LAL                   3            1            3            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    9000                      6800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 15                     SW 14        

DISPERSION            96 GOOD                   66 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. LIGHT WINDS. 

.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID

70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

THUNDERSTORMS. COOLER. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID

60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER

40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID

60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-131515-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

1013 AM EDT MON MAY 12 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      84-89 (+5)   61-66 (+2)   82-87        

RH % (24H TREND)      36-41 (-9)   88-93 (0)    41-46        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  5                      LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  6         LGT/VAR      S  5         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            30           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    8 AM         

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.03         

LAL                   1            1            3            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    9100                      6900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 17                      S 14         

DISPERSION            121 VERY GOOD             69 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH

SHIFTING TO THE EAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 70S

TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID

60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 50.

HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS NEAR 70.

NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



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