

301 

FNUS54 KMRX 111837

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

237 PM EDT SUN MAY 11 2014



.DISCUSSION...

WEAK HIGH PRESSURE WILL EXTEND INTO THE AREA THROUGH 

MONDAY.  A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH BY MID WEEK. 

 

 





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-121945-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

237 PM EDT SUN MAY 11 2014



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      56-61 (+4)   81-86 (+3)   58-63        79-84        

RH % (24H TREND)      92-97 (0)    39-44 (-6)   90-95        43-48        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  5                      LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  6        LGT/VAR      SW  5        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           10           30           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.05         0.01         0.02         

LAL                   1            2            1            3            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5500                      7000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 10                     N  9         

DISPERSION                         32 FAIR                   40 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS NEAR 60. LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST LESS

THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 60S

TO UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. COOLER. LOWS

IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 60S.

WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID

40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO

LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-121945-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

237 PM EDT SUN MAY 11 2014



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      53-58 (+1)   78-83 (+3)   56-61        77-82        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+3)  40-45 (-6)   91-96        44-49        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           20           30           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       8 AM         CONTINUING   2 PM         

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   8 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.05         0.02         0.04         

LAL                   1            2            2            3            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5600                      7500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW  7                     N  5         

DISPERSION                         16 GEN POOR               17 GEN POOR  



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS NEAR 60. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING

TO THE SOUTHEAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 60S

TO UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. COOLER. LOWS

IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 60S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER

40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO

LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-121945-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

237 PM EDT SUN MAY 11 2014



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      54-59 (+2)   78-83 (+5)   57-62        76-81        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+1)  41-46 (-10)  89-94        45-50        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  5         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           20           30           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       8 AM         CONTINUING   2 PM         

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   8 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.06         0.01         0.03         

LAL                   1            2            2            3            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5700                      7200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 12                      N  8         

DISPERSION                         26 FAIR                   30 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. LIGHT WINDS

BECOMING SOUTH LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID

60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. COOLER. LOWS

IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO

LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-121945-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

237 PM EDT SUN MAY 11 2014



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      57-62 (+2)   81-86 (+4)   59-64        79-84        

RH % (24H TREND)      94-99 (0)    42-47 (-7)   90-95        47-52        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  5                      S  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  5         LGT/VAR      S  6         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           10           30           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       8 AM         CONTINUING   2 PM         

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   8 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.03         0.01         0.02         

LAL                   1            2            1            3            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5400                      6400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 14                      N 12         

DISPERSION                         38 FAIR                   43 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS NEAR 60. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 60S

TO UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. COOLER. LOWS

IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S

TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO

LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-121945-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

237 PM EDT SUN MAY 11 2014



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      56-61 (+3)   79-84 (+2)   58-63        77-82        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+2)  45-50 (-3)   92-97        47-52        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SE  5        LGT/VAR      S  6         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           10           30           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       8 AM         CONTINUING   2 PM         

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   8 AM         CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.04         0.01         0.04         

LAL                   1            2            1            3            

LASI                               4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5500                      6800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 12                      N 10         

DISPERSION                         32 FAIR                   39 FAIR      

MAX LVORI                          4                         4            



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS NEAR 60. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 60S

TO UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE

LOWER TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO

LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID

60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-121945-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

237 PM EDT SUN MAY 11 2014



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      56-61 (+3)   82-87 (+3)   58-63        80-85        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+3)  39-44 (-3)   91-96        43-48        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  5        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        NONE         TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           0            30           

PRECIP DURATION                    1                         1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       8 AM                      8 AM         

PRECIP END                         8 PM                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.05         0.00         0.03         

LAL                   1            2            1            3            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5100                      6400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW  9                     N  7         

DISPERSION                         30 FAIR                   29 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 60S

TO UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. COOLER. LOWS

IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 60S.

WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID

40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S

TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-121945-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

237 PM EDT SUN MAY 11 2014



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      59-64 (+4)   83-88 (+5)   60-65        80-85        

RH % (24H TREND)      94-99 (0)    40-45 (-6)   91-96        45-50        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  5                      LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  7 G16     LGT/VAR      SW  5        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        NONE         TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           0            30           

PRECIP DURATION                    1                         1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       8 AM                      8 AM         

PRECIP END                         8 PM                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.02         0.00         0.03         

LAL                   1            2            1            3            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5100                      6000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 15                      N 13         

DISPERSION                         48 GEN GOOD               50 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 70S.

SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. COOLER. LOWS

IN THE 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S

TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-121945-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

237 PM EDT SUN MAY 11 2014



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      59-64 (+2)   84-89 (+5)   61-66        81-86        

RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (-1)  40-45 (-9)   88-93        43-48        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  5                      LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  6         LGT/VAR      S  6         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           0            40           

PRECIP DURATION                    1                         1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       8 AM                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING                CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.02         0.00         0.03         

LAL                   1            2            1            3            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5100                      6200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 16                      N 14         

DISPERSION                         53 GEN GOOD               59 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 70S

TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. COOLER. LOWS

IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

COOLER. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID

60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID TO UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



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