

381 

FNUS54 KMRX 110719

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

319 AM EDT SUN MAY 11 2014



.DISCUSSION...

DRIER CONDITIONS RETURN TO THE AREA TODAY. TEMPERATURES 

IN THE LOW 80S WILL BE COMMON THROUGH TUESDAY.  STORMS ARE EXPECTED 

TOWARD THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK AS A COLD FRONT PASSES THROUGH THE 

AREA.

 

 





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-120830-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

319 AM EDT SUN MAY 11 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      78-83 (+12)  55-60 (+3)   81-86        

RH % (24H TREND)      37-42 (-24)  93-98 (0)    39-44        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  5        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    8 AM         

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            2            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6400                      7200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW  2                     SW 13        

DISPERSION            9 POOR                    55 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 60. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS NEAR 60. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID

70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS NEAR 70. WEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. NORTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S.

WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-120830-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

319 AM EDT SUN MAY 11 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      75-80 (+9)   53-58 (+1)   78-83        

RH % (24H TREND)      38-43 (-19)  95-100 (+4)  40-45        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SW  5        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  5         SW  5        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    8 AM         

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            2            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6800                      7400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N  3                      SW  9        

DISPERSION            12 POOR                   37 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID

70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER

70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. NORTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S.

WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-120830-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

319 AM EDT SUN MAY 11 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      73-78 (+6)   54-59 (+2)   78-83        

RH % (24H TREND)      41-46 (-19)  92-97 (-1)   42-47        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  6         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  6         

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            20           

PRECIP DURATION       1                         1            

PRECIP BEGIN          2 PM                      8 AM         

PRECIP END            8 PM                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.02         

LAL                   2            1            2            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6900                      7300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NE  3                     SW 13        

DISPERSION            12 POOR                   46 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER

TO MID 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER

70S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. NORTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S

TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-120830-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

319 AM EDT SUN MAY 11 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      77-82 (+8)   57-62 (+2)   81-86        

RH % (24H TREND)      42-47 (-16)  93-98 (0)    41-46        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  6         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  6         

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    8 AM         

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            2            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6400                      7200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NE  1                     S 15         

DISPERSION            5 VERY POOR               66 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS NEAR 60. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER

TO MID 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO

LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S

TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-120830-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

319 AM EDT SUN MAY 11 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      77-82 (+10)  56-61 (+3)   79-84        

RH % (24H TREND)      38-43 (-27)  95-100 (0)   44-49        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  7         

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            20           

PRECIP DURATION       1                         1            

PRECIP BEGIN          2 PM                      8 AM         

PRECIP END            8 PM                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.03         

LAL                   2            1            2            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6800                      7300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE  1                     S 14         

DISPERSION            6 VERY POOR               59 GEN GOOD  

MAX LVORI             7                         4            



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS NEAR 60. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS NEAR 60. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID

70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS NEAR 70. NORTH WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S

TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-120830-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

319 AM EDT SUN MAY 11 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      79-84 (+8)   55-60 (+2)   82-87        

RH % (24H TREND)      37-42 (-17)  95-100 (+5)  38-43        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5800                      7000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NE  2                     SW 12        

DISPERSION            9 POOR                    54 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 60. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. NOT AS WARM. HIGHS

IN THE MID 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS NEAR 70. WEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. WEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S.

WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-120830-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

319 AM EDT SUN MAY 11 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      78-83 (+7)   59-64 (+4)   83-88        

RH % (24H TREND)      40-45 (-17)  91-96 (-2)   39-44        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  7         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5700                      6900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE  5                     SW 15        

DISPERSION            16 GEN POOR               76 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID

70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO

LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-120830-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

319 AM EDT SUN MAY 11 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      79-84 (+6)   60-65 (+3)   84-89        

RH % (24H TREND)      42-47 (-14)  91-96 (-2)   39-44        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  7         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            10           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    8 AM         

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5800                      7000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S  5                      S 16         

DISPERSION            20 GEN POOR               84 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID

70S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

60S TO MID 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID

60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS NEAR 70.

NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



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