

151 

FNUS54 KMRX 101442

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

1042 AM EDT SAT MAY 10 2014



.DISCUSSION...

AN UPPER AIR DISTURBANCE WILL SWING ACROSS THE AREA 

TODAY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS 

WILL ADVANCE ACROSS THE AREA BEFORE TAPERING OFF THIS 

EVENING. THESE SHOWERS AND ANY THUNDERSTORM ARE CAPABLE

OF PRODUCING HEAVY RAINFALL AND GUSTY WINDS UP TO 30 MPH.

 





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-111545-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

1042 AM EDT SAT MAY 10 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      70-75 (-8)   52-57 (-3)   77-82        

RH % (24H TREND)      52-57 (+13)  95-100 (+10) 41-46        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  6                     LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  7 G15    SW  6        S  5         

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           30           20           

PRECIP DURATION       5            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   8 AM         

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   2 AM         8 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.31         0.02         0.02         

LAL                   5            3            2            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4800                      7700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 28                     S 15         

DISPERSION            66 GOOD                   74 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID

60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID TO UPPER

60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-111545-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

1042 AM EDT SAT MAY 10 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      67-72 (-8)   49-54 (-5)   76-81        

RH % (24H TREND)      54-59 (+12)  95-100 (+12) 39-44        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  5                     LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  6        LGT/VAR      S  5         

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           30           20           

PRECIP DURATION       3            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   8 AM         

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   2 AM         8 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.27         0.03         0.02         

LAL                   5            3            2            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5500                      8500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 24                     S 14         

DISPERSION            57 GEN GOOD               70 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.

NOT AS WARM. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS NEAR 70. NORTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID

60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. WEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-111545-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

1042 AM EDT SAT MAY 10 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      66-71 (-6)   53-58 (-1)   76-81        

RH % (24H TREND)      58-63 (+4)   95-100 (+8)  40-45        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  6                     LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  7        SW  5        S  6         

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           30           20           

PRECIP DURATION       3            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   8 AM         

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   2 AM         8 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.26         0.02         0.02         

LAL                   4            3            2            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5300                      8500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 24                     SW 16        

DISPERSION            46 GEN GOOD               74 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S.

SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. NORTH WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID

60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER

70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-111545-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

1042 AM EDT SAT MAY 10 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      70-75 (-5)   56-61 (-1)   79-84        

RH % (24H TREND)      55-60 (0)    95-100 (+5)  43-48        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  6         S  5         S  6         

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           20           20           

PRECIP DURATION       2            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   8 AM         

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   2 AM         8 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.23         0.02         0.02         

LAL                   4            2            2            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4600                      7100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 20                     S 16         

DISPERSION            42 GEN GOOD               71 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTH WINDS

5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

60S TO MID 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID

60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-111545-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

1042 AM EDT SAT MAY 10 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      71-76 (-5)   55-60 (-1)   78-83        

RH % (24H TREND)      54-59 (+1)   95-100 (+2)  43-48        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  5         LGT/VAR      S  6         

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           20           20           

PRECIP DURATION       2            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   8 AM         

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   2 AM         8 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.21         0.02         0.02         

LAL                   4            3            2            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4900                      7800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 18                     S 16         

DISPERSION            40 FAIR                   77 GOOD      

MAX LVORI             4                         4            



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 70S. NORTHWEST

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS NEAR 70.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-111545-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

1042 AM EDT SAT MAY 10 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      72-77 (-6)   53-58 (-3)   78-83        

RH % (24H TREND)      52-57 (+8)   95-100 (+7)  42-47        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  6        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           30           20           

PRECIP DURATION       5            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   8 AM         

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   2 AM         8 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.29         0.02         0.02         

LAL                   5            3            2            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4400                      6700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 23                     S 12         

DISPERSION            60 GEN GOOD               54 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS NEAR 60. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.

NOT AS WARM. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO

LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-111545-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

1042 AM EDT SAT MAY 10 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      72-77 (-3)   56-61 (-2)   79-84        

RH % (24H TREND)      54-59 (-1)   95-100 (+10) 43-48        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  6                     LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  7        SW  5        S  5         

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           20           20           

PRECIP DURATION       3            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   8 AM         

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   2 AM         8 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.28         0.02         0.02         

LAL                   5            3            2            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4600                      6500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 24                     S 16         

DISPERSION            70 GOOD                   72 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS NEAR 60. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 80S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.

NOT AS WARM. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 70S. NORTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO

LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-111545-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

1042 AM EDT SAT MAY 10 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      72-77 (-1)   59-64 (0)    81-86        

RH % (24H TREND)      55-60 (-6)   95-100 (+6)  42-47        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  5                      LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  7         S  5         S  6         

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           20           20           

PRECIP DURATION       2            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   8 AM         

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   2 AM         8 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.23         0.02         0.02         

LAL                   4            2            2            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4200                      6200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 20                     S 17         

DISPERSION            51 GEN GOOD               77 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 70S. NORTH WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS NEAR 70. NORTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



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