

885 

FNUS54 KMRX 090639

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

239 AM EDT FRI MAY 9 2014



.DISCUSSION...

HIGH PRESSURE THAT HAS DOMINATED THE WEATHER ACROSS THE

SOUTHEAST FOR THE PAST FEW DAYS...WILL FINALLY SHIFT EAST OF THE 

REGION TODAY. CLOUDS WILL INCREASE WITH PERIODS OF RAINFALL EXPECTED 

BY THE AFTERNOON AND CONTINUING INTO SATURDAY.  





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-100745-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

239 AM EDT FRI MAY 9 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      77-82 (-4)   56-61 (+1)   69-74        

RH % (24H TREND)      36-41 (+8)   92-97 (+7)   49-54        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  7 G16                  SW  7        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  8 G16    LGT/VAR      SW  8        

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           80           70           

PRECIP DURATION       1            5            3            

PRECIP BEGIN          12 PM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.22         0.27         

LAL                   4            5            4            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    8300                      6200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 25                     W 20         

DISPERSION            137 VERY GOOD             70 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS NEAR 80. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. WEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-100745-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

239 AM EDT FRI MAY 9 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      75-80 (-3)   55-60 (+2)   68-73        

RH % (24H TREND)      37-42 (+9)   91-96 (+10)  45-50        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  6                      SW  5        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  7        LGT/VAR      W  7         

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           80           70           

PRECIP DURATION       1            5            3            

PRECIP BEGIN          4 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.22         0.28         

LAL                   4            5            4            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    8500                      6500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 23                     W 17         

DISPERSION            116 VERY GOOD             57 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. WEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID

60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-100745-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

239 AM EDT FRI MAY 9 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      72-77 (-6)   56-61 (+2)   66-71        

RH % (24H TREND)      44-49 (+12)  88-93 (+5)   44-49        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  8 G16                  SW  6        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  8 G16    SW  6 G15    W  7         

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           80           70           

PRECIP DURATION       1            5            3            

PRECIP BEGIN          12 PM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.08         0.37         0.52         

LAL                   5            5            4            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7400                      7000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 28                     W 20         

DISPERSION            101 VERY GOOD             65 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S.

SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. WEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE

60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-100745-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

239 AM EDT FRI MAY 9 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      75-80 (-7)   57-62 (0)    70-75        

RH % (24H TREND)      44-49 (+12)  94-99 (+9)   54-59        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  8 G16                  S  6         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  8 G16     S  5         SW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           80           70           

PRECIP DURATION       3            5            3            

PRECIP BEGIN          12 PM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.10         0.43         0.45         

LAL                   5            5            4            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6200                      6600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 23                     SW 17        

DISPERSION            84 GOOD                   65 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S.

SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID

70S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS NEAR 70. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-100745-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

239 AM EDT FRI MAY 9 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      75-80 (-7)   57-62 (+2)   69-74        

RH % (24H TREND)      43-48 (+11)  91-96 (+2)   52-57        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  7                      SW  5        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  7 G15    LGT/VAR      SW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           80           70           

PRECIP DURATION       3            5            3            

PRECIP BEGIN          12 PM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.08         0.45         0.63         

LAL                   5            5            4            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6600                      7500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 22                     W 17         

DISPERSION            83 GOOD                   76 GOOD      

MAX LVORI             4                         4            



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. WEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO

MID 70S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS NEAR 70.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-100745-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

239 AM EDT FRI MAY 9 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      78-83 (-5)   57-62 (+2)   71-76        

RH % (24H TREND)      36-41 (+8)   92-97 (+5)   49-54        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  6 G15                  SW  6        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  7 G15    LGT/VAR      SW  7        

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           80           70           

PRECIP DURATION       1            5            3            

PRECIP BEGIN          12 PM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.06         0.29         0.29         

LAL                   4            5            4            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7200                      5600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 23                     W 18         

DISPERSION            115 VERY GOOD             65 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS NEAR 80. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. WEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS NEAR 70. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS NEAR 70.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-100745-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

239 AM EDT FRI MAY 9 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      76-81 (-8)   59-64 (0)    72-77        

RH % (24H TREND)      43-48 (+12)  90-95 (+8)   50-55        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  6                      SW  6        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  7        S  5         SW  7        

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           80           70           

PRECIP DURATION       3            5            2            

PRECIP BEGIN          12 PM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.12         0.43         0.31         

LAL                   5            5            4            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6200                      6300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 26                     SW 18        

DISPERSION            114 VERY GOOD             79 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS NEAR 60. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO

MID 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS NEAR 70.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-100745-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

239 AM EDT FRI MAY 9 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      75-80 (-9)   59-64 (-1)   74-79        

RH % (24H TREND)      46-51 (+15)  95-100 (+13) 49-54        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  7 G15                  S  6         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  7 G15     S  5         SW  7        

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           80           60           

PRECIP DURATION       3            5            2            

PRECIP BEGIN          12 PM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.19         0.38         0.29         

LAL                   5            5            4            

LASI                  3                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5400                      5900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 25                     SW 17        

DISPERSION            91 GOOD                   71 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. NORTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



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