

536 

FNUS54 KMRX 080724

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

324 AM EDT THU MAY 8 2014



.DISCUSSION...

WARM AND DRY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE AREA 

TODAY AND TONIGHT. THE PROTECTIVE AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE THAT HAS 

DOMINATED THE WEATHER ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST FOR THE PAST FEW DAYS 

WILL FINALLY SHIFT EAST OF THE REGION LATER TONIGHT. A LOW PRESSURE 

SYSTEM WILL MOVE TOWARD THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION ON FRIDAY. 

CLOUDS WILL INCREASE ON FRIDAY WITH RAINFALL POSSIBLE DURING THE 

AFTERNOON OR EARLY EVENING. 





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-090830-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

324 AM EDT THU MAY 8 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      81-86 (+1)   56-61 (+6)   77-82        

RH % (24H TREND)      23-28 (-5)   78-83 (-11)  34-39        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  5                     S  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  7        LGT/VAR      SW  7        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            30           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    2 PM         

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            3            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7200                      7200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 16                     SW 26        

DISPERSION            70 GOOD                   121 VERY GOOD



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS NEAR 60.

SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN

THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO

MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. NORTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-090830-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

324 AM EDT THU MAY 8 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      77-82 (0)    54-59 (+5)   75-80        

RH % (24H TREND)      26-31 (-5)   79-84 (-8)   36-41        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            30           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    5 PM         

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            3            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    8300                      7900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  9                      SW 28        

DISPERSION            44 GEN GOOD               121 VERY GOOD



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID

50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN

THE 60S TO 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 80S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 80S. WEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. NORTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-090830-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

324 AM EDT THU MAY 8 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      77-82 (-1)   54-59 (+6)   72-77        

RH % (24H TREND)      28-33 (-3)   78-83 (-9)   37-42        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  5                     S  8 G16     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  6        S  6 G15     SW  8 G16    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            30           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    2 PM         

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            3            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7900                      7600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 14                     SW 35        

DISPERSION            58 GEN GOOD               133 VERY GOOD



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID

50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN

THE 60S TO 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 80S. WEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. NORTH WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-090830-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

324 AM EDT THU MAY 8 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      80-85 (-2)   56-61 (+6)   75-80        

RH % (24H TREND)      27-32 (-2)   85-90 (-3)   42-47        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  6                     S  8 G16     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  7        S  5         S  9 G17     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            40           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    2 PM         

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            3            

LASI                  5                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6800                      6700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 17                     S 31         

DISPERSION            71 GOOD                   126 VERY GOOD



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID

50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN

THE MID 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S.

NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. NORTH WINDS

5 TO 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-090830-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

324 AM EDT THU MAY 8 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      80-85 (-2)   54-59 (+7)   74-79        

RH % (24H TREND)      25-30 (-3)   88-93 (-3)   42-47        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  5                     S  7 G15     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  8        S  5         S  8 G16     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            40           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    2 PM         

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            3            

LASI                  4                         3            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7400                      7000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 16                     S 29         

DISPERSION            70 GOOD                   119 VERY GOOD

MAX LVORI             4                         4            



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID

50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN

THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTH

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-090830-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

324 AM EDT THU MAY 8 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      82-87 (+1)   55-60 (+5)   78-83        

RH % (24H TREND)      24-29 (-4)   86-91 (-4)   37-42        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  5                     S  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  5         LGT/VAR      SW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            30           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    2 PM         

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            3            

LASI                  5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6500                      6900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 15                     SW 25        

DISPERSION            62 GOOD                   120 VERY GOOD



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS NEAR 60.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN

THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S.

NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-090830-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

324 AM EDT THU MAY 8 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      82-87 (0)    58-63 (+5)   76-81        

RH % (24H TREND)      25-30 (-3)   82-87 (-4)   41-46        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  5                     S  6 G15     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  7        LGT/VAR      SW  8 G16    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            50           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    2 PM         

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.03         

LAL                   1            1            4            

LASI                  5                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6000                      6600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 18                     SW 30        

DISPERSION            75 GOOD                   138 VERY GOOD



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS NEAR 60.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS

NEAR 60. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID

80S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE 70S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-090830-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

324 AM EDT THU MAY 8 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      83-88 (0)    60-65 (+7)   76-81        

RH % (24H TREND)      25-30 (-3)   84-89 (-2)   43-48        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  5                     S  8 G17     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  8 G15     LGT/VAR      S  9 G17     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            60           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    2 PM         

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.13         

LAL                   1            1            4            

LASI                  5                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6000                      6300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 21                     S 30         

DISPERSION            87 GOOD                   136 VERY GOOD



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S.

SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS

IN THE LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS NEAR 80. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO

MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHWEST

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID

70S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 



$$



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