

452 

FNUS54 KMRX 060716

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

316 AM EDT TUE MAY 6 2014



...AFTERNOON MINIMUM RH BELOW 30% IN SOME SPOTS TODAY 

AND WEDNESDAY...



.DISCUSSION...

HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO DOMINATE THE SOUTHEAST FOR THE NEXT 

FEW DAYS...PROVIDING DRY WEATHER AND ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES. THE 

NEXT CHANCE OF RAIN IS EXPECTED TO ARRIVE ON FRIDAY.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-070830-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

316 AM EDT TUE MAY 6 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      79-84 (0)    53-58 (+1)   81-86        

RH % (24H TREND)      29-34 (+2)   85-90 (+12)  26-31        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  7 G16                  LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  7         LGT/VAR      SW  7        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6200                      6500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 12                      SW 14        

DISPERSION            43 GEN GOOD               54 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER

50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-070830-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

316 AM EDT TUE MAY 6 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      77-82 (+1)   53-58 (+5)   79-84        

RH % (24H TREND)      27-32 (-1)   79-84 (+1)   28-33        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  9 G20                  LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  8         LGT/VAR      S  5         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6600                      6900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 14                      S  9         

DISPERSION            45 GEN GOOD               33 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. WEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER

50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-070830-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

316 AM EDT TUE MAY 6 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       CLEAR        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      76-81 (0)    52-57 (+7)   78-83        

RH % (24H TREND)      26-31 (+1)   72-77 (-17)  24-29        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  7                      LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  7         LGT/VAR      SW  5        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6500                      6800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 13                      SW 10        

DISPERSION            38 FAIR                   33 FAIR      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S.

SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S.

SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER

50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-070830-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

316 AM EDT TUE MAY 6 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        CLEAR        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      82-87 (+2)   53-58 (+7)   83-88        

RH % (24H TREND)      27-32 (-1)   78-83 (-15)  26-31        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  5                      LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  7        LGT/VAR      SW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6000                      6300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 12                     SW 13        

DISPERSION            39 FAIR                   47 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S.

SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS AROUND 60.

HIGHS IN THE 60S TO 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-070830-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

316 AM EDT TUE MAY 6 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       CLEAR        CLEAR        

TEMP (24H TREND)      81-86 (+2)   51-56 (+7)   82-87        

RH % (24H TREND)      26-31 (0)    82-87 (-13)  25-30        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  6                      LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  7         LGT/VAR      SW  7        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6200                      6500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 12                      SW 12        

DISPERSION            37 FAIR                   44 GEN GOOD  

MAX LVORI             4                         2            



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTH WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER

50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-070830-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

316 AM EDT TUE MAY 6 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      81-86 (0)    53-58 (+3)   83-88        

RH % (24H TREND)      28-33 (+2)   82-87 (+1)   26-31        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  6 G15                  LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  7         LGT/VAR      SW  5        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6100                      6400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 12                      SW 10        

DISPERSION            47 GEN GOOD               41 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 

.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 80S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER

60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER

50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-070830-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

316 AM EDT TUE MAY 6 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       CLEAR        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      82-87 (+1)   55-60 (+4)   83-88        

RH % (24H TREND)      27-32 (+1)   78-83 (-7)   24-29        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  5                      SW  5        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  7        LGT/VAR      SW  7        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5900                      6200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 12                     SW 14        

DISPERSION            47 GEN GOOD               60 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. SOUTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS AROUND 60.

HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-070830-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

316 AM EDT TUE MAY 6 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          



CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        CLEAR        CLEAR        

TEMP (24H TREND)      83-88 (0)    55-60 (+3)   84-89        

RH % (24H TREND)      26-31 (+1)   80-85 (-3)   24-29        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  5                      S  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  7        LGT/VAR      S  7         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5800                      6100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 13                     S 15         

DISPERSION            49 GEN GOOD               63 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTH WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID

60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER

60S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



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