

048 

FNUS54 KMRX 051907

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

307 PM EDT MON MAY 5 2014



...RELATIVE HUMIDITY AROUND 30% TUESDAY AFTERNOON...



.DISCUSSION...

MINOR IMPROVEMENT OF RHS BUT WILL STILL SEE LOW RHS IN THE 

UPPER 20S TO LOW 30S PERCENT RANGE FOR A COUPLE OF HOURS 

TUESDAY AFTERNOON IN SOME LOCATIONS.  AFTERNOON WINDS WILL 

BE A BIT LIGHTER...AVERAGING LESS THAN 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL 

GUSTS INTO THE TEENS.  OTHERWISE...HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE 

TO DOMINATE THE SOUTHEAST FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS...PROVIDING 

DRY WEATHER AND ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES.



VAZ001-002-005-006-008-062015-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

307 PM EDT MON MAY 5 2014



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      54-59 (+5)   78-83 (-1)   53-58        82-87        

RH % (24H TREND)      70-75 (-9)   29-34 (+2)   79-84        24-29        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  7                      S  6 G15     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  6 G15    SW  6        LGT/VAR      SW  9        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6700                      7500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 16                      SW 18        

DISPERSION                         64 GOOD                   87 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID

50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-062015-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

307 PM EDT MON MAY 5 2014



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      52-57 (+4)   77-82 (+1)   51-56        79-84        

RH % (24H TREND)      74-79 (-4)   29-34 (+1)   79-84        26-31        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  7                      LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  7         W  6         LGT/VAR      S  6         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6500                      7900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 20                      SW 13        

DISPERSION                         62 GOOD                   58 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID

50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. WEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID

50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-062015-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

307 PM EDT MON MAY 5 2014



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      52-57 (+3)   77-82 (+1)   50-55        78-83        

RH % (24H TREND)      74-79 (+1)   30-35 (+5)   76-81        21-26        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  7                      S  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  8 G17    W  5         LGT/VAR      SW  8        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6500                      7800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 16                      SW 15        

DISPERSION                         47 GEN GOOD               61 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER

50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S.

SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID

50S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-062015-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

307 PM EDT MON MAY 5 2014



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      54-59 (+5)   80-85 (0)    51-56        81-86        

RH % (24H TREND)      75-80 (-1)   29-34 (+1)   82-87        26-31        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  6                     S  7         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  6        SW  6        LGT/VAR      SW  9        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6300                      7000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 14                      SW 16        

DISPERSION                         49 GEN GOOD               70 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID

50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S.

SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER

50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-062015-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

307 PM EDT MON MAY 5 2014



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      54-59 (+10)  79-84 (0)    49-54        81-86        

RH % (24H TREND)      76-81 (-2)   31-36 (+5)   84-89        24-29        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  5                      S  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  6         W  5         LGT/VAR      S  9         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6600                      7600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 14                      SW 15        

DISPERSION                         52 GEN GOOD               69 GOOD      

MAX LVORI                          3                         3            



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID

50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID

50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-062015-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

307 PM EDT MON MAY 5 2014



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      54-59 (+4)   81-86 (0)    51-56        83-88        

RH % (24H TREND)      72-77 (-6)   29-34 (+3)   83-88        25-30        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  6                      LGT/VAR      

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  5        SW  5        LGT/VAR      SW  6        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6300                      6700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 16                      SW 16        

DISPERSION                         66 GOOD                   71 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S. WEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID

50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-062015-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

307 PM EDT MON MAY 5 2014



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      56-61 (+5)   82-87 (+1)   54-59        83-88        

RH % (24H TREND)      73-78 (-1)   29-34 (+3)   78-83        23-28        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  6                     S  7 G17     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  6        SW  6        LGT/VAR      SW  9 G17    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6300                      6100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 14                      SW 20        

DISPERSION                         61 GOOD                   79 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S.

SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER

50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-062015-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

307 PM EDT MON MAY 5 2014



                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          



CLOUD COVER           CLEAR        CLEAR        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      57-62 (+5)   83-88 (0)    55-60        83-88        

RH % (24H TREND)      74-79 (-1)   29-34 (+4)   81-86        23-28        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  6                     S  7 G16     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  5        SW  6        LGT/VAR      S 10         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6100                      5900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 14                      SW 18        

DISPERSION                         59 GEN GOOD               78 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S.

SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

5 TO 15 MPH. 

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 60. SOUTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER

50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 



$$



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