

973 

FNUS54 KMRX 050124 AAA

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...UPDATED

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

924 PM EDT SUN MAY 4 2014



.DISCUSSION...

 

A WEAK FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL LINGER NEAR SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA THROUGH 

TUESDAY...POSSIBLY TRIGGERING A FEW ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS EACH 

AFTERNOON AND EVENING OVER SOUTHWEST VA AND NORTHEAST TN. 

OTHERWISE...A WARMING TREND WILL CONTINUE WITH ABOVE NORMAL 

TEMPERATURES EXPECTED THROUGHOUT THE WEEK.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-060230-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

924 PM EDT SUN MAY 4 2014



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      49-54 (+7)   79-84 (+3)   52-57        79-84        

RH % (24H TREND)      84-89 (+8)   29-34 (+1)   81-86        31-36        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  9 G21                 W 10 G19     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW 13 G22    SW  9 G19    W  8 G16     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           20           20           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       2 PM         CONTINUING   2 PM         

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   12 AM        CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.01         0.01         

LAL                   1            3            3            3            

LASI                               5                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6500                      5500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 26                      W 20         

DISPERSION                         100 GOOD                  59 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-060230-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

924 PM EDT SUN MAY 4 2014



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      50-55 (+4)   78-83 (+3)   51-56        78-83        

RH % (24H TREND)      82-87 (+10)  29-34 (+1)   81-86        32-37        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W 11 G22                  W 13 G25     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  6         W 12 G21     W 10 G22     W  9 G18     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           20           20           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       2 PM         CONTINUING   2 PM         

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   12 AM        CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.01         0.01         

LAL                   1            2            2            2            

LASI                               5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6300                      5400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 28                      W 24         

DISPERSION                         82 GOOD                   54 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS NEAR 80. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-060230-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

924 PM EDT SUN MAY 4 2014



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      52-57 (+3)   78-83 (+3)   51-56        78-83        

RH % (24H TREND)      75-80 (+1)   29-34 (+1)   77-82        31-36        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W 11 G22                  W 11 G22     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  7         W 13 G23     SW 11 G25    W  8 G15     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6400                      5500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 28                      W 21         

DISPERSION                         78 GOOD                   42 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S.

SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-060230-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

924 PM EDT SUN MAY 4 2014



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      53-58 (+8)   80-85 (+3)   52-57        80-85        

RH % (24H TREND)      78-83 (-6)   28-33 (0)    80-85        30-35        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  8 G18                  W  8 G16     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  5        W 11 G20     SW  8 G17    SW  7        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6400                      5400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 24                      W 17         

DISPERSION                         90 GOOD                   51 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-060230-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

924 PM EDT SUN MAY 4 2014



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      50-55 (+7)   80-85 (+3)   50-55        80-85        

RH % (24H TREND)      81-86 (-9)   29-34 (+2)   84-89        32-37        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  9 G19                  W  9 G16     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W 11 G20     SW  8 G16    W  8         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6500                      5500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 24                      W 17         

DISPERSION                         87 GOOD                   49 GEN GOOD  

MAX LVORI                          3                         3            



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S.

SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-060230-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

924 PM EDT SUN MAY 4 2014



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      51-56 (+7)   81-86 (+3)   53-58        81-86        

RH % (24H TREND)      83-88 (+4)   28-33 (+2)   80-85        31-36        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  9 G20                 W  9 G19     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W 11 G21     SW  9 G17    W  8 G15     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6000                      5400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 25                      W 20         

DISPERSION                         100 GOOD                  66 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-060230-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

924 PM EDT SUN MAY 4 2014



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      54-59 (+8)   82-87 (+3)   54-59        82-87        

RH % (24H TREND)      78-83 (-5)   28-33 (+1)   77-82        31-36        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  8 G18                 SW  8 G16    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW 12 G21    SW  8 G16    SW  7        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5800                      5200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 25                      W 18         

DISPERSION                         97 GOOD                   60 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 50S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 80S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID TO UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-060230-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

924 PM EDT SUN MAY 4 2014



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      55-60 (+8)   83-88 (+3)   55-60        83-88        

RH % (24H TREND)      77-82 (-10)  26-31 (-1)   76-81        29-34        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  7 G18                 SW  7 G15    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW 11 G19    SW  8        SW  7        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5700                      4800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 24                      W 17         

DISPERSION                         93 GOOD                   55 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. SOUTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S.

SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS NEAR 80. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE

UPPER 50S. HIGHS NEAR 80. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



