

778 

FNUS54 KMRX 041840

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

240 PM EDT SUN MAY 4 2014



...BREEZY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES EXPECTED ON MONDAY...



.DISCUSSION...

A WEAK FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL LINGER NEAR SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA THROUGH 

TUESDAY...POSSIBLY TRIGGERING A FEW ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS EACH 

AFTERNOON AND EVENING OVER SOUTHWEST VA AND NORTHEAST TN. OTHERWISE... 

A WARMING TREND WILL CONTINUE WITH ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES EXPECTED 

THROUGHOUT THE WEEK.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-051945-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

240 PM EDT SUN MAY 4 2014



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      48-53 (+6)   79-84 (+3)   52-57        79-84        

RH % (24H TREND)      87-92 (+11)  29-34 (+1)   81-86        31-36        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW 10 G21                 W 10 G19     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW 13 G22    SW  9 G19    W  8 G16     

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           20           20           20           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         2 PM         CONTINUING   2 PM         

PRECIP END            8 AM         CONTINUING   12 AM        CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.01         0.01         0.01         

LAL                   3            3            3            3            

LASI                               5                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6500                      5500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 26                      W 20         

DISPERSION                         100 GOOD                  59 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 

LOWS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS UP 

TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS 

THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH 

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN 

THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN 

THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. 

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-051945-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

240 PM EDT SUN MAY 4 2014



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      49-54 (+3)   78-83 (+3)   51-56        78-83        

RH % (24H TREND)      84-89 (+12)  29-34 (+1)   81-86        32-37        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W 12 G22                  W 13 G25     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  7 G20     W 12 G21     W 10 G22     W  9 G18     

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           20           20           20           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         2 PM         CONTINUING   2 PM         

PRECIP END            8 AM         CONTINUING   12 AM        CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.01         0.01         0.01         

LAL                   2            2            2            2            

LASI                               5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6300                      5400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 28                      W 24         

DISPERSION                         82 GOOD                   54 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 

LOWS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS 

IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS NEAR 80. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN 

THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 

IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. 

HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-051945-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

240 PM EDT SUN MAY 4 2014



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      51-56 (+2)   78-83 (+3)   51-56        78-83        

RH % (24H TREND)      78-83 (+3)   29-34 (+1)   77-82        31-36        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W 12 G23                  W 11 G22     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  9 G19     W 13 G23     SW 11 G25    W  8 G15     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6400                      5500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 28                      W 21         

DISPERSION                         78 GOOD                   42 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS 

IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO UPPER 50S.

SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN 

THE 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN

THE 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 50S. 

HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-051945-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

240 PM EDT SUN MAY 4 2014



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      52-57 (+7)   80-85 (+3)   52-57        80-85        

RH % (24H TREND)      80-85 (-5)   28-33 (0)    80-85        30-35        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  9 G18                  W  8 G16     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  6        W 11 G20     SW  8 G17    SW  7        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6400                      5400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 24                      W 17         

DISPERSION                         90 GOOD                   51 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 

MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS UP 

TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN 

THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN 

THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 

50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-051945-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

240 PM EDT SUN MAY 4 2014



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      49-54 (+6)   80-85 (+3)   50-55        80-85        

RH % (24H TREND)      83-88 (-7)   29-34 (+2)   84-89        32-37        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  9 G19                  W  9 G16     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  6         W 11 G20     SW  8 G16    W  8         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6500                      5500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 24                      W 17         

DISPERSION                         87 GOOD                   49 GEN GOOD  

MAX LVORI                          3                         3            



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS UP 

TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS 

THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHEAST 

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN 

THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 

IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 

50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-051945-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

240 PM EDT SUN MAY 4 2014



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      50-55 (+6)   81-86 (+3)   53-58        81-86        

RH % (24H TREND)      86-91 (+7)   28-33 (+2)   80-85        31-36        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW 10 G20                 W  9 G19     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W 11 G21     SW  9 G17    W  8 G15     

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6000                      5400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 25                      W 20         

DISPERSION                         100 GOOD                  66 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 

LOWS IN THE 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS 

THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH

 WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN 

THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 

IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 

50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-051945-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

240 PM EDT SUN MAY 4 2014



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      53-58 (+7)   82-87 (+3)   54-59        82-87        

RH % (24H TREND)      80-85 (-3)   28-33 (+1)   77-82        31-36        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  9 G18                 SW  8 G16    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  5        SW 12 G21    SW  8 G16    SW  7        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5800                      5200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 25                      W 18         

DISPERSION                         97 GOOD                   60 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH 

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP 

TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 50S. SOUTH 

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS 

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 

AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 

IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID TO UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 

50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-051945-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

240 PM EDT SUN MAY 4 2014



                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      54-59 (+7)   83-88 (+3)   55-60        83-88        

RH % (24H TREND)      78-83 (-9)   26-31 (-1)   76-81        29-34        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  8 G18                 SW  7 G15    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  6        SW 11 G19    SW  8        SW  7        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5700                      4800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 24                      W 17         

DISPERSION                         93 GOOD                   55 GEN GOOD  



REMARKS...NONE.



.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS 

THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS 

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH 

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN 

THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS NEAR 80. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 

IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS UP 

TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 

50S. HIGHS NEAR 80. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



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