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085 

FNUS54 KMRX 041325 AAA

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...UPDATED

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

925 AM EDT SUN MAY 4 2014



...BREEZY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON AND 

AGAIN ON MONDAY AFTERNOON...



.DISCUSSION...

A WEAK COLD FRONT COULD TRIGGER A FEW ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS OVER 

SOUTHWEST VA AND NORTHEAST TN ON SUNDAY AND MONDAY AFTERNOONS. 

OTHERWISE...A WARMING TREND WILL DEVELOP FOR THE UPCOMING WEEK... 

WITH ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES EXPECTED FOR MOST OF THE WEEK.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-051430-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

925 AM EDT SUN MAY 4 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      76-81 (+9)   50-55 (+8)   79-84        

RH % (24H TREND)      26-31 (-4)   86-91 (+12)  28-33        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  8 G21                 SW  9 G22    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 13 G23     LGT/VAR      W 11 G23     

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           20           20           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          2 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.01         0.02         

LAL                   3            3            2            

LASI                  5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7000                      6500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 31                      W 28         

DISPERSION            131 VERY GOOD             106 VERY GOOD



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 

50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 

50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH 

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 80S. 

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN 

THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 

MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN 

THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-051430-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

925 AM EDT SUN MAY 4 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      73-78 (+7)   50-55 (+4)   77-82        

RH % (24H TREND)      28-33 (-2)   81-86 (+11)  25-30        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W 10 G23                  W 10 G24     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 14 G26     W  7 G17     W 11 G25     

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           20           20           

PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          2 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.01         0.01         

LAL                   2            2            2            

LASI                  5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7000                      6300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 31                      W 29         

DISPERSION            111 VERY GOOD             87 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 

LOWER TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 

50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 

HIGHS IN THE 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S

TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN 

THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN 

THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-051430-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

925 AM EDT SUN MAY 4 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      73-78 (+7)   51-56 (+2)   78-83        

RH % (24H TREND)      27-32 (-3)   80-85 (+5)   19-24        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W 10 G23                  SW  9 G22    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 12 G23     W  9 G20     SW  9 G17    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7000                      6400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 26                      W 29         

DISPERSION            89 GOOD                   84 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO UPPER 50S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. WEST WINDS 

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO UPPER 50S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 

HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO 

MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN 

THE 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN 

THE 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 

MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-051430-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

925 AM EDT SUN MAY 4 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      77-82 (+8)   52-57 (+7)   81-86        

RH % (24H TREND)      25-30 (-2)   81-86 (-5)   25-30        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  7 G17                 SW  8 G16    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 10 G17     SW  6        SW  8 G16    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6900                      6400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 23                      W 25         

DISPERSION            98 GOOD                   92 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. WEST WINDS UP TO 

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 

10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 80S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 

70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN 

THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN 

THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-051430-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

925 AM EDT SUN MAY 4 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      77-82 (+8)   48-53 (+5)   81-86        

RH % (24H TREND)      25-30 (-3)   86-91 (-6)   23-28        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  7 G18                 W  7 G16     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 10 G19     W  5         W  8 G16     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7000                      6500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 23                      W 24         

DISPERSION            95 GOOD                   87 GOOD      

MAX LVORI             3                         3            



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST 

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 80S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH 

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S 

TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN 

THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN 

THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-051430-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

925 AM EDT SUN MAY 4 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      78-83 (+9)   50-55 (+6)   81-86        

RH % (24H TREND)      25-30 (-4)   87-92 (+9)   26-31        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  8 G19                 SW  9 G20    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 12 G22     LGT/VAR      W 10 G20     

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6800                      6000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 28                      W 26         

DISPERSION            129 VERY GOOD             104 VERY GOOD



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 

HIGHS IN THE 80S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS 

THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 80S. SOUTH 

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN 

THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 

MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN 

THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-051430-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

925 AM EDT SUN MAY 4 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      78-83 (+8)   52-57 (+6)   82-87        

RH % (24H TREND)      25-30 (-3)   81-86 (-3)   26-31        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  8 G19                 SW  8 G17    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 10 G18     SW  5        SW  9 G18    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6500                      5800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 25                      W 26         

DISPERSION            115 VERY GOOD             103 VERY GOOD



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE 80S. SOUTH 

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 

AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 

IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-051430-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

925 AM EDT SUN MAY 4 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      80-85 (+8)   54-59 (+7)   82-87        

RH % (24H TREND)      24-29 (-3)   80-85 (-10)  25-30        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  6 G17                 SW  8 G17    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  9 G17     SW  6        SW  9 G17    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6200                      5800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 23                      W 25         

DISPERSION            102 VERY GOOD             101 VERY GOOD



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTH 

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S. 

SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN 

THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN 

THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



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