

233 

FNUS54 KMRX 040011 AAA

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...UPDATED

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

811 PM EDT SAT MAY 3 2014



.DISCUSSION...

 

A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL SLOWLY DRIFT TOWARDS THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN 

REGION TONIGHT...AND COULD TRIGGER A FEW ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS OVER 

SOUTHWEST VA AND NORTHEAST TN ON SUNDAY AND MONDAY AFTERNOONS. 

OTHERWISE...A WARMING TREND WILL DEVELOP FOR THE UPCOMING WEEK... 

WITH ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES EXPECTED FOR MOST OF THE WEEK.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-050115-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

811 PM EDT SAT MAY 3 2014



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      44-49 (+5)   75-80 (+8)   50-55        78-83        

RH % (24H TREND)      81-86 (+5)   29-34 (-3)   89-94        32-37        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW 11 G24                 SW 11 G23    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  5 G16     W 14 G26     W  5 G17     W 14 G24     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           20           30           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       2 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.02         0.03         

LAL                   1            2            2            3            

LASI                               5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 7000                      6500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 31                      W 29         

DISPERSION                         131 VERY GOOD             112 VERY GOOD



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. WEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE

70S TO 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-050115-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

811 PM EDT SAT MAY 3 2014



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      44-49 (+5)   74-79 (+8)   49-54        77-82        

RH % (24H TREND)      80-85 (+5)   29-34 (-3)   88-93        31-36        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W 11 G25                  W 13 G25     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  6 G16     W 15 G27     W 10 G21     W 14 G23     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           20           20           

PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                       2 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.01         0.02         

LAL                   1            2            2            3            

LASI                               5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 7000                      6300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 31                      W 31         

DISPERSION                         111 VERY GOOD             94 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 80S. WEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER

60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN

10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 60S TO MID 80S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 80S. WEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-050115-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

811 PM EDT SAT MAY 3 2014



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      44-49 (+5)   74-79 (+8)   51-56        77-82        

RH % (24H TREND)      78-83 (+1)   28-33 (-3)   82-87        31-36        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W 10 G22                  W 14 G25     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  6 G15     W 14 G25     SW 12 G27    W 14 G24     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 7000                      6400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 26                      W 30         

DISPERSION                         89 GOOD                   85 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. WEST

WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 80S. WEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 80S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 70S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-050115-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

811 PM EDT SAT MAY 3 2014



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      46-51 (+8)   77-82 (+8)   53-58        80-85        

RH % (24H TREND)      79-84 (-1)   28-33 (-1)   82-87        31-36        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  7 G17                  W  9 G19     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W 11 G20     SW  9 G19    W 12 G21     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6900                      6400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 23                      W 24         

DISPERSION                         98 GOOD                   90 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO

15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 80S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO

MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 70S. SOUTH

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-050115-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

811 PM EDT SAT MAY 3 2014



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      44-49 (+6)   77-82 (+8)   51-56        80-85        

RH % (24H TREND)      81-86 (-6)   27-32 (-3)   83-88        30-35        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  7 G17                  W 10 G20     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W 11 G21     W  8 G16     W 12 G21     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 7000                      6500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 23                      W 24         

DISPERSION                         95 GOOD                   89 GOOD      

MAX LVORI                          3                         3            



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. WEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. WEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO 80S. SOUTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

70S TO 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 70S. SOUTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-050115-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

811 PM EDT SAT MAY 3 2014



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      45-50 (+5)   77-82 (+8)   50-55        80-85        

RH % (24H TREND)      81-86 (+6)   28-33 (-3)   88-93        30-35        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  9 G22                 SW 11 G23    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W 14 G25     SW  7 G15    W 13 G24     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            10           20           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.01         0.02         

LAL                   1            1            1            3            

LASI                               5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6800                      6000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 28                      W 30         

DISPERSION                         129 VERY GOOD             115 VERY GOOD



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. WEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO 80S. SOUTH WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

MID 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. WEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-050115-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

811 PM EDT SAT MAY 3 2014



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      46-51 (+6)   78-83 (+8)   52-57        81-86        

RH % (24H TREND)      77-82 (-2)   28-33 (-2)   84-89        30-35        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  9 G20                 SW 10 G21    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W 12 G22     SW  7 G15    SW 13 G22    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6500                      5800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 25                      W 28         

DISPERSION                         115 VERY GOOD             108 VERY GOOD



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS NEAR 60. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER 80S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE

MID 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-050115-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

811 PM EDT SAT MAY 3 2014



                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      48-53 (+9)   80-85 (+8)   54-59        82-87        

RH % (24H TREND)      76-81 (-4)   28-33 (-1)   81-86        31-36        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  7 G17                 SW  9 G19    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W 10 G19     SW  8 G15    SW 12 G20    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6200                      5800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 23                      W 24         

DISPERSION                         102 VERY GOOD             100 GOOD     



REMARKS...NONE.



.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTH

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE

70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



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