

388 

FNUS54 KMRX 031342

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

942 AM EDT SAT MAY 3 2014



...BREEZY WINDS EXPECTED TODAY AND SUNDAY...



.DISCUSSION...

A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL SLOWLY DRIFT TOWARDS THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN 

REGION THIS WEEKEND...AND COULD TRIGGER A FEW ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS 

OVER SOUTHWEST VA AND NORTHEAST TN ON SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND MONDAY. 

OTHERWISE...A WARMING TREND WILL DEVELOP NEXT WEEK...WITH ABOVE 

NORMAL TEMPERATURES EXPECTED FOR MOST OF THE UPCOMING WEEK.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-041445-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

942 AM EDT SAT MAY 3 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      67-72 (+5)   46-51 (+7)   74-79        

RH % (24H TREND)      33-38 (-1)   81-86 (+4)   30-35        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  8 G19                  SW  9 G21    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 13 G23     W  7 G17     W 10 G21     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            10           

PRECIP DURATION                                 1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                    2 PM         

PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7100                      6500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 24                      W 29         

DISPERSION            103 VERY GOOD             109 VERY GOOD



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 

50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN 

THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 

HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 

LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS 

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 80S. 

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN 

THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-041445-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

942 AM EDT SAT MAY 3 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      66-71 (+5)   47-52 (+8)   73-78        

RH % (24H TREND)      32-37 (-2)   76-81 (+2)   27-32        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  9 G20                  W 10 G24     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 12 G21     W  9 G19     W 11 G25     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7300                      6400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 24                      W 30         

DISPERSION            93 GOOD                   94 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS NEAR 50. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN 

THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S.

SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 80S. 

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN 

THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS 

THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-041445-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

942 AM EDT SAT MAY 3 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      66-71 (+5)   46-51 (+7)   74-79        

RH % (24H TREND)      31-36 (-2)   80-85 (+2)   24-29        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  9 G19                  W  7 G16     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 11 G20     W  9 G19     W  8 G16     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7400                      6500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 23                      W 28         

DISPERSION            84 GOOD                   79 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO UPPER 50S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST 

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 

LOWS IN THE 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS 

THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO 

MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN 

THE 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-041445-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

942 AM EDT SAT MAY 3 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      69-74 (+5)   46-51 (+8)   78-83        

RH % (24H TREND)      30-35 (-2)   81-86 (-2)   26-31        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  6 G16                  SW  5        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 10 G18     W  6         W  7         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7000                      6500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 20                      W 23         

DISPERSION            83 GOOD                   89 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST 

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 80S. 

SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 80S. 

SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 

AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-041445-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

942 AM EDT SAT MAY 3 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      69-74 (+6)   44-49 (+6)   77-82        

RH % (24H TREND)      31-36 (-3)   85-90 (-5)   24-29        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  8 G17                 W  6         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 10 G18     W  6         W  8 G15     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7100                      6500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 21                      W 23         

DISPERSION            85 GOOD                   86 GOOD      

MAX LVORI             3                         3            



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST 

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. WEST WINDS UP TO 

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S

TO MID 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S

TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN 

THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-041445-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

942 AM EDT SAT MAY 3 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      69-74 (+5)   46-51 (+6)   77-82        

RH % (24H TREND)      32-37 (-1)   83-88 (+7)   28-33        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  7 G18                 SW  8 G19    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 11 G21     SW  5        W  9 G19     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7000                      6300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 22                      W 28         

DISPERSION            106 VERY GOOD             114 VERY GOOD



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST 

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 

HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 

70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 80S. 

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN 

THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP 

TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-041445-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

942 AM EDT SAT MAY 3 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      70-75 (+5)   48-53 (+8)   78-83        

RH % (24H TREND)      31-36 (-3)   78-83 (-4)   27-32        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  8 G17                 SW  6 G15    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 10 G19     W  5         W  7 G15     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7000                      6000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 21                      W 25         

DISPERSION            103 VERY GOOD             102 VERY GOOD



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. 

SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 

MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 

80S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 80S. 

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 

AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 

10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-041445-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

942 AM EDT SAT MAY 3 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          



CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       CLEAR        

TEMP (24H TREND)      72-77 (+6)   50-55 (+11)  79-84        

RH % (24H TREND)      30-35 (-3)   77-82 (-5)   25-30        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  6 G16                 SW  5        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  9         W  5         SW  7        

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  5                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6800                      5700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 18                      W 23         

DISPERSION            89 GOOD                   93 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 

MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S 

TO LOWER 90S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 80S. 

SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 

AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 



$$



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