

368 

FNUS54 KMRX 030022 AAA

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...UPDATED

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

822 PM EDT FRI MAY 2 2014



.DISCUSSION...

 

AN AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL LINGER OVER THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN 

REGION THROUGH THE WEEKEND...BRINGING DRY AND TRANQUIL CONDITIONS. A 

WARMING TREND WILL BEGIN EARLY NEXT WEEK...WITH ABOVE NORMAL 

TEMPERATURES EXPECTED FOR MOST OF NEXT WEEK.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-040130-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

822 PM EDT FRI MAY 2 2014



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      40-45 (+4)   67-72 (+5)   45-50        75-80        

RH % (24H TREND)      91-96 (+3)   34-39 (-1)   81-86        33-38        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  8 G18                  W 11 G21     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W 11 G21     SW  7 G16    W 13 G23     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            20           

PRECIP DURATION                                              1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 2 PM         

PRECIP END                                                   8 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            1            2            

LASI                               4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6400                      6500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 21                      W 29         

DISPERSION                         79 GOOD                   109 VERY GOOD



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST AFTER

MIDNIGHT. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S

TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-040130-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

822 PM EDT FRI MAY 2 2014



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      39-44 (+1)   66-71 (+5)   44-49        74-79        

RH % (24H TREND)      89-94 (+10)  33-38 (-2)   81-86        32-37        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W 10 G20                  W 14 G25     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W 13 G22     W  8 G18     W 14 G24     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            10           

PRECIP DURATION                                              1            

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 2 PM         

PRECIP END                                                   8 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.01         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6400                      6400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 23                      W 30         

DISPERSION                         70 GOOD                   94 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.

WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. WEST

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER

80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

60S TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-040130-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

822 PM EDT FRI MAY 2 2014



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      40-45 (+1)   66-71 (+5)   45-50        74-79        

RH % (24H TREND)      86-91 (+8)   32-37 (-2)   81-86        31-36        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  9 G20                  W 13 G24     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W 12 G21     W  9 G19     W 14 G24     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6400                      6500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 22                      W 28         

DISPERSION                         60 GEN GOOD               79 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. WEST

WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. WEST WINDS

5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER

80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-040130-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

822 PM EDT FRI MAY 2 2014



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      41-46 (+2)   70-75 (+6)   47-52        77-82        

RH % (24H TREND)      86-91 (+1)   31-36 (-2)   80-85        30-35        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  7 G18                  SW  9 G17    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W 10 G18     SW  6        W 12 G20     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6400                      6500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 18                      W 23         

DISPERSION                         70 GOOD                   89 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 80S. WEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 80S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

60S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS

5 TO 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-040130-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

822 PM EDT FRI MAY 2 2014



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      40-45 (+1)   69-74 (+6)   46-51        76-81        

RH % (24H TREND)      88-93 (+2)   31-36 (-4)   80-85        31-36        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  8 G19                  W  9 G18     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W 11 G19     W  5         W 11 G20     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6500                      6500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 20                      W 23         

DISPERSION                         71 GOOD                   86 GOOD      

MAX LVORI                          3                         3            



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. WEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 50S. WEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 60S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-040130-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

822 PM EDT FRI MAY 2 2014



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      41-46 (+3)   69-74 (+5)   46-51        77-82        

RH % (24H TREND)      91-96 (+6)   32-37 (-2)   82-87        31-36        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  8 G18                  W 11 G20     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W 11 G21     SW  6        W 13 G22     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         TSTMS        

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6400                      6300         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 20                      W 28         

DISPERSION                         86 GOOD                   114 VERY GOOD



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. WEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-040130-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

822 PM EDT FRI MAY 2 2014



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      42-47 (+3)   70-75 (+5)   47-52        78-83        

RH % (24H TREND)      88-93 (+3)   31-36 (-4)   82-87        30-35        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  8 G17                 SW  9 G18    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W 10 G18     SW  6        W 12 G21     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6000                      6000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 18                      W 25         

DISPERSION                         76 GOOD                   102 VERY GOOD



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO

MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-040130-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

822 PM EDT FRI MAY 2 2014



                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      42-47 (+1)   72-77 (+6)   49-54        80-85        

RH % (24H TREND)      85-90 (-1)   30-35 (-3)   78-83        31-36        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  7 G17                  SW  8 G17    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  9 G17     SW  5        SW 11 G19    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         5            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5800                      5700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 18                      W 23         

DISPERSION                         73 GOOD                   93 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE

70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



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