

137 

FNUS54 KMRX 011927

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

327 PM EDT THU MAY 1 2014



...BREEZY WINDS EXPECTED ON SATURDAY...



.DISCUSSION...

AN AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN 

REGION FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS...BRINGING DRY AND TRANQUIL 

CONDITIONS THROUGH THE WEEKEND. A WARMING TREND WILL BEGIN EARLY 

NEXT WEEK...WITH ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES EXPECTED FOR MOST OF NEXT 

WEEK.





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-022030-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

327 PM EDT THU MAY 1 2014



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      39-44 (-10)  64-69 (+3)   40-45        69-74        

RH % (24H TREND)      81-86 (-6)   31-36 (-8)   85-90        32-37        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  8 G15                  SW  9 G18    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  6         SW  9        LGT/VAR      W 11 G20     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 7200                      6700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 18                      W 21         

DISPERSION                         82 GOOD                   82 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. 

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 

10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 

MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S

TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 

70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 

70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-022030-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

327 PM EDT THU MAY 1 2014



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      38-43 (-9)   62-67 (+3)   40-45        67-72        

RH % (24H TREND)      79-84 (-7)   32-37 (-12)  84-89        33-38        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  9 G18                  W  9 G20     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  8 G15     W 10 G18     W  5         W 12 G21     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 7300                      6700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 21                      W 21         

DISPERSION                         79 GOOD                   71 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. 

WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 

15 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS 

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO 

LOWER 80S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S 

TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S 

TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-022030-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

327 PM EDT THU MAY 1 2014



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      38-43 (-7)   62-67 (+3)   40-45        67-72        

RH % (24H TREND)      79-84 (-12)  33-38 (-8)   83-88        33-38        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  7 G15                  W  9 G20     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  7 G15     W  9         W  6         W 11 G20     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 7300                      6900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 17                      W 21         

DISPERSION                         63 GOOD                   68 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S TO LOWER 50S.

WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 

15 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. 

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST 

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO 

LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO 

LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO 

LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-022030-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

327 PM EDT THU MAY 1 2014



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      40-45 (-7)   64-69 (+3)   42-47        69-74        

RH % (24H TREND)      79-84 (-9)   32-37 (-6)   83-88        32-37        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  5                      W  8 G18     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  5         W  8         LGT/VAR      W 10 G18     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 7100                      6900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 14                      W 20         

DISPERSION                         60 GEN GOOD               80 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. WEST WINDS UP TO 

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST 

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S 

TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 

70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S 

TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-022030-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

327 PM EDT THU MAY 1 2014



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      39-44 (-9)   64-69 (+3)   41-46        69-74        

RH % (24H TREND)      77-82 (-11)  32-37 (-9)   81-86        32-37        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  6                     W  8 G19     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  5        W  8         LGT/VAR      W 11 G19     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 7300                      7000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 14                     W 20         

DISPERSION                         61 GOOD                   78 GOOD      

MAX LVORI                          3                         3            



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.

WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS NEAR 50. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 

10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO

LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 

70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 

70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-022030-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

327 PM EDT THU MAY 1 2014



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      39-44 (-11)  66-71 (+3)   41-46        71-76        

RH % (24H TREND)      83-88 (-2)   31-36 (-9)   84-89        32-37        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  6 G15                  SW  8 G19    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  5         W  9         LGT/VAR      W 11 G19     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 7000                      6200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 17                      W 20         

DISPERSION                         83 GOOD                   78 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. 

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST 

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 

MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S

TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S

TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-022030-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

327 PM EDT THU MAY 1 2014



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      40-45 (-7)   66-71 (+3)   42-47        71-76        

RH % (24H TREND)      81-86 (-5)   32-37 (-5)   84-89        32-37        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  5                      SW  8 G18    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  5         W  8         LGT/VAR      W 10 G18     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6800                      6200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 16                      W 18         

DISPERSION                         77 GOOD                   80 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS NEAR 50. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. WEST WINDS UP TO 

10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS 

THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S

TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S

TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-022030-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

327 PM EDT THU MAY 1 2014



                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       

TEMP (24H TREND)      41-46 (-3)   67-72 (+4)   43-48        72-77        

RH % (24H TREND)      78-83 (-6)   31-36 (-3)   82-87        31-36        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  5                      W  7 G18     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  6         LGT/VAR      W  9 G18     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                                           

PRECIP BEGIN                                                              

PRECIP END                                                                

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            1            

LASI                               4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6900                      6500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 14                      W 18         

DISPERSION                         69 GOOD                   87 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP 

TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST 

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST 

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 

80S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S. 

SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S. 

SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



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