

570 

FNUS54 KMRX 010655

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

255 AM EDT THU MAY 1 2014



.DISCUSSION...

A POST-FRONTAL AIR MASS WILL PROMOTE DRY AND COOL CONDITIONS 

TO KICK OFF THE MONTH OF MAY AS HIGHS PEAK IN THE 60S ACROSS

THE REGION. A WARMING TREND WILL OCCUR BY THE WEEKEND AS A 

HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL DOMINATE THE WEATHER OVER THE SOUTH. 

SUNSHINE AND DRY CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL AS HIGHS RETURN TO 

THE LOW TO MID 80S BY THE WEEKEND INTO NEXT WEEK.   





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-020800-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

255 AM EDT THU MAY 1 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      59-64 (-12)  39-44 (-9)   63-68        

RH % (24H TREND)      40-45 (-10)  85-90 (-4)   31-36        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  7 G16                  SW  9 G18    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  9 G17    W  6         SW 10 G19    

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5800                      6800         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 17                     W 21         

DISPERSION            56 GEN GOOD               85 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S

TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-020800-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

255 AM EDT THU MAY 1 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      58-63 (-11)  39-44 (-8)   63-68        

RH % (24H TREND)      40-45 (-11)  78-83 (-10)  30-35        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  7 G16                  W 10 G19     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 11 G19     W  8 G16     W 11 G21     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5600                      6900         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 17                      W 22         

DISPERSION            42 GEN GOOD               79 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S. WEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S.

WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S. WEST WINDS UP

TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. WEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID

60S TO LOWER 80S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 60S TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-020800-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

255 AM EDT THU MAY 1 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      57-62 (-10)  40-45 (-5)   63-68        

RH % (24H TREND)      37-42 (-12)  76-81 (-18)  28-33        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  7 G15                  W 10 G18     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 10         W  7 G15     W 11 G18     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5600                      7000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 16                      W 21         

DISPERSION            32 FAIR                   70 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S.

WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 70S. WEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.

WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. WEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID

60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-020800-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

255 AM EDT THU MAY 1 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      60-65 (-10)  43-48 (-4)   66-71        

RH % (24H TREND)      35-40 (-12)  74-79 (-16)  30-35        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  6                      W  7 G15     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  9         W  5         W 10 G17     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5300                      7000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 14                      W 17         

DISPERSION            38 FAIR                   75 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. WEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.

WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 80S. WEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S

TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 60S TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 60S TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-020800-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

255 AM EDT THU MAY 1 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      60-65 (-10)  41-46 (-6)   65-70        

RH % (24H TREND)      37-42 (-12)  79-84 (-12)  29-34        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  8 G15                  W  7 G15     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  9         W  5         W 10         

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5400                      7000         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 15                      W 17         

DISPERSION            39 FAIR                   72 GOOD      

MAX LVORI             3                         3            



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS NEAR 40. NORTH WINDS UP TO

10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.

NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. WEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

60S TO LOWER 80S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO

LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-020800-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

255 AM EDT THU MAY 1 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      61-66 (-12)  41-46 (-7)   66-71        

RH % (24H TREND)      38-43 (-9)   80-85 (-7)   28-33        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  7                      SW  8 G19    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  9 G17     SW  5        W 10 G19     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5400                      6500         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 16                      W 21         

DISPERSION            54 GEN GOOD               87 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. WEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO

LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S

TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-020800-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

255 AM EDT THU MAY 1 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      62-67 (-7)   41-46 (-5)   66-71        

RH % (24H TREND)      35-40 (-14)  79-84 (-9)   28-33        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  6                      SW  8 G17    

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  9         SW  5        W 10 G17     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5700                      6400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 15                      W 18         

DISPERSION            57 GEN GOOD               84 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. WEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO

LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S

TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE

70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-020800-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

255 AM EDT THU MAY 1 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          



CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      63-68 (-5)   42-47 (-3)   68-73        

RH % (24H TREND)      33-38 (-16)  79-84 (-6)   27-32        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  6                      W  6 G15     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  8         LGT/VAR      W  9 G17     

PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            

PRECIP DURATION                                              

PRECIP BEGIN                                                 

PRECIP END                                                   

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         

LAL                   1            1            1            

LASI                  4                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5500                      6200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 14                      W 18         

DISPERSION            52 GEN GOOD               79 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. SOUTHWEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS LESS

THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 50. SOUTHWEST WINDS

LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S

TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE

70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



