

319 

FNUS54 KMRX 300736

FWFMRX



FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST

VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN

336 AM EDT WED APR 30 2014



.DISCUSSION...

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE THROUGH THE SOUTHERN 

APPALACHIANS AND TENNESSEE VALLEY TODAY...BRINGING THE POTENTIAL FOR 

SOME LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLOODING THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. A 

COLD FRONT WILL PUSH EAST OF THE AREA BY THIS EVENING...BRINGING IN 

SOME COOLER AIR INTO THE REGION FOR THE LATER HALF OF THE WEEK. 





VAZ001-002-005-006-008-010845-

JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-

336 AM EDT WED APR 30 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      66-71 (-6)   48-53 (-9)   62-67        

RH % (24H TREND)      62-67 (+7)   88-93 (-5)   35-40        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S 10 G17                  SW  7        

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 10 G19    SW  7        W 10 G17     

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           40           20           

PRECIP DURATION       5            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.71         0.02         0.03         

LAL                   4            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4300                      7100         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 23                     SW 20        

DISPERSION            44 GEN GOOD               84 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. WEST

WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID

60S TO UPPER 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID

60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S

TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ018-041-043-045-047-010845-

NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

336 AM EDT WED APR 30 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      63-68 (-9)   47-52 (-8)   59-64        

RH % (24H TREND)      63-68 (+7)   90-95 (0)    35-40        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S 10 G18                  W  8 G17     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 11 G19     W  6 G15     W 11 G18     

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           40           20           

PRECIP DURATION       5            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.83         0.02         0.04         

LAL                   4            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4100                      7400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 26                     W 22         

DISPERSION            29 FAIR                   89 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID

40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

50S TO UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN

THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID

60S TO UPPER 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO

UPPER 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ072-074-010845-

TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-

336 AM EDT WED APR 30 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      65-70 (-7)   44-49 (-11)  58-63        

RH % (24H TREND)      56-61 (0)    87-92 (-3)   32-37        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S 11 G21                  W  7         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 11 G22    SW  6        W 10         

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           20           20           

PRECIP DURATION       5            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   2 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.65         0.02         0.02         

LAL                   4            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4400                      7600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 24                     W 20         

DISPERSION            26 FAIR                   77 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS NEAR 40. WEST WINDS 5 TO

10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

50S TO UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S.

WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S.

WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID

60S TO UPPER 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID

60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ087-102-010845-

SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-

336 AM EDT WED APR 30 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      69-74 (-6)   46-51 (-12)  65-70        

RH % (24H TREND)      52-57 (-2)   86-91 (-1)   28-33        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S 11 G20                  W  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  9 G20    LGT/VAR      W  9         

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           20           0            

PRECIP DURATION       3            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   2 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.44         0.01         0.00         

LAL                   4            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3900                      7400         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 20                     W 18         

DISPERSION            31 FAIR                   83 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID

40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. WEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID

60S TO UPPER 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S

TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 60S TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



NCZ060-061-010845-

NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-

336 AM EDT WED APR 30 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      69-74 (-5)   47-52 (-11)  64-69        

RH % (24H TREND)      53-58 (-3)   83-88 (-7)   28-33        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S 10 G18                  W  7 G17     

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  9 G18    LGT/VAR      W 10         

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           20           0            

PRECIP DURATION       5            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.61         0.02         0.00         

LAL                   4            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4200                      7700         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 23                     W 18         

DISPERSION            37 FAIR                   88 GOOD      

MAX LVORI             4                         3            



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. WEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.

WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST

WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO

UPPER 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER

60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO

LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-010845-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-

336 AM EDT WED APR 30 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      68-73 (-8)   48-53 (-9)   65-70        

RH % (24H TREND)      57-62 (+4)   89-94 (0)    32-37        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  9 G16                  W  7         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 10        SW  6 G15    W 10 G18     

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           30           20           

PRECIP DURATION       5            1            1            

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   2 PM         

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.66         0.02         0.01         

LAL                   4            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3700                      6600         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 22                     W 20         

DISPERSION            41 GEN GOOD               84 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO

UPPER 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S

TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-010845-

EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-

336 AM EDT WED APR 30 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      68-73 (-8)   46-51 (-12)  64-69        

RH % (24H TREND)      48-53 (-2)   84-89 (-1)   30-35        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  9 G17                  W  6         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  9 G18    SW  6        W  9 G16     

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS      

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           20           0            

PRECIP DURATION       3            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   2 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.35         0.01         0.00         

LAL                   4            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3900                      7200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 18                     W 20         

DISPERSION            42 GEN GOOD               101 VERY GOOD



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE

60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO

LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S

TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-010845-

CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-

336 AM EDT WED APR 30 2014



                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          



CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        

TEMP (24H TREND)      70-75 (-7)   45-50 (-12)  65-70        

RH % (24H TREND)      43-48 (-6)   83-88 (-2)   27-32        

20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  9                     W  5         

20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  9         SW  5        W  8         

PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         

CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           20           0            

PRECIP DURATION       2            1                         

PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING                

PRECIP END            CONTINUING   2 AM                      

PRECIP AMOUNT         0.15         0.01         0.00         

LAL                   4            1            1            

LASI                  3                         4            

MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3900                      7200         

TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 20                     W 18         

DISPERSION            48 GEN GOOD               94 GOOD      



REMARKS...NONE.



.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST

WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS

UP TO 10 MPH. 

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S.

SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO

LOWER 80S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S

TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE

UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 



$$



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